Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Another government scientist wants us to remain in lockdown. As only 23 people who had at least one jab 21+ days beforehand were subsequently hospitalised with Covid (and didn't die) it won't make much difference except to get us closer to herd immunity more quickly - unless a new varriant comes to the party of course.

Bullshit. What he actually said was

"I think if we do start to see significant rises in cases in some parts of the country, they may need to adjust back those dates in order to avoid the situation coming into effect,"


How is this "wants us to remain in lockdown"?
 
2396 cases v 2491 last wk v 2763 wk before & 4052 wk before that.

22 deaths v 38 last wk v 45 wk before & 43 wk before that.

713, 229 pillar 1 & 2 tests - significant fall from over 1 million yesterday.

But up from 668K last week 621K wk before and 681 K wk before that.
 
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Regional Cases Today


Cases show up or down on yesterday and the v number is versus 7 days ago.


SOUTH

East down 57 to 148 v 146

London down 110 to 296 v 341 (London falls big and no longer the highest region)

South East down 76 to 209 v 213 (almost the same week to week)

South West down 22 to 122 v 88





MIDLANDS

East down 41 to 167 v 197

West STAYS at 212 v 166 - remarkably consistent day to day and last week fell by just 1 day to day.




NORTH

North East UP 35 to 118 v 59 (Lowest in England again today but up week to week)

Yorkshire UP 110 to 417 v 493 - big rise takes it back to top and well over London today.



And, NORTH WEST down 60 to 210 v 276.

Good fall by NW to its second lowest total in 6 months. And behind Yorkshire by 207 plus London an West Midlands and just 1 over the South East.
 
Another government scientist wants us to remain in lockdown. As only 23 people who had at least one jab 21+ days beforehand were subsequently hospitalised with Covid (and didn't die) it won't make much difference except to get us closer to herd immunity more quickly - unless a new varriant comes to the party of course.
Not sure if herd immunity is a possibility if this particular virus can mutate so rapidly.
 
yes not as bad as yesterday just knackered and aching. Feel bad as My lad is off school again and he has barely been in! First day back after Easter and off again. Mrs has it but no symptons at all.

Sounds like you've escaped the worse (or the vax has helped....dunno). I was floored for nigh on two weeks.
Carry on recuperating mate....need those Trinity Towers released soon...
 
Greater Manchester Cases


118 cases today - down 40 on yesterday - more than half the NW total which fell by 60 to 210 today.

This is down 57 week to week from 175 - which is the lowest GM total in 2021. And a lot of late 2020 too.


Manchester top scores on 42 - down 2 on day and 5 week to week.

Bolton stays second on 21 - down 4 on the day and 2 on last week. (These two had over half the GM total)

Tameside goes from best to third worst but only up 4 to 12 on the day though rising 11 from last week.


ALL SEVEN OTHER BOROUGHS ARE IN SINGLE FIGURES TODAY!


Salford down 1 on 9 which is a fall of 3 from last wk.

Stockport - on 8 is down 11 on the day and level week to week.

Trafford also on 8 down from 12 on the day and wk to wk.

Oldham makes it a trio on 8 down 2 on the day and another 13 drop on last week.

Wigan down 2 on the day to 6 and 13 wk to wk

Rochdale on 3 down 6 on the day and 21 week to week and best numbers in months here.

And top spot goes again to.....

Bury with just 1 case - lowest you can other than zero - down by 12 on the day and 7 from last week.



As you can see the weekly cases are now a close run fight.


Weekly cases:-

Bury 56, Trafford 62, Tameside 80 , Salford 73, Rochdale 78, Wigan 79, Stockport 82, Oldham 110, Bolton 156, Manchester 278.
 
GM Weekly Pop Data after today:~

Borough / Pop Today / 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.



Bolton 54 / 34 / UP 20 Testing positive 9.1%

Manchester 51 / 39/ UP 12 Testing positive 9.6%

Oldham 46 / 48 DOWN 2 Testing positive 9.7%

Tameside 36 / 16 UP 20 Testing positive 8.1%

Rochdale 35 / 42 / DOWN 7 Testing positive 9.6%

Bury 29 / 18 / UP 11 Testing positive 9.0%

Salford 28 / 28 / LEVEL Testing positive 8.9%

Stockport 28 / 19 / UP 9 Testing positive 7.1%

Trafford 26 / 20 / UP 6 Testing positive 6.9%

Wigan 24 / 30 / DOWN 6 Testing positive 8.8%


Half the borough under 30 and separated by just 5. Wigan take over the lead after some impressive scores. Stockport slips a little after a couple of 'high' scores by current standards,

But in essence the county is evening out and returning to what it looks like at low numbers all round.
 
HOSPITAL DATA

Summary:



As you can below the fall in patients was modest today - 40 versus 85 last week - to just over 1600 in hospital in England now.

But the fall in ventilators was better at 24 versus 21 last week. Now under 250 in England - and London went below 100 finally today - so no nation or England region now has a three figure number of Covid patients on ventilators.

And the UK under has 1900 in hospital with Covid and under 300 on ventilators.


In the England regions London was up a little but Yorkshire and the North West both had the largest falls - though modest at 17 patients each they are only around 250 in hospital each now.

The NW was last lower in patients on 13 September - ahead of the national picture. They were last lower on ventilators on 15 September - also ahead of the national numbers.




UK total:


Patients down to 1876 - it was 39, 248 at the peak on 18 Jan - (fall of 37, 372 in 93 days) :- lowest since 24 September

Ventilators down to 277 it was 4077 at the peak on 24 Jan - (fall of 3800 in 87 days) : lowest since 27 September


England only:-


ADMISSIONS
:-

138 Covid admissions (16 April) following 112, 135, 148, 127. 156, 153, 173 in the week before.



PATIENTS:-


Patients down by 40 to 1609 v 1972 last week :- lowest since 24 September

Peak was 34, 336 on 18 Jan (fall 32, 727 in 93 days)

Ventilators: down 24 to 249 v 315 last week :- lowest since 28 September

Peak was 3736 on 24 Jan (fall 3487 in 87 days)



Regions:


Patient // Ventilators // change in past day to today and v last week



East down 3 to 178 v 181 // stays at 15 v 20

London UP 14 to 453 v 513// down 11 to 96 v 106

Midlands UP 1 to 301 v 364 // UP 1 to 51 v 64

NE & Yorks down 17 to 253 v 348 // down 7 to 34 v 52

North West down 17 to 247 v 358 // down 6 to 31 v 46

South East down 15 to 109 v 138 // down 1 to 15 v 13

South West down 3 to 68 v 70 // stays at 7 v 14
 
Bullshit. What he actually said was

"I think if we do start to see significant rises in cases in some parts of the country, they may need to adjust back those dates in order to avoid the situation coming into effect,"

How is this "wants us to remain in lockdown"?
Well if you can't see the pronouncement for what it is, you never will.
 
Man he's cherry picked and twisted stuff. What a diarritic stream.


One thing I will say, is that I appreciate how difficult it is to believe that flu can simply disappear, like it has this winter gone. With the bumper flu vaccination rate and the increased health awareness and masks and distancing and so on and so on, you'd expect flu to crash to new lows but I also find zero cases in 7 weeks pretty amazing. Still, to equate that to a covid hoax is mental.
 
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