Coronavirus (2021) thread

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somapop said:
Once stayed on the Chiswick/Hammersmith border (gig at the Hammersmith Apollo) and appeared that Richmond was close.
Nice round there.
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If I could afford it, I would live around there. However, the three of us would need a place bigger than a one or two bed flat. :)
 
Healdplace said:
Hospital data has resumed its down track I should add. Will post the full data later but everywhere down today and also a fair drop in Wales patients too over the weekend. Meaning we are 300 or so down day to day. Much as was happening day to day last week.

North West - though - is still not doing quite as well as some other though it was down on both patients and ventilators today its fall over the weekend has been less than it should have been. In 4 days just 30 patients and 4 ventilators.

Still down is down. And we are at 4245 patients in England only and 5139 in the UK. Could be below 4K and 5K respectively tomorrow.

Remember at the height in third week of January we were at just under 40,000 in UK hospitals and several regions in England - in fact all the main ones such as London, South East. North West, Yorkshire and Midlands EACH had more patients in just that single region than are in hospital in England today and in most of those regions more than are in the entire UK today.

A sobering illustration of how fast we have brought this virus under control.
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Thanks for sharing.

I would think with hospitalisations tumbling, the stall in deaths is most likely an outlier, all things considered.

The last two or three days have been really positive with continued falls in the stats, AZ results and the increase in vaccinations. I pretty much refuse to see anything from a negative perspective :)
 
Manc in London said:
Well, very few people have increased incomes. I would think the search for a quick buck will impact on demand in the future. It's not rational but then it is a market with a lot of sellers.

It's not 'economics' either, as such. Unless the 5 years I spent studying another subject.
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Don't forget, ppl in the hospitality sector have regs to obey. They need a cash reserve to carry out any remedial work needed. Inspectors won't let them off.
 
HOSPITAL DATA


Headline:

The steady fall resumes happily. UK patients just over 5000, England just over 4000. UK ventilators just over 700 - down a huge 3300 in 9 weeks. And England under 700. They at least are still falling Every region has less than 1000 patients when London alone had 7000 in January. No wonder deaths are tumbling. And most England regions down on both patients and ventilators again. Though the North West today picked up a bit an resumed its fall it is still a little behind others.

UK total:


Patients 5139 - it was 39, 248 at the peak on 18 Jan - (fall of 34, 109 in 64 days) :- lowest since 12 October

Ventilators 713 it was 4077 at the peak on 24 Jan - (fall of 3364 in 58 days) : lowest since 21 October


England only:-

ADMISSIONS:-

279 Covid admissions (21 March) - following 287, 283, 351, 343, 364, 431, 357 in the week before.


PATIENTS:-

Patients down 256 in day to 4245 v 5664 last week :- lowest since 14 October.

Peak was 34, 336 on 18 Jan (fall 30, 091 in 64 days)

Ventilators: Down in day 29 to 647 v 882 last week :- lowest since 24 October

Peak was 3736 on 24 Jan (fall 3089 in 58 days)



Regions:



Patient // Ventilators // change in past 24 hours and v last week


East down 32 to 382 v 532 // down 2 to 71 v 84

London down 46 to 876 v 1138 // stays at 198 v 287

Midlands down 52 to 896 v 1249 // down 10 to 138 v 196

NE & Yorks down 62 to 675 v 910 // down 2 to 93 v 112

North West down 38 to 749 v 952// down 1 to 85 v 106

South East down 11 to 506 v 676// down 8 to 47 v 68

South West down 15 to 161 v 207 // up 2 to 24 v 29
 
On the AZ trial confusion. The Washington Post reports that the datamonitoring board had seen later, slightly lower efficacy figures and told AZ to include in press release.

1616525579329.png

If true, hard to comprehend why AZ did so.

Data still good (69-74 not significantly different to 79 quoted in press release)

Very odd. Remains not a conspiracy against AZ.

From here

 
Tim of the Oak said:
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In the Netherlands, infections were up 16% last week and 25% in those aged 5-20. The 'Kent' variant has just lain dormant since December and the reopening of schools has accelerated its spread.

To give context for vaccine supply:

"In the past week, the Netherlands received 218,790 doses of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, 44,880 doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine, and 96,000 doses of the Moderna vaccine."

And that's been about the standard since January.
 
roubaixtuesday said:
On the AZ trial confusion. The Washington Post reports that the datamonitoring board had seen later, slightly lower efficacy figures and told AZ to include in press release.

View attachment 13042

If true, hard to comprehend why AZ did so.

Data still good (69-74 not significantly different to 79 quoted in press release)

Very odd. Remains not a conspiracy against AZ.

From here

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What on earth is going on, why are AZ using incorrect efficacy stats in their release? To the tune of about 9%, not exactly earth shattering, which makes it even weirder!!
 
GM Weekly Pop Scores after today:~

Borough / Score Today / Score 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop scores going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop Score is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.



Tameside 124 / 119 / UP 5 Testing positive 7.9%

Salford 109 / 104 / UP 5 Testing positive 8.8%

Oldham 109 / 98 UP 11 Testing positive 9.4%

Bolton 107 / 101/ UP 6 Testing positive 8.8%

Rochdale 105 / 121 / down 16 Testing positive 9.3%

Wigan 103 / 105 / down 2 Testing positive 8.6%

Bury 98 / 73 UP 25 Testing positive 8.8%

Manchester 96 / 88 / UP 8 Testing positive 9.3%

Stockport 78 / 94 / down 16 Testing positive 7.0%

Trafford 45 / 49 / down 4 Testing positive 6.8%


Trafford and Stockport - the two usual low scorers - starting to ease away from the rest which is an early sign of the return of low score normality.

Weekly cases: Trafford 107, Back over the 100 after a few blips lately

Other Bolton 308, Bury 186, Manchester 529, Oldham 257, Rochdale 234, Salford 282, Stockport 227, Tameside 292, Wigan 339
 
KS55 said:
Don't forget, ppl in the hospitality sector have regs to obey. They need a cash reserve to carry out any remedial work needed. Inspectors won't let them off.
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Fair point but those without an hospitality offer have gone OTT.

I would suggest that hospitality only businesses will suffer to a degree as people will be paying more accommodation. We wouldn't be going to a restaurant every night if charged £2k for accommodation.

It honestly wouldn't surprise me that there will be plenty of cancellations if some overseas destinations end up allowing holiday stays by late July August.
 
shemnel said:
What on earth is going on, why are AZ using incorrect efficacy stats in their release? To the tune of about 9%, not exactly earth shattering, which makes it even weirder!!
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Indeed, very odd.

To be pedantic, according to that report, the stats were correct at the pre-agreed interim readout. Further data has then come in, which hasn't yet been through the full validation process, but indicated the marginally lower centrepoint efficacy estimate.

But if true, to go ahead and publish the interim when the datamonitoring board allegedly expressly told them not to seems beyond mad, the more so given the history of the development.

Let's see what AZ come back with...
 
Manc in London said:
Fair point but those without an hospitality offer have gone OTT.

I would suggest that hospitality only businesses will suffer to a degree as people will be paying more accommodation. We wouldn't be going to a restaurant every night if charged £2k for accommodation.

It honestly wouldn't surprise me that there will be plenty of cancellations if some overseas destinations end up allowing holiday stays by late July August.
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Yes, still much is unknown. Better value abroad. I just hope it turns out ok for all, children and young ppl especially. Education so badly hit.
 
Healdplace said:
HOSPITAL DATA

Headline:

The steady fall resumes happily. UK patients just over 5000, England just over 4000. UK ventilators just over 700 - down a huge 3300 in 9 weeks. And England under 700. They at least are still falling Every region has less than 1000 patients when London alone had 7000 in January. No wonder deaths are tumbling. And most England regions down on both patients and ventilators again. Though the North West today picked up a bit an resumed its fall it is still a little behind others.


England only:-

ADMISSIONS:-

279 Covid admissions (21 March) - following 287, 283, 351, 343, 364, 431, 357 in the week before.
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Thanks for posting the data.

Those admission numbers are the ones to watch. Still looking good. Hard to believe we were seeing many, many times that number only 7 weeks ago (2,602 UK admissions on 1 Feb).
 
Bluewonder said:
Deaths registered in the week ending 12th March were 605 fewer than the 5 year average, per the ONS.
This pandemic is over, and has been for some time now.
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Pandemic not over. Just, at present thanks to vaccine, the worst effects of serious illness and death are behind us. But uk is exception in europe. Don't celebrate just yet, maybe there is a sting in the tail.
Be optimistic, tho'.
 
Manc in London said:
I always thought North West London was grim. What I mean by North West, is west of Mill Hill. Places like Brent and Harrow. I'd happily holiday in SW London. Would be nice to spend a weekend in Richmond.
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I once sat outside a pub by the river in Richmond on a glorious sunny day and Concorde flew overhead. It was a spectacular sight. Lovely place Richmond.
 
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