US Politics Thread

I see they have reached 218 in the house and all that remains is to see how many the majority is. 8 seats still to be called - looks like maybe a majority of 4.

This small margin GQP victory plays well for the dems. It will be an utter shit show with the rabble trying to force the agenda from the back seats. Lots of internal wrangle. Will Mcarty cling to being speaker. Will a trumper get in and if so at what cost?
 
FogBlueInSanFran said:
We aren’t even sure of the order of the state primaries yet. Way too early to conclude that he could win anything, easily or not. I don’t want him to be the nominee — I want it to be DeSantis so Trump runs as an independent (which I think he would) and splits the party in two. Though if he wins the nom, I can’t see how the nation will miraculously change its mind from 2020 anyhow. The headlines are only going to get worse from him; DeSantis has already raised more money; core GOP talking heads are turning away too and blaming him (correctly) for the midterms.
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The DeSantis versus Trump Republican nomination scenario with DeSantis winning and Trump declaring as an independent is certainly possible, but I think unlikely - this outcome, should it transpire, would be almost perfect :-).

Unfortunately, this outcome requires multiple, mostly independent events to occur in sequence.

My firm belief remains: barring health, legal or other preventative issues - Trump is going to be the Republican nominee for President in 2024. This isn't necessarily a bad outcome, by the way - most of America hates Trump. Should he be the Republican nominee in 2024 - he starts with a huge uphill challenge (a lesson to which the MAGA Republicans are immune).
 
Gaudion M said:
I see they have reached 218 in the house and all that remains is to see how many the majority is. 8 seats still to be called - looks like maybe a majority of 4.

This small margin GQP victory plays well for the dems. It will be an utter shit show with the rabble trying to force the agenda from the back seats. Lots of internal wrangle. Will Mcarty cling to being speaker. Will a trumper get in and if so at what cost?
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It's good that the margin is small for Republicans - but barely so, unless several Republicans are willing to work with Democrats to pass legislation.

It's going to be near total legislative gridlock for the next 2 years. And sure as hell Republicans will bring up the lack of legislative results when running in 2024.
 
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BlueMoonAcrossThePond said:
The DeSantis versus Trump Republican nomination scenario with DeSantis winning and Trump declaring as an independent is certainly possible, but I think unlikely - this outcome, should it transpire, would be almost perfect :-).

Unfortunately, this outcome requires multiple, mostly independent events to occur in sequence.

My firm belief remains: barring health, legal or other preventative issues - Trump is going to be the Republican nominee for President in 2024. This isn't necessarily a bad outcome, by the way - most of America hates Trump. Should he be the Republican nominee in 2024 - he starts with a huge uphill challenge (a lesson to which the MAGA Republicans are immune).
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Will Harris be able to beat Trump should Biden not be able to go for a second term?
 
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