Coronavirus (2021) thread

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I don’t think last season’s Champions League nor mid-season internationals should have taken place. Especially the internationals with players mixing then going back to their clubs.

European Championships was well into our vaccine rollout so less of an issue but still a minor factor for our rise in cases. As long as it doesn’t translate to too many deaths though, it’ll be alright.
Don’t know if they should or shouldn’t but I don’t think players or staff playing in the c/l or internationals caused any spread or problems in the general population. The euros will be much more responsible for rises.
 
Data finally up.

31, 795 cases as we knew

86 all settings deaths - as we did not.

That means 74 in England - so a high number here from A Friday.

It was jut 35 last Friday,

Deaths lag cases by a week or two remember, So these come from before these case falls.

North West was still the highest region on 17 deaths yesterday,
 
North West had its lowest cases total in 34 days on just 3615. Down 557 on the day,

GM did NOT fall by much of those - largely due to a modest rise in Trafford.

In total NW on 1618 - down just 5 of that NW drop of 557 day to day.

Week to week though the numbers are better.

The NW fell another new record of 3809 week to week - more than the actual total they got yesterday!

GM not quite at 42% par of that fall but still a very hefty fall of 1470 of that 3809.

So some giant week to week drops in GM. And the other good aspect of the above split is that other parts of the NW outside GM are clearly now falling too - which is the progression you would expect to see - as GM rose first, fell first and the others should follow. And now seem to be doing so.

The other good news is that the regions are now remarkably aligned - just 300 cases separating North West, West Midlands, South East and Yorkshire.

London - like everywhere well down - was 900 above the NW on 4557 - though still well down week to week as is everywhere.
 
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Just walked down train to go toilet.
Passed about 50 people. Would say only about 8 were wearing masks.
I’ve just had a weekend in London visiting my daughter. I would say basically everyone was wearing masks in the underground, walking in restaurants and the the Uber water taxi .
 
The GM total yesterday of 1618 is the lowest since 6 July (1605).

Comparing day to day here is how the 10 boroughs shared the numbers THEN - 3 weeks ago - versus NOW.

UP Bolton 27, Bury 25,Oldham 26, Rochdale 2, Salford 46, Stockport 14

DOWN Manchester 66. Tameside 3. Trafford 5, Wigan 53

So Manchester and Wigan have turned things round the most and Salford gone the other way the most,
 
Vaccination data yesterday

Percentage of adult UK population as eligible

88% have had first doses - 42, 117 given yesterday

69.9% have had second doses - 177, 490 yesterday
 
GM VACCINE UPDATE:




Latest Vaccine Update by Population Percentage for 10 GM boroughs

Borough/ First Dose / Both Doses - TODAY V YESTERDAY


BOLTON 78.0% / 63.7% V 77.9%/ 63.3% Up 0.5

BURY 79.5% / 64.8% V 79.5% / 64.4% Up 0.4

MANCHESTER 62.9% / 45.2% V 62.8% / 45.0% Up 0.3

OLDHAM 75.1% / 60.0% V 75.0% / 59.8% Up 0.3

ROCHDALE 75.8% / 61.9% V 75.7% / 61.8% Up 0.2

SALFORD 70.0% / 51.1% V 69.9% / 50.7% Up 0.5

STOCKPORT 84.0% / 68.5% V 83.9% / 68.0% Up 0.6

TAMESIDE 79.6% / 65.6% V 79.5%/ 65.2% Up 0.5

TRAFFORD 81.5% / 67.2% V 81.4% / 66.8% UP 0.5

WIGAN 82.8% / 67.8% V 82.7% / 67.5%% Up 0.4




Stockport on 0.6 - the most today.

Rochdale the least on 0.2

As you see not even Stockport - easily best in GM - is quite up to the national % number levels.

Manchester - the worst uptake - is way below them.

Salford - the second lowest behind Manchester - has done enough to top 50% second doses and 70% first doses in the past week. The second of those was yesterday,

Manchester still looks some way off either.
 
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Can somebody on here tell me how getting the jab stops the spread and so helps others? It's a genuine question that I haven't been able to find the answer to.


Mounting evidence suggests COVID vaccines do reduce transmission. How does this work?

Since COVID-19 vaccines began rolling out across the world, many scientists have been hesitant to say they can reduce transmission of the virus.

Their primary purpose is to prevent you from getting really sick with the virus, and it quickly became clear the vaccines are highly efficient at doing this. Efficacy against symptoms of the disease in clinical trials has ranged from 50% (Sinovac) to 95% (Pfizer/BioNTech), and similar effectiveness has been reported in the real world.

However, even the best vaccines we have are not perfect, which means some vaccinated people still end up catching the virus. We call these cases “breakthrough” infections. Indeed, between April 10 and May 1, six people in hotel quarantine in New South Wales tested positive for COVID-19, despite being fully vaccinated.

But how likely are vaccinated people to actually pass the virus on, if they do get infected? Evidence is increasing that, not only do COVID-19 vaccines either stop you getting sick or substantially reduce the severity of your symptoms, they’re also likely to substantially reduce the chance of transmitting the virus to others.

But how does this work, and what does it mean for the pandemic?

Vaccinated people are much less likely to pass on the virus

Early evidence from testing in animals, where researchers can directly study transmission, suggested immunisation with COVID-19 vaccines could prevent animals passing on the virus.

But animals are not people, and the scientific community has been waiting for more conclusive studies in humans.

In April, Public Health England reported the results of a large study of COVID-19 transmission involving more than 365,000 households with a mix of vaccinated and unvaccinated members.

It found immunisation with either the Pfizer or AstraZeneca vaccine reduced the chance of onward virus transmission by 40-60%. This means that if someone became infected after being vaccinated, they were only around half as likely to pass their infection on to others compared to infected people who weren’t vaccinated.

One study from Israel, which leads the world in coronavirus vaccinations, gives some clues about what’s behind this reduced transmission. Researchers identified nearly 5,000 cases of breakthrough infection in previously vaccinated people, and determined how much virus was present in their nose swabs. Compared to unvaccinated people, the amount of virus detected was significantly lower in those who got vaccinated.

More virus in the nose has been linked to greater infectiousness and increased risks of onward transmission.

These studies show vaccination is likely to substantially reduce virus transmission by reducing the pool of people who become infected, and reducing virus levels in the nose in people with breakthrough infections.

Why does this matter?

If COVID-19 vaccines reduce the chances of transmitting the virus, then each person who is vaccinated protects not only themselves, but also people around them. Breaking chains of transmission within the community and limiting onward spread is critical to help protect people who may respond poorly to immunisation or may not be able to get vaccinated themselves, such as children, some older people, and some people who are immunocompromised.

This also greatly increases the opportunity to achieve some degree of population (or “herd”) immunity, and a faster easing of social restrictions.
 
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