Prime Minister's Spokesman just cited in the Telegraph as stating that Manchester had 282 confirmed cases on 12 October compared to 89 cases per 100,000 on 28 Sep. Why the mixed data in one comparison?
Cases have tripled amongst the over 60s in past 15 days they say (though not from what to what).
Peak of the wave expected on 2 November but ICU will be full by 28 October.
By Nov 8 all ICU will be Covid patients and by Nov 12 all surgical capacity.
And these are best case estimates.
How accurate is this scary data?
The actual number of cases on 12 October on the Gov site on that day was 333 on the 12th and 401 reported on the 13th from the day before. Neither of which is 282.
The number on the actual date of 12 October after when the cases were allocated to that specific date is not 282 either but 209, 365, 383 over the three dates 11/12/13 October.
So where does the number 282 come from?
And on 27/28/29 September the numbers were 182/119/223 at the start of the rise of student testing numbers that dominated the next week and rise to over 1000 one day then fell back. Which does not seem to square with the 89 cases per 100K as Manchester Pop is around 540,000 - which would make 89 equate to around 490 cases in a week when they had more than that in those 3 days alone.
So where are the government sourcing these numbers? Anyone know as if they have a better source of this I would like to access it every day not the apparently very misleading one given to the public.
