Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Wales have announced they are not going to issue data on Saturdays starting with none this Saturday.

So Friday data will be published on Sunday and Monday will be double dose of both weekend days.
 
Wales vaccination update:

1, 640, 045 first doses given - 18, 763 today - was 18, 343 yesterday & 17, 119 last week

559, 888 second doses given - 10, 695 today - was 11, 998 yesterday & 9169 last week
 
Zoe App cases down again to just 1484 - down 114 on yesterday and from 1970 last week

And ongoing symptomatic cases down to 31, 972 - down 1461 on yesterday and from 44, 736 last week

Unfortunately for GM - though not surprisingly looking at the real case data recently - Oldham is now outstripping everywhere either side of the Pennines with 3026 ongoing cases per million. An estimated 708 actual current cases.

Here are the other GM borough estimated cases

cases / per million

Bolton 466 / 1643

Bury 48 / 255

Manchester 192 / 353

Rochdale 63 / 289

Salford 64 / 251

Stockport 87 / 300

Tameside 64 / 284

Trafford 62 / 265

Wigan 302 / 932
 
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BBC local news reports a person on the Isle of Man has died after a bad reaction to the Covid vaccine.

Anaphylactic reaction. Not a blood clot.
 
More on England hospital deaths

By region: East 6. London 4, Midlands 4, NE & Yorkshire 6, North West 4, South East 3, South West 1

No trust had more than 2 deaths.

The NW deaths were one each in Blackpool, Manchester, Pennine & Tameside.


I should add that I think yesterday which if you recall had 0 for Tuesday was missing some of that data

That date adds 12 today whereas yesterday just 3.

My guess is about half that 12 probably got missed yesterday for some reason to bring the zero report.

So it might be that 32 instead of 26 was the truer number that should have been reported yesterday and 22 instead of 28 today as the more accurate split of the 54 reported over the two days either way.

It is not very important in the scheme of things. But I am pretty sure some of that 12 added today for 2 days ago should have been included yesterday.

Regardless of the split both yesterday and today would have been down on last week either way.

And 54 over these two usually two of the highest days of the week where in January we had nearly 2000 in that 48 hour period reveals how far we have come. 2000 to 54 in 12 weeks is amazing.
 
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Healdplace said:
I fear the publicity will create a glut of links to things that happened after having the jab.

I suspect if 30 million have two jabs of AZ in the UK over six months or so this year then you could probably find a way to correlate numerous collections of 'side effects' that are probably there by total coincidence given such big numbers

This is going to be a minefield.

The key question is does that person have any predisposition anyway?

My friend was at hospital yesterday being studied by doctors for her ongoing heart issues. She has had both AZ jabs (the second one last weekend) and has had a clot in her legs before and they think she might have a small one now too.

Not once did they or she suggest the AZ vaccine caused it. But it will be very easy to take that path as this happens across millions of people and when the media get their teeth into this kind of is it or isn't it correlation.
Click to expand...
The question of causation is the issue I reckon, as opposed to correlation, but fully agree with the overall point you are making here.
 
so the SA variant, 501.V2 / B.1.351, is on the loose. That's the way it is.

as far as i know, the variant does not escape vaccination but may reduce the efficacy of serious illness prevention a bit. To what degree isn't entirely known.

it may also remove some of the benefits that vaccines appear to bring with regards to transmission, but again this isnt quite known.

sadly the large vaccine efficacy study in Israel published today in NEJM that i posted earlier does not really have much of the SA variant in due to the rarity in Israel at the time.

so. to what degree will the IFR rise as a result of the circulation of SA variant B.1.351. Do you mitigate with full lockdown and get back on the merry-go-round or let it spread, albeit more slowly under new circumstances. Be fucked if i know.
 
Here are figures for each region of England just released showing the % of population aged over 50 who have had at least one vaccination dose.


East of England. 96%

London. 86.7%

Midlands. 95.5%

NE &Yorkshire. 95.7%

North West. 94.9%

South East. 96%

South West. 96.9%


London again being the problem area. Why is this happening as it had been true throughout the vaccination programme and might be a factor in why the variant has taken root there.
 
Scotland vaccination data:

2, 708, 691 first doses given - 13, 720 today - was 12, 265 yesterday & 14, 899 last week

661, 975 second doses given - 27, 553 today - was 29. 296 yesterday & 21. 137 last week
 
Northern Ireland data:


2 deaths - was 2 last week

159 cases - was 98 last week

5.6% positivity - was 5.1% last week

7 day rolling cases total 833 - was 780 yesterday and 535 last week

3 Care Home Outbreaks - down from 4 yesterday and from 5 last week.

76 patients - up 6 in day - was 102 last week

6 ventilated icu - up 1 in day - was 9 last week


Some slightly worrying signs - weekly cases now going steadily up again. Most today in a while here

Patients and ventilators up too in day. Though at a very low level after recent big falls,

And care homes fallen again to almost nil now.

I suspect the patients adding on will not be in the most vulnerable group given the age testing positive.
 
Northern Ireland past 7 days testing positive by age:

0 - 19 (195) 23.4%

20 - 39 (319) 38.3%

40 - 59 (224) 26.9%

60 - 79 (81) 9.7%

80 PLUS (13) 1.6%
 
So total deaths today with England out of hospital to add is:- 33

Wk to wk:- 227 v 202 v 109 v 87 v 53 v 43 v 33 TODAY


Total cases from the three nations with England out of hospital to come is 501.

Wk to wk:- 930 v 1009 v 1090 v 1111 v 695 v 544 v 501 TODAY
 


Latest update on variants within the UK. Perhaps allay a little bit of the fear - although the SA one in particular has increased a fair bit on whole terms.

Edit - see in addition

 
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