SamTheGuru
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 14 Sep 2009
- Messages
- 3,953
- Team supported
- MCFC OK
I wonder if a lot of people are just assuming this is the first time he's "struggled".
I had a look at his league stats, and in his two full seasons at Dortmund he scored in 14 and then 13 different matches - around half the matches he played. At City last season, he scored in 23 games.
Even taking into account the extra games, and lack of injuries, it's still a significant jump.
I think the 'goal a game' record throughout his career, and his exceptional season last year, has given the impression that he scores every time he plays, but clearly his recent record isn't actually that different.
There is definitely an illusion around Erling. I was cursing him today again and then you realise, "Oh, he just scored 2 more today".
It's basic probability. If you get yourself in enough positions to score through movement, then it does not matter how many you convert. Kun was a lot like this in his first few years with us, and I am sure the majority of people do no remember just how many sitters he used to miss. He obviously adapted his game as he got older and became less dynamic but more efficient.