Coronavirus (2021) thread

[unicorn]

Better news from the hospitals. Under 9000 now in hospital across UK....TV news if you are reading!


Hospital data:

As I suggested they would last night - happily - after the small Monday rise in numbers we often see things returned to their steady downward path today.

UK total:


Patients 8999 - it was 39, 248 at the peak on 18 Jan - (fall of 30, 249 in 50 days)

Ventilators 1295 - it was 4077 at the peak on 24 Jan - (fall of 2782 in 44 days)

Apparently the media aren't interested in the progress of the pandemic. A minor family squabble is more important.

 

[kevin horlocks wand]

Better news from the hospitals. Under 9000 now in hospital across UK....TV news if you are reading!


Hospital data:

As I suggested they would last night - happily - after the small Monday rise in numbers we often see things returned to their steady downward path today.


UK total:


Patients 8999 - it was 39, 248 at the peak on 18 Jan - (fall of 30, 249 in 50 days)

Ventilators 1295 - it was 4077 at the peak on 24 Jan - (fall of 2782 in 44 days)



England only:-

Patients: down 396 in day to 7451 v 10, 121 last week

Peak was 34, 336 on 18 Jan (fall 26, 885 in 50 days)

Ventilators: Down in day 49 to 1187 v 1556 last week

Peak was 3736 on 24 Jan (fall 2549 in 44 days)



Regions:



Patient // Ventilators // change in past 24 hours and v last week


East down 72 to 709 v 1032 // down 1 to 107 v 134

London down 70 to 1481 v 1932 // down 21 to 358 v 485

Midlands down 83 to 1653 v 2304 // down 9 to 257 v 328

NE & Yorks down 44 to 1221 v 1629// down 4 to 165 v 200

North West down 51 to 1167 v 1540 // down 4 to 141 v 182

South East down 46 to 937 v 1248 // down 9 to 118 v 174

South West down 30 to 283 v 436 // down 1 41 v 53



Every region down in both patients and ventilators quite consistently.

lovely jubilee

 

[cleavers]

Apparently the media aren't interested in the progress of the pandemic.

There's no drama at the moment, they need another wave to spark their interest.

 

[roubaixtuesday]

Those graphs suggest there is a plateau point in cases and deaths below which - vaccines or not - we will not go. As this is in effect an endemic disease and vaccines will help but will never eradicate.

Although in truth this was alway looking like the outcome - that is still going to be a hard sell to the public who are likely perceiving them as the end game when they are really only ever going to be a way to curb the worst case outcomes as we live with a level of disease and death from Covid we will have to accept as normal.

If that proves to be where we are the debate on how and when we open up will have a different dimension.

I'd interpret it differently. The UK graph isn't plateauing, it's continuing to fall exponentially. You can see it better on a log plot:




So far, most of the reduction in deaths has been down to the lockdown rather than vaccines. Death rates will fall according to both restrictions and vaccination. We're doing much better on restrictions, so are seeing a continued fall despite having vaccinated far fewer people.

I think deaths should be able to be driven much lower than they are currently in Israel.

 

[i8rags]

Funeral today for my old man, very somber affair and upsetting, hopefully my family is done with this fucking nightmare and life might not be dominated by covid. Good luck blues to you and yours, see you on the other side.

 

[Manc in London]

Yeah, this argument is repeated ad nauseum.

An analogy:

"There's a tsunami coming - evacuate to high ground or thousands will die!"

[we evacuate. nobody dies]

"Why were you scaremongering?? Nobody died!"

Haha. I had to read that twice though.

 

[Didsbury Dave]

Funeral today for my old man, very somber affair and upsetting, hopefully my family is done with this fucking nightmare and life might not be dominated by covid. Good luck blues to you and yours, see you on the other side.

sorry to hear that mate. Good luck to you too.

 

[splinter]

Funeral today for my old man, very somber affair and upsetting, hopefully my family is done with this fucking nightmare and life might not be dominated by covid. Good luck blues to you and yours, see you on the other side.

sorry blue..may he rest in peace..

 

[cookster]

Funeral today for my old man, very somber affair and upsetting, hopefully my family is done with this fucking nightmare and life might not be dominated by covid. Good luck blues to you and yours, see you on the other side.

Sorry for your loss pal.

 

[Manc in London]

Funeral today for my old man, very somber affair and upsetting, hopefully my family is done with this fucking nightmare and life might not be dominated by covid. Good luck blues to you and yours, see you on the other side.

Really sad to hear. My condolences to you and your family.