JoeMercer'sWay
Well-Known Member
Wanted to do a bit of research as I do and after 18 games United have had their best start to a Premier League season since its formation.
Their current record of P18 W14 D3 L1 GS 47 GC 14 GD +33 Pts 45.
On their current levels their end total should be: P38 Pts 95 GD +70.
That would be a record result for United.
Here's their full totals for each season after 18 games, with bold where they actually ended up at the end of the season, italics where they'd end up if they matched their first 18 game form to the end of the season.
10/11: P18 W10 D8 L0 GS 39 GC 17 GD +22 Pts 38.
1st Pts 80 GD +41. Pts 80 GD +46.
09/10: P18 W12 D1 L5 GS 37 GC 17 GD +20 Pts 37.
2nd Pts 85 GD +58 Pts 78 GD +42.
08/09: P18 W12 D4 L2 GS 29 GC 10 GD +19 Pts 38.
1st Pts 90 GD +44 Pts 80 GD +39.
07/08: P18 W13 D3 L2 GS 32 GC 9 GD +23 Pts 42
1st Pts 87 GD +58 Pts 89 GD +48.
06/07: P18 W14 D2 L2 GS 38 GC 10 GD +28 Pts 44.
1st Pts 89 GD +56 Pts 93 GD +59.
05/06: P18 W12 D4 L2 GS 34 GC 14 GD +20 Pts 40.
2nd Pts 83 GD +38 Pts 84 GD +42.
04/05: P18 W9 D7 L2 GS 28 GC 13 GD +15 Pts 34.
3rd Pts 77 GD +32 Pts 72 GD +32.
03/04: P18 W14 D1 L3 GS 37 GC 13 GD +24 Pts 43.
3rd Pts 75 GD +29 Pts 91 GD +51.
02/03: P18 W10 D5 L3 GS 30 GC 17 GD +13 Pts 35.
1st Pts 83 GD +40 Pts 74 GD +27.
01/02: P18 W9 D3 L6 GS 43 GC 28 GD +15 Pts 30.
3rd Pts 77 GD +42 Pts 63 GD +32.
00/01: P18 W12 D4 L2 GS 44 GC 14 GD +30 Pts 40.
1st Pts 80 GD +48 Pts 84 GD +63.
99/00: P18 W13 D3 L2 GS 48 GC 23 GD +25 Pts 42.
1st Pts 91 +52 Pts 88 GD +53.
98/99: P18 W8 D7 L3 GS 36 GC 23 GD +13 Pts 31.
1st Pts 79 GD +43 Pts 65 GD +27.
97/98: P18 W12 D4 L2 GS 44 GC 13 GD +31 Pts 40.
2nd Pts 77 GD +47 Pts 84 GD +65.
96/97: P18 W8 D7 L3 GS 37 GC 25 GD +12 Pts 31.
1st Pts 75 GD +32 Pts 65 GD +25.
95/96: P18 W10 D5 L3 GS 35 GC 19 GD +16 Pts 35.
1st Pts 82 GD +38 Pts 74 GD +34.
94/95: P18 W13 D2 L3 GS 33 GC 12 GD +21 Pts 41.
2nd Pts 88 GD +49(P42) Pts 96 GD +49.
93/94: P18 W14 D3 L1 GS 36 GC 15 GD +21 Pts 45.
1st Pts 92 GD +42(P42) Pts 105 GD +49.
92/93: P18 W8 D6 L4 GS 20 GC 13 GD +7 Pts 30.
1st Pts 84 GD +36(P42) Pts 70 GD +16.
So in summary from that United have done better in the 2nd half of the season(roughly speaking) 10 times, done worse 8 times and about the same once, obviously the extra 19th game to make it exactly half a season could alter the stats slightly, but it's still fairly useful.
To add to that on the 9 occassions United scored more than 40 points in their first 18 games, they only had a better remainder of the season on 1 occassion in 99/00. On 8 occassions they did worse in the 2nd half of the season, albeit sometimes narrowly, sometimes it really did cost them. When they scored less than 40 points only once did they fail to do better in the 2nd half of the season, which was last year when they did about the same in both halves.
Basically it shows they generally even out if they have a really great/really poor first half of the season, when they've had great starts they've never really gone on to blow the league away by doing the same in the 2nd half of the season, in fact they've gone backwards and sometimes it's cost them the league.
On 4 occassions they have gained 40 points or more in the first 18 games of the season and gone on not to win the title, from this position they have won the league 5 times, meaning that they have only a 56% conversion rate when they have 40+ pts from 18 games. On the flip side they have only lost the title 3 times when they scored less than 40 points from 18 games, and won 7 of their titles from this position.
I think there's less to fear than we believe when we get fed it by the media, they are a great side obviously but they're not perfect. They have a number of injuries as well, so we'll see.
Their current record of P18 W14 D3 L1 GS 47 GC 14 GD +33 Pts 45.
On their current levels their end total should be: P38 Pts 95 GD +70.
That would be a record result for United.
Here's their full totals for each season after 18 games, with bold where they actually ended up at the end of the season, italics where they'd end up if they matched their first 18 game form to the end of the season.
10/11: P18 W10 D8 L0 GS 39 GC 17 GD +22 Pts 38.
1st Pts 80 GD +41. Pts 80 GD +46.
09/10: P18 W12 D1 L5 GS 37 GC 17 GD +20 Pts 37.
2nd Pts 85 GD +58 Pts 78 GD +42.
08/09: P18 W12 D4 L2 GS 29 GC 10 GD +19 Pts 38.
1st Pts 90 GD +44 Pts 80 GD +39.
07/08: P18 W13 D3 L2 GS 32 GC 9 GD +23 Pts 42
1st Pts 87 GD +58 Pts 89 GD +48.
06/07: P18 W14 D2 L2 GS 38 GC 10 GD +28 Pts 44.
1st Pts 89 GD +56 Pts 93 GD +59.
05/06: P18 W12 D4 L2 GS 34 GC 14 GD +20 Pts 40.
2nd Pts 83 GD +38 Pts 84 GD +42.
04/05: P18 W9 D7 L2 GS 28 GC 13 GD +15 Pts 34.
3rd Pts 77 GD +32 Pts 72 GD +32.
03/04: P18 W14 D1 L3 GS 37 GC 13 GD +24 Pts 43.
3rd Pts 75 GD +29 Pts 91 GD +51.
02/03: P18 W10 D5 L3 GS 30 GC 17 GD +13 Pts 35.
1st Pts 83 GD +40 Pts 74 GD +27.
01/02: P18 W9 D3 L6 GS 43 GC 28 GD +15 Pts 30.
3rd Pts 77 GD +42 Pts 63 GD +32.
00/01: P18 W12 D4 L2 GS 44 GC 14 GD +30 Pts 40.
1st Pts 80 GD +48 Pts 84 GD +63.
99/00: P18 W13 D3 L2 GS 48 GC 23 GD +25 Pts 42.
1st Pts 91 +52 Pts 88 GD +53.
98/99: P18 W8 D7 L3 GS 36 GC 23 GD +13 Pts 31.
1st Pts 79 GD +43 Pts 65 GD +27.
97/98: P18 W12 D4 L2 GS 44 GC 13 GD +31 Pts 40.
2nd Pts 77 GD +47 Pts 84 GD +65.
96/97: P18 W8 D7 L3 GS 37 GC 25 GD +12 Pts 31.
1st Pts 75 GD +32 Pts 65 GD +25.
95/96: P18 W10 D5 L3 GS 35 GC 19 GD +16 Pts 35.
1st Pts 82 GD +38 Pts 74 GD +34.
94/95: P18 W13 D2 L3 GS 33 GC 12 GD +21 Pts 41.
2nd Pts 88 GD +49(P42) Pts 96 GD +49.
93/94: P18 W14 D3 L1 GS 36 GC 15 GD +21 Pts 45.
1st Pts 92 GD +42(P42) Pts 105 GD +49.
92/93: P18 W8 D6 L4 GS 20 GC 13 GD +7 Pts 30.
1st Pts 84 GD +36(P42) Pts 70 GD +16.
So in summary from that United have done better in the 2nd half of the season(roughly speaking) 10 times, done worse 8 times and about the same once, obviously the extra 19th game to make it exactly half a season could alter the stats slightly, but it's still fairly useful.
To add to that on the 9 occassions United scored more than 40 points in their first 18 games, they only had a better remainder of the season on 1 occassion in 99/00. On 8 occassions they did worse in the 2nd half of the season, albeit sometimes narrowly, sometimes it really did cost them. When they scored less than 40 points only once did they fail to do better in the 2nd half of the season, which was last year when they did about the same in both halves.
Basically it shows they generally even out if they have a really great/really poor first half of the season, when they've had great starts they've never really gone on to blow the league away by doing the same in the 2nd half of the season, in fact they've gone backwards and sometimes it's cost them the league.
On 4 occassions they have gained 40 points or more in the first 18 games of the season and gone on not to win the title, from this position they have won the league 5 times, meaning that they have only a 56% conversion rate when they have 40+ pts from 18 games. On the flip side they have only lost the title 3 times when they scored less than 40 points from 18 games, and won 7 of their titles from this position.
I think there's less to fear than we believe when we get fed it by the media, they are a great side obviously but they're not perfect. They have a number of injuries as well, so we'll see.