Who Will Pose A Threat Next Season

Liverpool have a lot of cash to spend. They are making big revenues and still have a warchest from the Couthino deal of £75m . They can easily spend £200m and stay within FFP. If they get a good keeper they will be a major threat. They need more strong squad addtions but Keita is a great signing. I can't see Spurs stepping up as they will be getting used to the new stadium. The Rags have overachieved this season with an ageing and over-rated squad. They will struggle and Peg will be gone by Christmas.
 
Would be amazed if we were anywhere near as dominant next season. Something that's easy to overlook is injuries; the past few season we've been hit pretty hard pretty often in key areas & it's shown - this season though I'd argue our 4 most important players to how we play are Sterling/Sane (providing our width) & De Bruyne/Silva (best players); yes they've had niggles but for the majority of the season we've had them available. I remember similar for Leicester with Mahrez/Vardy/Kante, and Chelsea last season.
Think we coped immensely well with the Mendy injury (props to Pep & Delph in my opinion). I expect we'll have a little more depth in those positions next season so we may be able to cope if one does get a bad injury.

In terms of which teams can compete:

Liverpool will have the best 11 outside of ourselves, with Keita coming into midfield; they'll be a keeper away from a great spine (Keeper-Van Dijk-Keita-Firmino with Salah/Mane). But again this season they've rarely had injury issues to key players, a bad injury for one of their front 3 would be pretty detrimental & you just need to look at their benches to see they lack depth - may be able to add some depth but would be difficult to add enough. On paper they should challenge, but so often they drop points against lower teams, can they change that habit? We'll see.

For United I just don't see it. I feel like they've overachieved this season, and when you see them play they're simply not as good as Spurs or Liverpool for me. They need new fullbacks, they need at least 1 centreback, need at least 1 centre-mid, likely need back-up for Matic, need some actual wingers rather than forcing Martial/Sanchez/Rashford into that position & then actually need to sort out their issues within the team (all the media stuff about Pogba/Martial etc.). It seems a huge overhaul job, both us & them had this overhaul to do, and it feels like we've almost completed ours & managed to win the title whilst doing so, whereas they've just reshuffled what needs doing & still have a lot to go.

Spurs I think it's tough for them. Some of their players have to be looking at Walker & thinking his wage went up & now he has 2 medals round his neck. Add onto that the lack of spending power, and seeming desire of Alderweireld to leave. They'll do great to hang onto Eriksen Kane & Son; it's hard to see them keeping their key players and managing to strengthen enough to close the gap.

Chelsea I think will be a big threat. We've seen time & again how much of an advantage being out of Europe can be for a league challenge. They forever have this habit of one good one bad season. Expect a change of manager & a strong title challenge. Squad definitely needs a revamp though, but it's got a solid basis if they keep key players which they usually seem to.

Arsenal... Never know with a new manager could give them a boost, got some decent players, but very hard to see them making a real challenge.
 
Would be amazed if we were anywhere near as dominant next season. Something that's easy to overlook is injuries; the past few season we've been hit pretty hard pretty often in key areas & it's shown - this season though I'd argue our 4 most important players to how we play are Sterling/Sane (providing our width) & De Bruyne/Silva (best players); yes they've had niggles but for the majority of the season we've had them available. I remember similar for Leicester with Mahrez/Vardy/Kante, and Chelsea last season.
Think we coped immensely well with the Mendy injury (props to Pep & Delph in my opinion). I expect we'll have a little more depth in those positions next season so we may be able to cope if one does get a bad injury.

In terms of which teams can compete:

Liverpool will have the best 11 outside of ourselves, with Keita coming into midfield; they'll be a keeper away from a great spine (Keeper-Van Dijk-Keita-Firmino with Salah/Mane). But again this season they've rarely had injury issues to key players, a bad injury for one of their front 3 would be pretty detrimental & you just need to look at their benches to see they lack depth - may be able to add some depth but would be difficult to add enough. On paper they should challenge, but so often they drop points against lower teams, can they change that habit? We'll see.

For United I just don't see it. I feel like they've overachieved this season, and when you see them play they're simply not as good as Spurs or Liverpool for me. They need new fullbacks, they need at least 1 centreback, need at least 1 centre-mid, likely need back-up for Matic, need some actual wingers rather than forcing Martial/Sanchez/Rashford into that position & then actually need to sort out their issues within the team (all the media stuff about Pogba/Martial etc.). It seems a huge overhaul job, both us & them had this overhaul to do, and it feels like we've almost completed ours & managed to win the title whilst doing so, whereas they've just reshuffled what needs doing & still have a lot to go.

Spurs I think it's tough for them. Some of their players have to be looking at Walker & thinking his wage went up & now he has 2 medals round his neck. Add onto that the lack of spending power, and seeming desire of Alderweireld to leave. They'll do great to hang onto Eriksen Kane & Son; it's hard to see them keeping their key players and managing to strengthen enough to close the gap.

Chelsea I think will be a big threat. We've seen time & again how much of an advantage being out of Europe can be for a league challenge. They forever have this habit of one good one bad season. Expect a change of manager & a strong title challenge. Squad definitely needs a revamp though, but it's got a solid basis if they keep key players which they usually seem to.

Arsenal... Never know with a new manager could give them a boost, got some decent players, but very hard to see them making a real challenge.

Games missed -

Mendy - 48
Kompany - 26
Delph - 15
Stones - 14
Jesus - 12
Silva - 10 (Not Injury)
Aguero - 7 (And out for the rest of the season)
Sterling - 5
Sané - 4


I don't think we've been that lucky to be honest. 7 players have or will have missed 20% of the season or more, and at least 4 of them are in our starting XI.

I think the reason we appear unscathed this season is simply because we are now a system based team. The system is king, and the players are coached well enough that if someone is injured you can fit someone else in. Quality in depth probably helps there too.

In contrast under Pellegrini and Mancini we basically had to have Hart, Kompany, Yaya, Silva and Aguero on the pitch or else we were severely weakened.
 
Liverpool, United and Chelsea will all be a threat. Personally, I don't think the North London clubs have enough.
 
Games missed -

Mendy - 48
Kompany - 26
Delph - 15
Stones - 14
Jesus - 12
Silva - 10 (Not Injury)
Aguero - 7 (And out for the rest of the season)
Sterling - 5
Sané - 4


I don't think we've been that lucky to be honest. 7 players have or will have missed 20% of the season or more, and at least 4 of them are in our starting XI.
The fact Kompany and Agüero only missed 33 games put together is a mini miracle. Gündogan staying relatively injury free is another.
 
The fact Kompany and Agüero only missed 33 games put together is a mini miracle. Gündogan staying relatively injury free is another.

I thought that as well but looking into the numbers (and I'm assuming Aguero will be out for the last 5 games after his surgery this morning)

17/18 - 38*
16/17 - 27
15/16 - 46
14/15 - 19
13/14 - 33
12/13 - 21
11/12 - 12

So it's not been a great year for them, second worst since Aguero got here, we just don't miss them as much.
 
I thought that as well but looking into the numbers (and I'm assuming Aguero will be out for the last 5 games after his surgery this morning)

17/18 - 38*
16/17 - 27
15/16 - 46
14/15 - 19
13/14 - 33
12/13 - 21
11/12 - 12

So it's not been a great year for them, second worst since Aguero got here, we just don't miss them as much.
Fair enough... I stand corrected.

I think it will be hard to retain the title, as it always is, mostly because you have a target on your back and expectation on your shoulders.
 
Fair enough... I stand corrected.

I think it will be hard to retain the title, as it always is, mostly because you have a target on your back and expectation on your shoulders.

It won't be easy to retain the title, but quite a few journalists have pointed out this is the biggest gulf in quality between the winners and chasing pack since either United at the turn of the century, or Mourinho's Chelsea.

This level of performance is not unrepeatable, we're a young team that's only going to get better with Mendy and some new signings coming in, plus the kids we have improving under Pep. No one else in the country looks like they could break 90 points next year let alone 100, and I think Pep will be targeting 100 every season he remains here.
 
I think Liverpool will be our closest rivals.

They'll be a very good side, they're building quite the reputation.

Where things might get difficult for them is every team but us parking the bus. They have often struggled against the parked buses.
 
Games missed -

Mendy - 48
Kompany - 26
Delph - 15
Stones - 14
Jesus - 12
Silva - 10 (Not Injury)
Aguero - 7 (And out for the rest of the season)
Sterling - 5
Sané - 4


I don't think we've been that lucky to be honest. 7 players have or will have missed 20% of the season or more, and at least 4 of them are in our starting XI.

I think the reason we appear unscathed this season is simply because we are now a system based team. The system is king, and the players are coached well enough that if someone is injured you can fit someone else in. Quality in depth probably helps there too.

In contrast under Pellegrini and Mancini we basically had to have Hart, Kompany, Yaya, Silva and Aguero on the pitch or else we were severely weakened.
Agreed that we've certainly not been that lucky overall in the injury count. But your list somewhat shows my point that the guys who, for me at least, are key to how we play haven't missed too many games, and often spread out at separate points in the season when we could cope. The games when we've struggled is when we've lost our width in Sane/Sterling, or lost our midfield duo of De Bruyne/Silva - and for the majority of the season we've had these guys available.

I think a big injury to Sane/Sterling is a big worry for us with our current squad. Like you say the system is king, but our current system is so effective because of the width these 2 provide. We've tried De Bruyne/Bernardo out wide this season & whilst they're certainly not bad, we're no where near as effective. However as I say, I expect Pep is acutely aware of that & will add in another natural wide man in the summer to prevent this happening.
 
Chelsea will IMHO be the biggest threat. They will have the majority of the squad that were champions last season, they will have a new manager and they will probably have at least three new starters. They won't have the 'everyone wants to beat the champions' thing, either, nor will they have champions league football. Finish above them, IMO, and we win the league.

The rags are also a danger. They will shell out another £250m this summer, and they might just click. You keep throwing that amount of money at it season after season and one day it may well come good.

Liverpool will be a slightly better version of this season - capable of beating anyone in the league on their day but incapable of sustaining it over the course of a season. Too prone to follow up a really good performance with an abject one. This season they were one long term injury away from finishing outside the top 4. They haven't got the depth of squad to cover an abject loss of form or a bad injury. Other than that, its their year. Obviously.

Tottenham I think will be more of the same UNLESS they win the FA cup. That might spur them on (no pun intended) to better things.

Arsenal will continue to be Arsenal. Probably bottom of the top 6 mini league, but capable of giving anyone a bloody nose on their day.

Personally I think referees and fixtures will be our biggest threats. If we are away at Anfield or the Swamp on the Saturday after we have played CSKA away on the Wednesday, that is going to have a major impact. Look at this season, where we went to Anfield 2 days after a CC semi final and they hadn't had a game in 9 days. That can work in our favour, too, but I think the fixture list can definitely work against us. As to referees, last season we should have been a lot closer to the title but for some pretty awful refereeing decisions - the non-red card against Luiz, the push on Sterling against Tottenham, the not-given handball against Arsenal etc. We've had some bad decisions this season too, but not quite so many in the top 6 clashes where they make the most difference. Next season may be closer to last season's model than this.
 
Chelsea will IMHO be the biggest threat. They will have the majority of the squad that were champions last season, they will have a new manager and they will probably have at least three new starters. They won't have the 'everyone wants to beat the champions' thing, either, nor will they have champions league football. Finish above them, IMO, and we win the league.

The rags are also a danger. They will shell out another £250m this summer, and they might just click. You keep throwing that amount of money at it season after season and one day it may well come good.

Liverpool will be a slightly better version of this season - capable of beating anyone in the league on their day but incapable of sustaining it over the course of a season. Too prone to follow up a really good performance with an abject one. This season they were one long term injury away from finishing outside the top 4. They haven't got the depth of squad to cover an abject loss of form or a bad injury. Other than that, its their year. Obviously.

Tottenham I think will be more of the same UNLESS they win the FA cup. That might spur them on (no pun intended) to better things.

Arsenal will continue to be Arsenal. Probably bottom of the top 6 mini league, but capable of giving anyone a bloody nose on their day.

Personally I think referees and fixtures will be our biggest threats. If we are away at Anfield or the Swamp on the Saturday after we have played CSKA away on the Wednesday, that is going to have a major impact. Look at this season, where we went to Anfield 2 days after a CC semi final and they hadn't had a game in 9 days. That can work in our favour, too, but I think the fixture list can definitely work against us. As to referees, last season we should have been a lot closer to the title but for some pretty awful refereeing decisions - the non-red card against Luiz, the push on Sterling against Tottenham, the not-given handball against Arsenal etc. We've had some bad decisions this season too, but not quite so many in the top 6 clashes where they make the most difference. Next season may be closer to last season's model than this.

Hopefully we will get Liverpool away first game so we can get it out of the way!
 
you would think Liverpool but I don't think they have the squad for a league challenge. Take away one of their front 3 and they're fucked. Add Van Dijk to that too.They are adding Keita who is supposed to be very good but they need more and its quality they need, not numbers. Will they splash the cash?
United and Spurs will be up there but again, I dont see them as 80+ point teams.
Chelsea are the anomaly. New manager and maybe some additions and they are capable of pushing us. Will Roman spend again?
 
Every season for the last however long Liverpool have been tipped to make a credible title challenge and it's never really materialised. In 2013-14 their title hopes hinged on winning the last 14 league matches on the run and this proved beyond them. They seem vulnerable to injury to key players but even more their playing style is based on such high tempo, high energy pressing that they seem unable to keep it up for more than an hour in a single match and for more than a couple of games in succession. As for Spurs it's a bit the same. This was their third successive season in the top four but there hasn't been a genuine title challenge yet and this season they've been a long, long way short of City. United, too, look a long way off the pace - the derby showed that for 20 minutes they may match and even surpass City, but over 38 games they are miles short. Chelsea? Arsenal? I think both have other problems to think about before they can pose a threat to us.

My fear is that history suggests that retaining the PL is actually much more difficult than it was a decade ago and that for City retaining the title is the minimum requirement. City want the CL - badly. The chairman wants a serious attempt to win all four trophies and I bet Pep does too. So I think the biggest threat to City will be City itself (if we don't mention the FA and/or UEFA). What I will say is that the owner will provide the funds to ensure that we have a big enough and good enough squad and the mastermind behind our efforts will be Pep Guardiola.
 
Liverpool for me. They've improved massively against the bottom clubs this season, less individual errors in defence and from their keeper. They've looked in control in those games recently and have the capabilities to score a ton at home. They've also had a good run of clean sheets that they weren't able to accumulate previously.

Chelsea are having a shit season which means they'll be contending next season with a new manager and improved performances + signings. Very odd club, they just have a yearly cycle of good/bad.

United will play like shit once more under Mourinho but get results somehow and comfortably make the Top 4.

Spurs will be Top 4 again but won't have enough to win the league or contend it seriously. They're still a few players off that.

I'm not going to even talk about Arsenal.
 
Agreed that we've certainly not been that lucky overall in the injury count. But your list somewhat shows my point that the guys who, for me at least, are key to how we play haven't missed too many games, and often spread out at separate points in the season when we could cope. The games when we've struggled is when we've lost our width in Sane/Sterling, or lost our midfield duo of De Bruyne/Silva - and for the majority of the season we've had these guys available.

I think a big injury to Sane/Sterling is a big worry for us with our current squad. Like you say the system is king, but our current system is so effective because of the width these 2 provide. We've tried De Bruyne/Bernardo out wide this season & whilst they're certainly not bad, we're no where near as effective. However as I say, I expect Pep is acutely aware of that & will add in another natural wide man in the summer to prevent this happening.

Without Sterling and Sane we could play 3 centre backs and have Walker and Mendy playing as wing backs, like we started this season.
 
if we are as consistent as we have been this season, nobody. Cant see the likes of pool, rags or Chelsea and the spuds keeping up. however I expect it to be a lot closer.
 

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