COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[Healdplace]

14 of the 16 are from the last 72 hours.

I will do something different below today and give a list of the 5 day by day totals from 1 Sep to today.

This way you will see very clearly the increase visually.

 

[ayrshire_blue]

Scotland figures are horrific.

 

[True_Blue69]

Kicking off in London by the looks of things with people protesting against the restrictions. Once furlough ends and people are losing houses that's when things will really start.

 

[kevin horlocks wand]

14 of the 16 are from the last 72 hours.

I will do something different below today and give a list of the 5 day by day totals from 1 Sep to today.

This way you will see very clearly the increase visually.

 

[Healdplace]

In this list the date is the day on which the deaths are recored.

And the five numbers that follow the total AFTER that days data is added - totting up to the five day total.

For the mist recent days there will obviously be just 4, then 3, then 2, them 1 day so far. So these are all very likely to increase over coming days:

Sep 1 = 1, 3, 3, 3, then 3

Sep 2 = 1, 7, 9, 9, then 9

Sep 3 = 0, 3, 3, 3. then 3

Sep 4 = 2, 3, 3, 3, then 4

Sep 5 = 2, 6. 8, 8, then 8

Sep 6 = 0, 3, 6, 6. then 6

Sep 7 = 3, 7, 9, 9, then 9

Sep 8 = 2, 6, 10. 10, 10 then 10

Sep 9 = 1, 4, 5, 5, then 5

Sep 10 = 2, 6, 6, 6, then 7

Sep 11 = 1, 4, 4, 5, then 6

Sep 12 = 2, 2, 5, 5, then 7

Sep 13 = 1, 8, 11, 11, then 13

Sep 14 = 0, 4, 9, 9, then 9

Sep 15 = 3, 8, 12, 12 and is12 at 4 days

Sep 16 = 6, 10, 14 and is14 at 3 days

Sep 17 = 3, and is now 11 at just 2 days.

Sep 18 = 2 (first day).

You can see that we WERE down at low levels but the rising numbers of hospitalisations and then ICU numbers escalated and it was inevitable where these would lead as there is a lag between cases/hospitalisation/death as we all know.

Over the last few days this has taken off and is starting to become a runaway train.

This is why politicians have suddenly woken up to the danger. Though it was becoming apparent at least a week ago as my hospital reports each evening in here warned.

 

[Healdplace]

Scotland figures are horrific.

They are - posting in a moment.

 

[Healdplace]

Scotland data:

3 deaths (this is now rising in frequency just like England)

350 cases (new record) at 5.3% of tests (worryingly high record). This number has been escalating fast all week. And is really illustrative - almost certainly why Boris stopped England from releasing it just before these numbers started to go up. A decision no journalist has noticed to ask him why.

Ypu cannot miss a rising percentage - but day to day changing total case numbers make it easier to miss the pattern.

64 in hospital on the new low measure - this is a 50% rise on this measure (that replaced the old about 270 number lress than a week ago so in those terms would mean the highest in many weeks). It is up 3 on yesterdsay.

And the icu ventilators up several. again.

 

[Healdplace]

The comments by Nicola Sturgeon yesterday and Boris Johnson and the demands for a Cobra meeting will be because they knew this was coming.

Especially as with the mess that testing is this is very likely a bigger underestimate than it needs to be.

That UK wide meeting surely has to happen imminently now.

This is a UK wide crisis. We need joined up thinking AND messaging today - not after a few days chatting it over in Whitehall.

 

[The Light Was Yellow Sir]

I thought this was both interesting and suggests we don’t need to be quite so afraid of Covid-19. In essence it’s suggesting that all countries that had very low flu seasons in 2019/20 were effectively left a ‘tinder-box‘ of frail elderly people who the virus has since swept up and will, in all likelihood, sweep up some more throughout the autumn and winter, as any respiratory virus would. I don’t agree with all his conclusions but his description of why the graphs were always likely to look the same, whatever we did is interesting as is the correlation between low XS deaths last year and high death rates this year as well as the climatic effect.

 

[True_Blue69]

Scotland data:

3 deaths (this is now rising in frequency just like England)

350 cases (new record) at 5.3% of tests (worryingly high record). This number has been escalating fast all week. And is really illustrative - almost certainly why Boris stopped England from releasing it just before these numbers started to go up. A decision no journalist has noticed to ask him why.

Ypu cannot miss a rising percentage - but day to day changing total case numbers make it easier to miss the pattern.

64 in hospital on the new low measure - this is a 50% rise on this measure (that replaced the old about 270 number lress than a week ago so in those terms would mean the highest in many weeks). It is up 3 on yesterdsay.

And the icu ventilators up several. again.

Are the ICU ventilators general figures or specific to people with covid? I am asking it was posted in the main forum yesterday that the only release the specific ventilator figures at the start of the next month. NHS website said the same but not sure if there is somewhere else releasing then daily.