We can still qualify and it is very possible

Re: Sky Sports Maths ???

Of the 81 possible results combinations left there are 10 that would see us in with a chance of qualifying, either on points, head to head or goal difference.

If CSKA win tonight has 1 combination (We beat Bayern, and City/Bayern wins in the next round)

IF Roma win tonight has 3 combinations (We beat Bayern and Roma and we qualify regardless of the Bayern/CSKA result.

CSKA/Roma draw has 6 combinations (We beat Bayern and Roma and we are guaranteed to go through, we could go through on goal difference with a loss tonight and a good win against Roma).

And yes, I should be doing some work.
 
Re: Sky Sports Maths ???

moomba said:
Of the 81 possible results combinations left there are 10 that would see us in with a chance of qualifying, either on points, head to head or goal difference.

If CSKA win tonight has 1 combination (We beat Bayern, and City/Bayern wins in the next round)

IF Roma win tonight has 3 combinations (We beat Bayern and Roma and we qualify regardless of the Bayern/CSKA result.

CSKA/Roma draw has 6 combinations (We beat Bayern and Roma and we are guaranteed to go through, we could go through on goal difference with a loss tonight and a good win against Roma).

And yes, I should be doing some work.
Click to expand...

If we win tonight and CSKA and Roma draw then I think we could go through with a 2-2 or higher score draw but we would need Bayern to win against CSKA as if we finish level with CSKA we go out as they will have a better head to head record. Equally if CSKA and Roma draw then a CSKA win at Bayern will put us out regardless how we do against Roma for the same reason.

Anyway only thing we should worry about is a City win tonight as that is virtually essential.
 
Re: Sky Sports Maths ???

moomba said:
Of the 81 possible results combinations left there are 10 that would see us in with a chance of qualifying, either on points, head to head or goal difference.

If CSKA win tonight has 1 combination (We beat Bayern, and City/Bayern wins in the next round)

IF Roma win tonight has 3 combinations (We beat Bayern and Roma and we qualify regardless of the Bayern/CSKA result.

CSKA/Roma draw has 6 combinations (We beat Bayern and Roma and we are guaranteed to go through, we could go through on goal difference with a loss tonight and a good win against Roma).

And yes, I should be doing some work.
Click to expand...

Not quite. If CSKA draw tonight and then win in Munich (unlikely) we would be out on head to head even if we win both games.
At least I think so! Bugger this has already been mentioned.
 
Re: Sky Sports Maths ???

Wilf Wild 1937 said:
moomba said:
Of the 81 possible results combinations left there are 10 that would see us in with a chance of qualifying, either on points, head to head or goal difference.

If CSKA win tonight has 1 combination (We beat Bayern, and City/Bayern wins in the next round)

IF Roma win tonight has 3 combinations (We beat Bayern and Roma and we qualify regardless of the Bayern/CSKA result.

CSKA/Roma draw has 6 combinations (We beat Bayern and Roma and we are guaranteed to go through, we could go through on goal difference with a loss tonight and a good win against Roma).

And yes, I should be doing some work.
Click to expand...

Not quite. If CSKA draw tonight and then win in Munich (unlikely) we would be out on head to head even if we win both games.
At least I think so! Bugger this has already been mentioned.
Click to expand...

Yes, sorry. You are right. So 9 out of 81. I think the draw is best for us, but a Roma win and it's pretty much in our hands to go through.
 
Re: Sky Sports Maths ???

Best result is City Beat Munich and Roma beat CSKA, then its a straight shoot out between us and Roma, winner takes all.
 
Re: Sky Sports Maths ???

I have to say although a draw places us in a better position in the group, A Roma win keeps it in our hands no matter what.
 
Re: Sky Sports Maths ???

Sky just said that we could lose tonight and still go through. Can't be right?
 
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