COVID Data Thread

ENGLAND REGIONS TODAY

A bit of a different day. North West easily back up on top and only one over 20K after rising whilst the two big southern regions and most others fall well. Though Yorkshire, NE and Midlands rising too show the regions that are current epicentre of Omicron.

Though London do set a record today by becoming the first England region to top 2 million cases - on 2,003.245....on current numbers both South East and North West are about 10 days away from joining them. Nobody else is anywhere near. North East is the only region not having got to 1 million yet and not likely to do so in the next few weeks on current numbers.




NORTH WEST on 16,037 - DOWN from 21,484 V 29,360 last week & 20,183 2 wks ago


YORKSHIRE on 15,866 - DOWN from 17,202 V 14,590 last week & 9793 2 wks ago

WEST MIDLANDS on 11,792 - DOWN from 12,842 V 13,520 last week & 11,702 2 wks ago

LONDON on 11,809 - DOWN from 15,235 V 21,527 last week & 22,981 2 wks ago

SOUTH EAST on 10,966 - DOWN from 12,962 V 18,532 last week & 16,236 2 wks ago

EAST on 8852 - DOWN from 10,118 V 15,163 last week & 14,067 2 wks ago

EAST MIDLANDS on 8626 - DOWN from 9332 V 13,175 last week & 8237 2 wks ago

NORTH EAST on 7634 - DOWN from 8200 V 10,252 last week & 4339 2 wks ago

SOUTH WEST on 6281 - DOWN from 7939 V 11,770 last week & 7904 2 wks ago
 
GREATER MANCHESTER CASES TODAY



TOTAL 5878

DOWN by 2327 from 8205 yesterday


NW Total 16,037

DOWN by 5447 from 21,484 yesterday


GM 36.7% of the NW total today. Down from 38% yesterday. So a pretty good day as GM falls

Week to week though GM is DOWN from 12,078 by 6200 (last week was a supiciously high number after two lower than normal ones that seemed to redress the error of the previous days)

This is 46.6% of the NW fall - over par - so again very good for GM.

Further suggesting last weeks GM data was indeed suspect as we thought. It seems to have corrected itself since whatever happened.

Huge falls across the board as you can see. First time in quite a while that 6 of the 10 boroughs have a daily Pop score rise of under 200.


MANCHESTER 1079 - DOWN 400 on day & DOWN 737 on week - Pop Score 194 enough to enter the 26K club (POP 26,062)

BOLTON 873 - DOWN 147 on day & DOWN 411 on week - Pop Score 303 but last one standing in the 24K club for another day at least (POP 24,724) Lowest Pop Score in GM across the pandemic - But highest Pop Score today - and now only 710 ahead of Stockport. Was almost 1000 last week

WIGAN 745 - DOWN 279 on day & DOWN 420 on week Pop Score 226 (POP 26,425)

SALFORD 564 - DOWN 202 on day & DOWN 774 on week - Pop Score 215 (POP 27,493) Highest Pop Score across the pandemic

TRAFFORD 534 - DOWN 130 on day & DOWN 317 on week - but Pop Score of 225 to enter 26K club (POP 26,172)

STOCKPORT 498 - DOWN 302 on day & DOWN 732 on week. Pop Score 169. Regained a huge 134 points back on Bolton in one go for lowest score in the pandemic (POP 25,434)

ROCHDALE 439- DOWN 299 on day & DOWN 536 on week. Pop Score 196 (POP 26,284)

OLDHAM 437 - DOWN 66 on day & DOWN 748 on week. Pop Score 183. POP 25,606)

TAMESIDE 392 - DOWN 307 on day & DOWN 777 on week. Pop Score 173 (POP 26,191)

BURY 317 - DOWN 195 on day & DOWN 748 on week. Pop Score 166* (POP 25,876) * Lowest Pop Score in GM today
 
Last edited:
cleavers said:
So you think only 379 people were reported to have died in the last 28 days today ? OK.
Click to expand...
You are another one of the people who don't understand the way it works.
The 379 who were recorded today were from any time in the last 28 days
They are then allocated to the day that they actually died.
The actual people that died yesterday out of the reported 379 was 17.
All the others were from previous days in January and some were from December
 
Chappie said:
You are another one of the people who don't understand the way it works.
The 379 who were recorded today were from any time in the last 28 days
They are then allocated to the day that they actually died.
The actual people that died yesterday out of the reported 379 was 17.
All the others were from previous days in January and some were from December
Click to expand...
I understand it perfectly thanks.

Your post that I first replied to, suggests you didn't, clearly you do from that reply, but your first post didn't make that clear, and/or make sense.
 
GREATER MANCHESTER POP SCORES

A much better look to this table since I last posted a few days ago. Everyone has improved lots. And whilst still very high by GM standards nobody is now anywhere near record levels.

Fascinating too to see boroughs which have had big numbers recently - now doing better - Stockport moving away from the upper reaches of the table as they stabilise. Manchester top despite over 1000 cases every day.And even Wigan dropping the most in the past week despite it too still being high. Relatively this weeks high is the new low!

But everyone is going in the right direction clearly.

And from all 10 being over 2000 only 4 now are and could all easily drop below in a day.

This is not yet the new normal but a lot better than the one we had for Christmas.


BOROUGH / WEEKLY POP SCORE (CASES PER 100K POPulation) /UP OR DOWN BY IN DAY / SCORE LAST WEEK / SCORE 4 WEEKS AGO

Remember in this table the LOWER the score the better you are doing


MANCHESTER 1758 DOWN 133 / 2057 / 487

BURY 1795 DOWN 392 / 2198 / 560

OLDHAM 1797 / DOWN 316 / 2256 / 397

TRAFFORD 1807 DOWN 133 / 2249 / 709

STOCKPORT 1848 DOWN 170 / 2440 / 533

BOLTON 1998 / DOWN 143 / 2119 / 349

TAMESIDE 2072 / DOWN 341 / 2412 / 373

ROCHDALE 2086 / DOWN 240 / 2223 / 463

SALFORD 2114 / DOWN 294 / 2516 / 522

WIGAN 2125 / DOWN 515 / 2629 / 407
 
ZOE DATA TODAY

Predicted Cases fall by the most in weeks after a week of slowly falling.

Today 184,365 down from 198,296

Ongoing symptomatic cases 2,740,418 - DOWN from 2,744,769. The first fall since mid November.

And on the same day NORTH WEST is no longer the top region on Zoe as it has been since it took over from London.

NORTH EAST takes over in top spot UP from 3638/4372 TO 3749/4498 - the ONLY region going up today

Whilst NORTH WEST is DOWN from 4038/4475 TO 3723/4147

YORKSHIRE in third is also DOWN from 3409/3868 TO 3161/3609

Everywhere else is falling on Zoe now too by quite a bit. Hence the large fall in cases above.
 
ZOE IN THE NORTH WEST

Hopefully these numbers for ongoing cases are the peak of things now those are finally falling.

They are in many places the highest ever recorded by Zoe in the region. Though they have not quite reached the level that many boroughs in London did.

Liverpool is up to 70,773 - first time anyone has gone into the 70Ks though not alone today so this is not the highest in the NW.

Others in Merseyside are high too - St Helens 52,125, Sefton 48,676, Wirral 42,449 - and West Lancashire - linking Sefton with Wigan in GM is on 58,017

North of Bolton - the other badly impacted area of GM - Preston and South Ribble are way up too- the latter on 71,773 even higher than Liverpool.

To the south Cheshire is rising too:- Cheshire West on 42,589 & Cheshire East on 38,459


AS FOR GREATER MANCHESTER - Records tumble here too. Hopefully this IS the highest it goes.



BURY is the lowest - a record high for the leader but well clear of the rest - on 34,371 - up 5K

TRAFFORD 44,836 - up 7K

OLDHAM 46,396 - DOWN 3K - only faller

ROCHDALE 49,384 - up 6K

Everyone else - six boroughs - 50K and over - of which there had been none before until days ago and everyone at the highest score they have ever had on Zoe

STOCKPORT 52,464 - up 4K

WIGAN 53,475 - up 6K

MANCHESTER 53,895 - up 5K

BOLTON 55,361 - up 7K

TAMESIDE 58,379 - up 6K


And way out on top with the highest number ever in Greater Manchester or the North West


SALFORD 73,191 - up 10K
 
Healdplace said:
ZOE IN THE NORTH WEST

Hopefully these numbers for ongoing cases are the peak of things now those are finally falling.

They are in many places the highest ever recorded by Zoe in the region. Though they have not quite reached the level that many boroughs in London did.

Liverpool is up to 70,773 - first time anyone has gone into the 70Ks though not alone today so this is not the highest in the NW.

Others in Merseyside are high too - St Helens 52,125, Sefton 48,676, Wirral 42,449 - and West Lancashire - linking Sefton with Wigan in GM is on 58,017

North of Bolton - the other badly impacted area of GM - Preston and South Ribble are way up too- the latter on 71,773 even higher than Liverpool.

To the south Cheshire is rising too:- Cheshire West on 42,589 & Cheshire East on 38,459


AS FOR GREATER MANCHESTER - Records tumble here too. Hopefully this IS the highest it goes.



BURY is the lowest - a record high for the leader but well clear of the rest - on 34,371 - up 5K

TRAFFORD 44,836 - up 7K

OLDHAM 46,396 - DOWN 3K - only faller

ROCHDALE 49,384 - up 6K

Everyone else - six boroughs - 50K and over - of which there had been none before until days ago and everyone at the highest score they have ever had on Zoe

STOCKPORT 52,464 - up 4K

WIGAN 53,475 - up 6K

MANCHESTER 53,895 - up 5K

BOLTON 55,361 - up 7K

TAMESIDE 58,379 - up 6K


And way out on top with the highest number ever in Greater Manchester or the North West


SALFORD 73,191 - up 10K
Click to expand...
Roll on March
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS

There is little doubt numbers are escalaing and it is not just Christmas catch up. This is the legacy of cases from a few weeks ago. It may be another week or two before they really fall. Very high numbers are over 80 today so I am still concerned about what is happening in care homes in England.

233 with 41 North West - No meaningful comparison with last week as the 372 with 66 NW covered extra days.

But in the week before Christmas the equivalent number on Wednesday was 112 with 21 North West.

By Region:

East 43, London 41, Midlands 39, NE & Yorkshire 44, North West 41, South East 19, South West 6


Most by trust:- 11 each in Mid & S Essex and London North West

North West Trusts:-

10 in Manchester, 8 in St Helens, 7 in Pennine Acute (Oldham/Rochdale), 4 each in East Cheshire & Stockport, 2 each in Mid Cheshire, Salford & Wigan AND 1 each in East Lancashire and North Lancashire


By age:-

20 - 39 (4), 40 - 59 (20), 60 - 79 (86), 80 + (123)


The total deaths for the 7 days to 8 JAN after 5 days will be completed tomorrow but it is already clear there will be a significant rise.

Every day so far has increased:- 92 - 104 - 121 - 124 - 127 - 130 and the next day looks set to top that 130 as well.

The weekly total is already over 800 to follow the past 7 day totals of:-

496 - 498 - 477 - 508 - (433 - impacted by Christmas) - (511 - impacted by New Year) - ???

So as you can see over 800 stands out as a clear step up. It will be the highest since last March.

Hopefully - though - if we are indeed peaking or peaked already - after a couple of weeks for the lag effect - then these deaths might start to fall.

Sadly we may well see over 1000 for a couple of weeks. Then hopefully that will be the worst of it.
 
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WALES DATA

Cases really down again but so is testing. Patients up but not by lots.

14 deaths - was 10 last week

2886 cases - was 21,279 last week - big drop second day running

24.6% positivity - was 26% last week - BUT this small fall at still high numbers suggests many fewer tests today is a factor

836 patients - was 702 last week

37 ventilated - was 40 last week
 
Chappie said:
You are another one of the people who don't understand the way it works.
The 379 who were recorded today were from any time in the last 28 days
They are then allocated to the day that they actually died.
The actual people that died yesterday out of the reported 379 was 17.
All the others were from previous days in January and some were from December
Click to expand...

cleavers said:
I understand it perfectly thanks.

Your post that I first replied to, suggests you didn't, clearly you do from that reply, but your first post didn't make that clear, and/or make sense.
Click to expand...
Neither of these are quite right though. The 28 days refers to someone who tested positive and then died within 28 days of that positive test.

Whilst most of the dates of death will be relatively recent, they could be from anytime, not only the last 28 days. There were 10 from before December 14th (28 days prior to yesterday) with one as far back as November 15th.

Also, the figures quoted are always ‘date reported’ not by date of death. By the second measure we haven’t gone over 200 on any day since March 1st!
 
SCOTLAND DATA

21 deaths - was 5 last week

7606 cases - was 16,103 last week - much like Wales a big fall but positivity down more

19.1% positivity - was 26.9% last week - so less test impacted here

1537 patients - up 58 on yesterday - was 1223 last week

59 ventilated icu - was 54 yesterday - was 42 last week - but these are now rising more again.


THE CARE HONE SITUATION THAT I KEEP MENTIONING IS VERY LIKELY PART OF WHY - AS SOTLAND NUMBERS HERE ARE WELL UP OVER PAST 3 WEEKS. SHOULD GET AN UPDATE HERE ON THAT TOMORROW
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA

Much the same story here - cases well down - hospital numbers up a tad

2 deaths - was 3 last week

2922 cases - was 7133 last week

27,934 weekly cases - was 33,666 yesterday & 50,250 last week

205 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - WAS 203 YESTERDAY & 168 LAST WEEK - STILL RISING BUT NOT AS FAST

439 patients - was 440 yesterday & 403 last week

24 Ventilted - was 22 yesterday & 24 last week
 
So the three nations are nearly 3000 down on yesterday and 32,000 down on last week.

Just about possible we could be below 100,000 cases today if England follow the same script.
 
As noted earlier when I posted the England hospital deaths these are rising markedly and have over the last week or more. Clearly a legacy of the big cases previously which the lower cases recently will in a week or so see reduce. We appear to be at or arpund the peak - all indicators suggest - and bad as these deaths are they are far below where they were this week last year.As are the hospital numbers.

As I said last night we are not out of the woods quite yet but we are starting to see the light through the trees marking where we exit. We just have to get through the crest of this wave. It may - hopefully - be the last significant one we ever get.
 
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