Agree with you on all of this. On their best day they'll be able to give anyone a game, but doing it across the course of a season is a different thing entirely. I think if everything clicks for them they could get up to maybe 82 points or so. If it doesn't... Well the low end may be something like 70 points.
You need a team capable of over 90 points to win the league these days.
Even when making good signings it's tough, because other teams don't just stand still and let you overtake them. Chelsea will have an easy season without Europe, so will get extra time between matches to work on things. They will be much better as a result. Newcastle will improve. Arsenal have obviously strengthened and Liverpool have made a few decent signings.
united could improve this season but end up outside the top 4 still.
Everyone said that last season, though. Ten Hag wouldn't get a tune out of these lot, who downed tools for Ole and Rangnick.
He got them to 2 finals, and won a trophy. And finished 3rd.
One of his biggest achievements was recreating a fortress at OT, because visiting teams were coming and having an easy time of it. Some big wins against Liverpool, Arsenal, City, Spurs, Chelsea, Barcelona. Ten Hag orchestrated that. He has also managed to improve the bond between players and fans. The season prior, players like Pogba were being booed off the pitch, and the atmosphere was toxic.
The fans love these players again, and you have to credit TH for that.
He is making some big changes all over the squad, and the shape will look very different with Onana in goal. They'll play much further forward and create overloads in the oppositions half. They couldn't do that with De Gea, they were playing with the handbrake on.
From where we were, to where are heading, Ten Hag is the man with a plan, and I have faith in him. City fans don't want to hear that United fans enjoyed last season, but on reflection we did. And we can see progress on the pitch and down the line.