What percentage chance of going through (both now and when the draw was made)

I thought Madrid were poor. PSG were a lot better. They might have Ronaldo back but I'm not concerned too much about being able to defend against them. They surprised me defensively. I thought they were a lot more solid than I expected. Both sides will expect to perform better in the second leg. We'll look to keep the ball more. They'll look to be more effective in attacking areas. A 0-0 is fantastic. We are a score draw or win away from qualifying. Ahead of the 2nd leg v Wolfsburg they knew they needed to come flying out of the blocks and did so. They don't need to rush things against us with a 0-0 so might be just as rusty in the 2nd leg. We've been better away from home than at home generally in the CL as well.
 
We have a great chance. Something which gets overlooked, because its convenient and because most pundits are too thick and just follow the crowd, is that defensively we have been very solid for a while now, only conceded 5 goals in our last 12 games. Of course you'll still here "I worry about their defence" and "their defence will always give you a chance" crap by people who don't actually watch us a lot. But we're much better than the general consensus, I expect we could easily hold them to just 1 goal, so I'd say our chances are the very least 50/50
 
50/50, if City sneak an early goal they will come at us all guns blazing and we can hit them again on the counter..
Lesser teams have won there so City have a great chance, especially not conceding an away goal...
 
Score draw or a win will see us through so we got more of a chance thats a fact. Ronaldo might be back but he might pull up in first minute no one knows. I think were destined for milan and think will do it. Weve won at borrusia mochengladbach, sevilla, kiev and an excellent result in paris we will do this. Come on city make us proud
 
I still have us at 100% going through and beating Bayern in final. Written in the stars.
 
whenever madrid have to overcome a first leg deficit most of the times they overcome it, so its a blessing in disguise i reckon :) and if wolsburg were on their game they had plenty of chances to score when they played at bernabeu. Our defense and attacking play is better than wolfsburg and my gut feeling says we,ll go through
 
Blue Til Death said:
50/50, if City sneak an early goal they will come at us all guns blazing and we can hit them again on the counter..
Lesser teams have won there so City have a great chance, especially not conceding an away goal...
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They haven't conceded a goal at home in this years compo, but then again they haven't played us yet.
 
30% chance in my eyes at Kick off. Still at 30%. We've played bayern, barca, Dortmund and Real Madrid before and been 2nd best. They shaded it but I saw enough to think we can go there and get a goal. It will be a different type of game

If anything it was Real madrid who disappointed rather than City. i expected more from them.
 
bellsouth said:
We have a great chance. Something which gets overlooked, because its convenient and because most pundits are too thick and just follow the crowd, is that defensively we have been very solid for a while now, only conceded 5 goals in our last 12 games. Of course you'll still here "I worry about their defence" and "their defence will always give you a chance" crap by people who don't actually watch us a lot. But we're much better than the general consensus, I expect we could easily hold them to just 1 goal, so I'd say our chances are the very least 50/50
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Spot on. Must admit, i was in the keep Vinnie out of the game yesterday, buy my, he proved me wrong. Him and Ota had a brilliant performance. Mangler must be thinking, crikey, the bar is high at this club.
 
I've never been Pellegrini's biggest fan, but this was his preferred tactic at both Villarreal and Malaga, often progressing after a goalless home first leg, and then going for the away goal.
Even when Malaga were robbed at Dortmund, the first leg was goalless.

We've got a chance in Madrid, but let's not kid ourselves. We'll need, discipline, concentration, and a lot of luck.
 
mosssideblue said:
Spot on. Must admit, i was in the keep Vinnie out of the game yesterday, buy my, he proved me wrong. Him and Ota had a brilliant performance. Mangler must be thinking, crikey, the bar is high at this club.
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Andouble said:
35%, historically speaking.


Under current regulations, 712 european ties started with 0-0 on 1st leg. 462 times (65%) went through the one with 2nd leg at home.
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Interesting stat that. If form and betting odds aren't used and just maths. It's 65.625 in our favour. Think the way to approach this, is to try and make it an end to end game . I feel confident if we can do that.
 
i8therags said:
Interesting stat that. If form and betting odds aren't used and just maths. It's 65.625 in our favour. Think the way to approach this, is to try and make it an end to end game . I feel confident if we can do that.
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how do you get that?
 
worsleyweb said:
how do you get that?
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They aren't betting odds btw. So a pinch of salt is req lol. There are 4 possible results. Loose, draw 0.0,scoring draw, win. At normal time. If it's 0.0 then extra time will have the same possible results. A 0.0 then will be 50. 50 on pens. So lose (0 percent) 0.0-0 (62.5 percent) score draw (100 percent) win (100 percent) add and devide by 4. 65.625 percent. And yes I've too much time on my hands today lol.
 
Scaring Europe to Death said:
I've never been Pellegrini's biggest fan, but this was his preferred tactic at both Villarreal and Malaga, often progressing after a goalless home first leg, and then going for the away goal.
Even when Malaga were robbed at Dortmund, the first leg was goalless.

We've got a chance in Madrid, but let's not kid ourselves. We'll need, discipline, concentration, and a lot of luck.
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Where's this "often progressing after a goaless home first leg" home leg coming from? I can't find 1 example for him at both Villareal or Malaga. Sure, he had plenty of 0-0 in group stages and the 4 against United in 5/6 and 8/9 are testimony to that. But the group stages are a different beast.
 
Pablo ZZZ Peroni said:
Where's this "often progressing after a goaless home first leg" home leg coming from? I can't find 1 example for him at both Villareal or Malaga. Sure, he had plenty of 0-0 in group stages and the 4 against United in 5/6 and 8/9 are testimony to that. But the group stages are a different beast.
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You've answered your own question mate because the Group Stages are decided on head to head if the team's are level.
Like I said, I'm not a Pellegrini apologist, but that's how he set his teams up for the home games.
 
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