COVID Data Thread

LATEST NORTHERN IRELAND AGE SPLIT OF THOSE TESTING POSITIVE IN THE 23,848 CASES OVER THE PAST WEEK

IF YOU RECALL IT LOOKED LIKE A CHRISTMAS TREE BEFORE OMICRON AND CHRISTMAS ARRIVED.

IT HAS BEEN LOOKING LESS AND LESS LIKE ONE AS THE SPREAD HAS BECOME MORE WIDELY BASED WHILS CASE NUMBERS HAVE HALVED IN THE PAST FORTNIGHT.

STILL HAPPILY UNDER 10% BUT IT IS RISING AND WILL TOP THAT ANY DAY IT SEEMS

THE INCREASE IN THE OVER 80S IS THE MOST NOTABLE. WAS THE LOWEST, NOW HIGHER THAN THE TWO AGE GROUPS IN THE 70s.

IT SEEMS VERY LIKELY THE CARE HOME OUTBREAKS ARE A KEY FACTOR IN THIS AND - IT SEEMS - THE RISING DEATH TOLL IN THE PROVINCE.

1642086872557.png
 
335 deaths - was 231 last week

England only 284 - was 203 last week

109,133 cases - Down 20,454 on yesterday from 129,587 & DOWN 70,623 from 179,756 last week.

England 97,770 - below 100K for first time since 27 December. And lowest number since 22 December.

Down 18,403 from 116,173 yesterday AND Down 54,536 from 152,306 last week

Quote
 
Last edited:
England hospital patients and ventilators fall again for third straight day.

Full details later. Headlines on the main thread.
 
Healdplace said:
England hospital patients and ventilators fall again for third straight day.

Full details later. Headlines on the main thread.
Click to expand...
It seems very clear that what was hoped for with the explosion of Omicron is actually happening. It is ripping through the population and all those who are going to get it are doing so rapidly, it is far less severe than both the original Covid strain and Delta and it will burn out soon too.

I think things will look so much better four weeks from now.
 
Healdplace said:
LATEST NORTHERN IRELAND AGE SPLIT OF THOSE TESTING POSITIVE IN THE 23,848 CASES OVER THE PAST WEEK

IF YOU RECALL IT LOOKED LIKE A CHRISTMAS TREE BEFORE OMICRON AND CHRISTMAS ARRIVED.

IT HAS BEEN LOOKING LESS AND LESS LIKE ONE AS THE SPREAD HAS BECOME MORE WIDELY BASED WHILS CASE NUMBERS HAVE HALVED IN THE PAST FORTNIGHT.

STILL HAPPILY UNDER 10% BUT IT IS RISING AND WILL TOP THAT ANY DAY IT SEEMS

THE INCREASE IN THE OVER 80S IS THE MOST NOTABLE. WAS THE LOWEST, NOW HIGHER THAN THE TWO AGE GROUPS IN THE 70s.

IT SEEMS VERY LIKELY THE CARE HOME OUTBREAKS ARE A KEY FACTOR IN THIS AND - IT SEEMS - THE RISING DEATH TOLL IN THE PROVINCE.

View attachment 34398
Click to expand...
There looks to be quite a significant weighting towards Female, maybe around 30% higher than Male. I wonder if that is a true reflection of the case distribution or maybe less Males getting tested.
 
Invisible Man's Bandage said:
It seems very clear that what was hoped for with the explosion of Omicron is actually happening. It is ripping through the population and all those who are going to get it are doing so rapidly, it is far less severe than both the original Covid strain and Delta and it will burn out soon too.

I think things will look so much better four weeks from now.
Click to expand...

The rate at which infections seem to be falling now there's probably little point in keeping any restrictions in place now beyond testing and isolating. Worth waiting a few more days maybe just in case there's a big blowback into oldies, or huge school driven resurgence, but with cases nearly halving week on week, absent a sudden upsurge we're likely already below autumn prevalence and with a less severe variant.

All we need then is a long term strategy to avoid getting into a mess again with the next variant or seasonal upturn.
 
Hopefully that is how it will pan out.

Can only imagine what would have happened if we had got Omicron a year ago without the advantage that extra year bought us from vaccines and without it being then milder than the deadly Kent variant we did get.

1564 died on 13 January 2021. 5 times today. With Omicron infectivity levels then it might have been nearer 10,000 and a completely swamped NHS.
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DATA TODAY

Another good day. Third in a row.


ADMISSIONS (Tuesday - always 48 hours behind)

2127 - was 2101 last week & 2082 the week before


London 314 v 367 last week & 456 wk before - falling big weekly

Midlands 406 v 377 last week & 367 wk before - rising weekly

NE & Yorkshire 401 v 418 last week & 384 wk before - rising weekly but modestly

AND

North West 401 v 377 last week & 305 wk before - rising but easing off



PATIENTS - DOWN 165 FROM 16,881 TO 16,716


Last week the equivalent was 15,659 going UP 399 TO 16,058


Regionally

East UP 18 to 1470, London DOWN 135 to 3662, Midlands DOWN 19 to 3074, NE & Yorkshire UP 9 to 2835, South East UP 7 to 1623 and South West DOWN 33 to 908.

So London falling the most unsurprisingly.


NORTH WEST also FELL today by 12 - to 3144.



On ventilators there was a FALL today of 6 from 672 TO 666. Lowest in over three months

Last week there was a FALL of 7 TO 762 - so it is 96 down on last Thursday


NW comes off less well in this.


East down 1 to 71, London down 11 to 217, Midlands STAYS at 101, NE & Yorkshire UP 6 to 85, South East STAYS at 70 and South West down 5 to 33

Unfortunately NORTH WEST is UP again by 5 from 84 TO 89.
 
ENGLAND REGIONS TODAY

Everyone down today quite a lot and North West by the most - in third behind London and South East again with a huge weekly fall of over 13,000!








LONDON on 13,938 - DOWN from 15,453 V 21,854 last week & 24,320 2 wks ago

SOUTH EAST on 13,752 - DOWN from 14,606 V 19,946 last week & 21,058 2 wks ago



NORTH WEST on 12,770 - DOWN from 19,151 V 25,971 last week & 23,952 2 wks ago



WEST MIDLANDS on 10,593 - DOWN from 14,814 V 18,305 last week & 15,967 2 wks ago

YORKSHIRE on 10,032 - DOWN from 13,685 V 15,699 last week & 12,551 2 wks ago

EAST on 9229 - DOWN from 10,118 V 14,246 last week & 16,792 2 wks ago

EAST MIDLANDS on 8218 - DOWN from 8814 V 12,303 last week & 12,411 2 wks ago

NORTH EAST on 7450 - DOWN from 9987 V 9997 last week & 6251 2 wks ago

SOUTH WEST on 7198 - DOWN from 8769 V 12,784 last week & 10,570 2 wks ago
 
GREATER MANCHESTER CASES TODAY



TOTAL 4746

DOWN by 2349 from 7095 yesterday


NW Total 12,770

DOWN by 6381 from 19,151 yesterday


GM 37.1% of the NW total today. UP from 37.0% yesterday. So a pretty identical and low GM split as in recent days for several days running.

Week to week GM is DOWN from 9180 by 4434

Whilst North West is DOWN 13,201 week to week.


Notice for the first time in three weeks everyone down on both the day and week often by a lot and nobody over 1000 cases and most boroughs now a lot closer together again and all Pop Scores dramatically lower. Nobody at all with a Pop Score out of the 100s is a first in weeks too. Not back at pre Omicron levels but much nearer.


MANCHESTER 917 - DOWN 429 on day & DOWN 624 on week - Pop Score 165 (POP 26,470)

WIGAN 565 - DOWN 310 on day & DOWN 613 on week Pop Score 171 (POP 26,860)

SALFORD 458 - DOWN 242 on day & DOWN 492 on week - Pop Score 175 - will be 28K club - first in GM - tomorrow (POP 27,934) Highest Pop Score across the pandemic

BOLTON 455 - DOWN 343 on day & DOWN 356 on week - Pop Score 158 (POP 25,159) Lowest Pop Score in GM across the pandemic - But now only 640 ahead of Stockport. Was 1000 a few days ago

ROCHDALE 436 - DOWN 125 on day & DOWN 441 on week. Pop Score 195* (POP 26,730) * Highest in GM today

STOCKPORT 433 - DOWN 208 on day & DOWN 380 on week. Pop Score 147. Regained 11 back on Bolton today for lowest score in the pandemic (POP 25,799)

TAMESIDE 424 - DOWN 186 on day & DOWN 380 on week. Pop Score 187 (POP 26,646)

OLDHAM 390 - DOWN 236 on day & DOWN 463 on week. Pop Score 164 to enter the 26K club POP 26,034)

TRAFFORD 340 - DOWN 173 on day & DOWN 415 on week. Pop Score of 143* (POP 26,531)* Lowest Pop Score in GM today just ahead of Stockport again - the two highest scorers a month ago pre Omicron now neck & neck as lowest

BURY 328 - DOWN 97 on day & DOWN 271 on week. Pop Score 172 to enter the (POP 26,271)
 
WALES DATA

The big fall continues

4 deaths - was 21 last week

2864 cases - was 7915 last week

17.3% positivity - was 29% last week

878 patients - was 839 day before & 723 last week

31 ventilated - was 37 day before & 39 last week

As in England patients up a bit but not a lot, ventilators down.
 
ZOE APP TODAY'S GRAPH

CLEARLY SHOWS THAT THE WAVE HAS PEAKED AND IS NOW FALLING

According to Zoe it peaked on 11 January at 2,744,040 people infected in UK

That works out at 4.1% (1 in 25) of the population having Covid at that peak.

1642164304058.png
 
SCOTLAND DATA

41 deaths - was 15 last week - these are rising with the legacy of all those weeks of high cases

9910 cases - was 14,486 cases last week

18.2% positiity - was 21.7% last week

1544 patients - DOWN 15 on yesterday - was 1323 last week

50 ventilated icu - was 58 yesterday & 48 last week

Patients down here finally and ventilators stabilising is the best new salong with falling positivity despite a third fewer cases
 
THIS IS AN INTERESTING GRAPHIC FROM NORTHERN IRELAND - EASILY THE BEST DESIGNED UK WEB SITE ON THE DATA IMO.

IT SHOWS THE CHANGE IN EACH AGE GROUP OF ADMISSIONS INTO NORTHERN IRELAND HOSPITALS BY EACH AGE RANGE OVER PAST WEEK AND WEEK TO WEEK

THE BARS SHOW THE NUMBERS BY DATE.

THE BLACK GRAPH LINE WITHIN THE COLOUR IS THE ROLLING 7 DAY AVERAGE FOR EACH AGE RANGE SHOWING ITS TREND

IF YOU RECALL THERE ARE VERY LOW NUMBERS OF ALL CASES FOR THE OLDEST TESTING POSITIVE - STILL JUST OVER 9% FOR THE BOTTOM THREE COLOURS (60 and over) COMBINED - TOTAL JUST 2092 OF THE 23,108 CASES

BUT THESE - ESPECIALLY THE TWO HIGHER AGE RANGES - ARE RISING AND THE LATTER (SKY BLUE = AGE 80 PLUS) THE ONLY ONE OVER 20% OF ONGOING ADMISSIONS.

THIS SUPPORTS MY CONCERNS OVER THE NI CARE HOME OUTBREAK NUMBERSIN PAST TWO WEEKS

1642171042299.png
 
Last edited:
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA

4 deaths - was 0 last week - These are still rising and I fear are linked to the care home numbers and age graphs above

2954 cases - was 6444 last week - But happily cases still dropping like everywhere

23,108 Weekly cases - was 23,848 yesterday & 47,723 last week - not quite back to pre Omicron levels (sub 10,000) but heading there

215 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - WAS 211 YESTERDAY - WAS 190 LAST WEEK - SADLY STILL GOING UP

402 patients - down from 424 yesterday - was 402 last week - but this number falling is very good news and indcates that the 80% not at most risk are likely staying short term in NI like everywhere else

25 ventilated - up from 22 yesterday - was 26 last week
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS

Still rising but less dramatically is the good news

174 with 24 North West -

Was 161 with 32 NW last week & 118 with 24 two weeks ago



Most by trust:- (was in the NW) otherwise

9 in Barking


North West Trusts:

10 in Manchester, 3 each in East Lancashire & Pennine Acute (Oldham/Rochdale), 2 in North Lancashire AND 1 each in Bolton, Morecambe. Salford, Southport, Tameside & Wigan


By age:

40 - 59 (18), 60 - 79 (69), 80 PLUS (87)
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS

The numbers are still edging upward and may do for another week or so until they peak as they lag all the other measures which are now falling.

The first 5 day total of the new week (JAN 9) continues the rise day to day in the last week ending JAN 8.

That went 92 - 104 - 121 - 124 - 127 - 130 - 131

JAN 9 at five days is 142 - a bit up a jump up on 7 days before (92) and the day before (131)

The days after JAN 9 suggest the rises will go on for the next few days at least

JAN 10 after 4 days is on 139, JAN 11 after 3 days on 138 & JAN 10 after just 2 days on 108 - second day on the run over 100 at just 2 days (that 104 on two days from the day before became the 142 reported above after 5 days today.

Will keep monitoring where this goes.

After catch up (from that 131 in the list above) and now beyond 5 days JAN 8 on 144 is the highest total number against any date since late last winter/ early last Spring.

But I doubt it will last as the highest for very long sadly.
 
England hospital patients fall again for fourth straight day - by 179 to 16,537

Ventilators also down again by 29 to 637.

NW patients are up 11 to 3155 - up 256 in week, ventilators down 5 to 84

NE & Yorkshire up the most today 22 to 2857 - and also most up 438 in the week
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Unread Posts

Don't have an account? Register now and see fewer ads!

SIGN UP
Back
Top