COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Zoe study says 43,000 cases a day for the last 7 days.
With 1 million subscribers, the biggest survey in the country and pretty much equivalent numbers to the ONS study.
Good news I think
Take aways:
- Cases currently stabilising.
- 1400 die every day on a normal November day.
- Covid-19 is currently the 15th highest cause of death.
 
Zoe study says 43,000 cases a day for the last 7 days. With 1 million subscribers. The biggest survey in the country and pretty much equivalent numbers to the ONS study. Good news I think
Take aways:
- Cases currently stabilising.
- 1400 die every day on a normal November day.
- Covid-19 is currently the 15th highest cause of death.

That is better news
 
The Zoe study takes into account Asymptomatic infections. The ONS study catches asymptomatic infections.
The ONS one does but is older, the Zoe one according to their description of their methodology is for symptomatic Covid not asymptomatic Covid.
 
Other good news. The 5 minute Saliva test will be available in vast numbers by mid December and should if deployed properly, allow us to secure care homes, community care workers and hospitals from infection to the vulnerable.
This is being rolled out to Teeside by 23rd November
 
So 7 months on from this.
Lockdowns, tiers, people locked up nothing seems to be working.
What is this clueless government doing to sort this out? Where is the strategy l?
We are in danger of letting the virus rule our lives forever.
 
The ONS one does but is older, the Zoe one according to their description of their methodology is for symptomatic Covid not asymptomatic Covid.
The ONS study catches all asymptomatic infections and the Zoe survey headline numbers take the average asymptomatic cases into account. I will try and dig out the Tim Spector video on the methodology.
The main point being the Imperial study is a bag of shit. Hardly suprising as it is the home of Scaremonger in chief Fergusson
 
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GM scoreboard:

Manchester 474 - up from 441. Total cases 19, 620. Weekly 2857. Pop score up 86 to enter 3500 club at 3549. Weekly Pop up 24 to 517.

Wigan 419 - up from 335. Hard to believe how far out out of control this has got. Something has to be done surely? Like Bolton topped 10K cases and unbelievably half of that has been added in the last 17 days. Total cases 10,230. Weekly 2313. Catching Manchester for goodness sake after logging under 30 in a week just 3 months ago. Pop score up by the highest in the UK today of 128 - one of the worst ever single day rises. Enters the 3000 club and departs it without touching ground to reach 3113. Now just 3 GM boroughs still in the 2000s.Though only for 24 hours (see below) . Weekly Pop up 29 to 704. Will now be high up the UK red watch list with Oldham who must be near top.

Salford 280 - another big score here up from 227. Total cases 8327. Weekly 1650. Pop score up 108 to enter the 3200 club at 3217. Weekly Pop up 36 to 637.

Bolton 263 - up from 256. Total cases 10,009. Weekly 1650. Pop score up 92 to enter the 2400 club ay 3481. Weekly Pop down 4 to 574.

Oldham 245 - down from 306 Total cases 9138. Weekly 1732. Pop score up 103 to enter the 3800 club at 3854. Highest Pop score in GM. Weekly Pop up 28 to 731.

Stockport 224 - down from 236. Total cases 6845. Weekly 1358. (Record high weekly and now far behind the lead in this measure it has held for many weeks). Pop score up 77 to enter the 2300 club at 2333 after one day in the 2200s. Weekly Pop up 28 to 463. Only Wigan and Oldham have had worse numbers over the past 4 days than here. Still at risk of becoming Wigan mark two.

Rochdale 212 - down from 238. Total cases 7989. Weekly 1358. Being above Stockport in case numbers and an identical case total to them in past week shows that Rochdale has been going in the right direction whilst Stockport did the opposite. Pop score up 95 to enter the 3500 club at 3592. Weekly Pop score up 6 to 611.

Tameside 185 - down from 186. Total cases 6761. Weekly 1235. Pop score up 82 to 2985. Will become the 8th GM borough into the 3000s tomorrow. Weekly Pop 18 to 545.

Bury 173 = up from 163. Total cases 6169. Weekly 1062. Pulling clear with Trafford from the crowd and in a two horse race for lowest weekly GM score. Pop score up 91 to enter the 3200 club at 3230. Weekly pop up 5 to 556.

Trafford 157 - up from `141. Total cases 5974. Weekly 1055. Keeps the weekly best in GM by just 7 from Bury but over 1000 makes it relative. Pop score up 66 - lowest of the day again to enter the 2500 club at 2517. Cuts the gap for the Pop score with Stockport to just184 - reducing by about 60 in a week. What looked an impossible lead no longer is current form. Weekly Pop up 13 to 445 which increases its lead on Stockport as the lowest in GM i the weekly table. If Wigan is the disaster of the past few weeks and Stockport the one to be most concerned about racing upwards Trafford is currently the reliable bright spot and seems to be in most control of numbers.

But as we saw with Stockport things can change fast.
 
The Nasal spray that limits cold and flu infection also works with Covid-19

A little bird tells me this will be going i to production in the UK in Novemer and will also hit the streets in December. Which is fantastic news if true.
Tested on ferrets not humans lol

Ena Respiratory said it would be ready to test INNA-051 in human trials in less than four months, subject to successful toxicity studies and regulatory approval.

Next november maybe
 
So 7 months on from this.
Lockdowns, tiers, people locked up nothing seems to be working.
What is this clueless government doing to sort this out? Where is the strategy l?
We are in danger of letting the virus rule our lives forever.
Perhaps the uk politicians should be forced to come up with a strategy that works, avoiding huge rises in infections, just like the rest of the world is doing?
 
Tested on ferrets not humans lol

Ena Respiratory said it would be ready to test INNA-051 in human trials in less than four months, subject to successful toxicity studies and regulatory approval.

Next november maybe
Its already been tested on humans for colds and flu for approval purposes (and passed) so there really is no risk.
 
Mental Health issues must be increasing dramatically now. I class myself as fairly resilient but this is grinding me down now. I am starting to wonder what the point is of a well paid but stressful job when there is no reward at the end. No holiday, no pub, no footie. Just another weekend of pissing down rain and strong winds to look forward to. I know it needs doing and am all for a break if it will help but regardless of what’s needed, it’s fucking grim this whole situation. Warrington hospital now has more inpatients with Covid than it did in April.
 
How do you come up with that conclusion?

Do you think less people in London have had Covid19 and/or that transmission is less likely in London?
Was watching the news and the R number is over 2 there and just over 1 here so it looks like they’re behind us this time. Absolutely no idea why. As I say it seems to go on waves.
 
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