Agree with all of that mate, but I would also add that there's bias and personal agendas in there too. If you look at the BBC's poll of 30 TV's and Radio "experts", 22 have Chelsea winning it, 4 voted Arsenal, 2 United and 2 yes 2 voted City. And when asked for their top 4 predictions, overall we came fourth with the majority going Chelsea, Arsenal, United, City.
Now I am not suggesting that is impossible, but the weight of bias is too great imho to be down to simply being "uninformed". Many of these pundits are rags or chavs or tarquins or mates of rags or chavs or tarquins and not many (any?) of them are blues or mates of blues.