blueparrot
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 7 Jun 2012
- Messages
- 33,407
Only my guess here but this how I think it may pan out. All over 50s will have both doses by about June (about 50-60 mill total doses. June July under 50s get first dose(about 20 mill doses).Now Astra Zeneca think the adapted vaccine will be ready about August, so it's possible August September the unders 50s get the new vaccine for their second dose (20 mill doses.) I would then guess the the 30m million from the first phase could get the new adapted booster from October alongside the flu one we know we are capable of about 4 million a week so the boosters could be done by the beginning of December.Yes, you're right, I alluded to it in an earlier post. The thing is, the flu jab is given during the period Oct - Jan, to ensure that everyone has some protection during the peak flu season (December - March). Currently we don't quite know what sort of protection those getting the second jab over the next few months will have come October, so it is possible that there'll need to be booster jabs before the end of the year as well as vaccinating the remainder of the population. The status we are at currently is that we are aiming to protect all over 50s upto the end of this year, but the virus will continue to circulate amongst the others - and indeed the vaccinated can probably still do so - (who will need hospital admission or die in much smaller numbers - sorry to be blunt). Then for next winter we need to try and vaccinate everyone. It's a big task, that. I think the problem is that the government need to be sure that everyone has had a good chance of getting vaccinated before changing the stance from mandatory to optional. And the situation overseas will be a big factor in that too.
Wishful thinking possibly but not wildly so.