US Presidential Election, Nov 5th 2024

That completely depends on the disposition of the rest of NATO.

We have to operate in the real world, as much as it would pain me to see any deal (which won’t be worth a wank in all likelihood).

It's a timeout.

But without support and without an army capable of offensive warfare the choice Ukraine has is a timeout or knockout.
 
Because he didn’t want the Russian people to appreciate they were already at war, albeit in a less heightened state, maybe?

It's simpler than that, Putin does not consider Ukraine a sovereign nation, so it's not a war, just some internal difficulty, he's not alone in this. A great many Russians consider Ukraine a breakaway province, a region that was part of Russia for centuries, a pretend country that broke away when the Soviet Union collapsed and the hated Yeltsin was too drunk to notice.

Solidarity with Ukraine is strongest in Western Europe, but the further away from Europe you go that support dwindles. If Trump pulls American support and imposes a "peace" settlement, with Russia taking a third of Ukraine, then Zelensky is finished and in the inevitable political chaos that follows Ukraine will be at Russia's mercy and Putin will roll in and take the rest.
 
Who’s next do you think? Moldova?
Depends on the deal. The only way Russia will possibly keep to any agreement is to protect what is left to the west of where any lines are drawn.

That’s still unfortunate and regrettable but not catastrophic in the wider scheme of things.

I think it’s possible that there will be a complete realignment in Europe’s relationship with the US - which of course is what Putin will want.
 
It's simpler than that, Putin does not consider Ukraine a sovereign nation, he's not alone in this. A great many Russians consider Ukraine a breakaway province, a region that was part of Russia for centuries, a pretend country that broke away when the Soviet Union collapsed and the hated Yeltsin was too drunk to notice.

Solidarity with Ukraine is strongest in Western Europe, but the further away from Europe you go that support dwindles. If Trump pulls American support and imposes a "peace" settlement, with Russia taking a third of Ukraine, then Zelensky is finished and in the inevitable political chaos that follows Ukraine will be at Russia's mercy and Putin will roll in and take the rest.
I have a reasonable (if fairly basic) understanding of the history of Russia’s relationship Ukraine - and vice versa, although I would suggest anti Russian sentiment in the unoccupied parts of Ukraine is at its apogee right now and with the advances in drone technology and guerrilla warfare in recent years I’m not sure it was be quite as straightforward as Russia simply rolling in.
 
It's simpler than that, Putin does not consider Ukraine a sovereign nation, so it's not a war, just some internal difficulty, he's not alone in this. A great many Russians consider Ukraine a breakaway province, a region that was part of Russia for centuries, a pretend country that broke away when the Soviet Union collapsed and the hated Yeltsin was too drunk to notice.

Solidarity with Ukraine is strongest in Western Europe, but the further away from Europe you go that support dwindles. If Trump pulls American support and imposes a "peace" settlement, with Russia taking a third of Ukraine, then Zelensky is finished and in the inevitable political chaos that follows Ukraine will be at Russia's mercy and Putin will roll in and take the rest.
Perhaps it’s time for the U.K. to take back the USA, citing internal difficulties at a tea party a few years back. :-)
 
Perhaps it’s time for the U.K. to take back the USA, citing internal difficulties at a tea party a few years back. :-)
I'm game, tally-ho.

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