I genuinely believe that every seasoncard holder will get a chance to buy. Bluemoon is too much of a City microcosm, to actually paint the true picture of the financial and logistical nightmare this game in Istanbul has become.
Let's consider a family of four on the CL Scheme. Ticket cost probably circa £1k, Travel Cost probably £2K, Accommodation around £300, Food, Drinks, Airport Parking etc... They are probably looking at £4k minimum and it's actually term/exam time!
So common sense would believe that it is fair to say, that for every 4 young adults that may be in the CL scheme and apply, it only takes 1 fanily of 4 to say no chance and that a 50% take up rate. Now let's consider older folk who may be restricted by their health, their limited IT/Digital Ticket savvy, their passport validity, their pets or that they might provide childcare for grandchildren, or even their insecurity of such an adventure!
I'd be confident to predict that for every CL scheme member who does apply, there will be at least another (if not more) who don't.
Even single travellers (who you'd naturally expect to take up the challenge of going) are looking at around £1000-£1500 for the trip, (depending which ticket they get), and sadly for many that will be just too much!