Coronavirus (2021) thread

roubaixtuesday

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Great stuff.

That's an estimated 1 in 500 WITH the virus, isn't it, rather than 1 in 500 testing positive on a particular day etc?

ONS take a random sample.

One in 500 of those tested positive.

You can't directly link it to the daily positive count, but expect the same trend.
 

BlueHammer85

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‘Could’ be a lot more problematic

‘May’ be even less controlled

Yes, it's just a potential concern by a professor in Medicine who i'm pretty certain is more qualified than someone who dismisses any concerns as 'scaremongering shite'
 

grunge

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Few on here could take his advice.

The media does certainly like to blow things out of proportion thats for sure. and it will lead to a crying wolf situation im sure of it.

On the other hand,Prof Francois Balloux needs to be taken with a pinch of salt too, he seems to jump to a lot of conclusions as well and be far too confident in them. He posts this as a fact while there is growing evidence out of Brazil that something maybe different, he's probably right but stating it as a fact is just as bad as crying wolf.

"Despite multiple claims in the media, none of the variants in circulation targets a different host demography and/or is specifically more virulent in younger adults or children. "


Point is tho, we need to keep an eye on variants of note and as soon as its looking like something is dodgy we need to act. if we wait for 100% confirmation then its too late. Pro active rather than reactive. we blocked travel with Brazil based on zero evidence at the time, just some "reports" on the P1 variant yet have not blocked travel India where there is actually some concern. seems very odd.
 
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roubaixtuesday

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ONS take a random sample.

One in 500 of those tested positive.

You can't directly link it to the daily positive count, but expect the same trend.

Survey here. All very good news, prevalence dropping everywhere.


Cases numbers so low now that error bars are quite large, one interesting feature is that they are showing the same plateau then fall that was seen in the daily test figures. That suggests the plateau was real rather than an artefact of increased testing on schools return as many people (me included) thought likely.
 

Healdplace

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Wales update:

0 deaths - was 1 last week

48 cases - was 114 last week

0.4% positivity - was 0.8 % last week

Remarkable numbers.

Cannot recall a lower case number on normal weekday from over 10,000 tests too - and 4 of the last 5 Welsh numbers have been below 100 and the one that wasn't was just 105.

Just checked and it was August Bank Holiday last time it was lower than 48.
 

Healdplace

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Zoe App update

UK Cases estimated down 85 on yesterday to 1399. Was 1956 last Friday.

And ongoing symptomatic cases down 1528 to 30, 455. Was 43, 356 last Friday.

If these tumbling numbers are anything like reality there seems little stopping this down track.

Much as we are seeing from the hospitalisation data.

Unfortunately the North West has risen to second highest with only Yorkshire out of the England regions and 3 nations above it.

Though Yorkshire is significantly higher still and in the higher bracket that North West is not yet.

That NW focus seems to be around St Helens/Wigan/Bolton/Leigh where the highest cases are right now it suggests.
 
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splinter

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Wales update:

0 deaths - was 1 last week

48 cases - was 114 last week

0.4% positivity - was 0.8 % last week

Remarkable numbers.

Cannot recall a lower case number on normal weekday from over 10,000 tests too - and 4 of the last 5 Welsh numbers have been below 100 and the one that wasn't was just 105.

Just checked and it was August Bank Holiday last time it was lower than 48.
I like it
 

Healdplace

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Wales vaccination data:

1, 657, 028 first doses given - 16, 983 today - was 18, 763 yesterday & 17, 362 last week

574, 590 second doses given - 14, 702 today - was 10. 695 yesterday & 13, 579 last week
 

davealvers

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Yes, it's just a potential concern by a professor in Medicine who i'm pretty certain is more qualified than someone who dismisses any concerns as 'scaremongering shite'

But taking these quotes in isolation to imply it’s something to be deeply worried about is just creating hysteria and is a never ending loop. What would you expect a professor to say when asked about variants? He can’t dismiss them as that would take months of evidence and so regardless of his qualifications, anyone with a bit of common sense is able to say that things ‘could’ be this or ‘may’ be that. It doesn’t mean it WILL end up in armageddon despite the media whipping people up into a frenzy and trashing mental health
 

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