US Presidential Election, Nov 5th 2024

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I still think Harris will win comfortably. The betting follows the money and the money follows the polls. The polls are based upon miniscule samples of people and are almost always wrong. They're more likely to be correct months before the election before bias and Harris led at that point, tons of people haven't just suddenly switched to Trump.

It could go either way but I just can't see Trump winning the really close swing states such as Pennsylvania. It really depends which poll you believe but some have her winning by 3-4%, others it's 50/50 but Trump never seems to lead.

I think even places like Georgia and Nevada will go closer than the polling currently suggests. Either way none of it is posting towards a Trump win. He has a 50/50 chance at best but any other result seems to lean towards Harris.
sounds to me like you are trying to convince yourself.
Lets see if you are right
 
On a scale of 1-10 how scared are you that this might go wrong? Do you see Russia as a threat if Diaper Don wins and dissolves NATO?

To be fair to him he had half a point about wanting members to make bolder budget commitments and not have America foot the world police bill.

Ukraine changed the game with that and Europe has woken up now to the threat on its borders.

He can’t “dissolve” NATO but it worries me that he would undermine it, the west will definitely be weaker should he win.

Putin wins in Ukraine and the world is a different place. Which is why we need to keep our resolve in that war.
 
On a scale of 1-10 how scared are you that this might go wrong? Do you see Russia as a threat if Diaper Don wins and dissolves NATO?
I know if it does go wrong then NATO is seriously under threat. Trump will do something monumentally stupid. I have my thoughts on why, and it has a lot to do with him being wide open to manipulation and bribery.
 
On a scale of 1-10 how scared are you that this might go wrong? Do you see Russia as a threat if Diaper Don wins and dissolves NATO?
I am very worried about ukraine , zelensky refused to investigate hunter biden and he wont have forgotten that . He will force him to give up huge swaths of his land to putin and will withdraw the help ukraine needs ,three years of war , all their sacrifices and tens of thousands dead , all for nothing
 
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