COVID Data Thread

Greater Manchester Data


3720 cases today - UP by 181 on yesterday - from the rise of 753 in the NW

That is under a quarter of the entire regional rise today in Greater Manchester.

Obviously very good day for GM


Week to week GM is up by 1329 from 2391- from the NW rise of 3136.

That is again good(42% of the NW total).



So Greater Manchester remains high but had a better split today of the NW case numbers.



Here are the cases per borough - No records today is the best news




MANCHESTER 859 - down 22 on yesterday & Up 277 on last week POP SCORE 154 (now 20,482)

TRAFFORD 444 - up 94 on yesterday & Up 109 on last week POP SCORE 187 * (now 20,293) * Highest Pop Score today. Now a staggering 963 behind Stockport on the day they BOTH lost their long held best in GM title race across the pandemic to an upstart who came from behind to outflank them both.

STOCKPORT 436 - up 10 on yesterday & Up 108 on last week POP SCORE 148 (now 19,330) Lost its long held title of lowest pop score in GM across the pandemic to Bolton after a run of very high numbers.

WIGAN 383 - up 59 on yesterday & Up 189 on last week POP SCORE 116 (now 20,127)

SALFORD 346 - down 21 on yesterday & Up 94 on last week POP SCORE 131 (now 20,904) Highest pop score in GM across the pandemic - 258 now ahead of Rochdale. Very likely the first GM borough into the 21K club tomorrow. But no party unless you sell it as a work meeting with canapes.


BOLTON 298 - up 5 on yesterday & up 145 on last week POP SCORE 103 (now 19,287) - Today was the day Bolton took over top spot as lowest Pop Score across the pandemic for the first time - leads Stockport by 43 - despite one of its highest ever scores and a Pop Score over 100. The new GM records are nothing like the olden days! Bolton and Stockport are now the last two standing in the 19K below the rest in the 20K (and soon 21K) club - for maybe a week!

BURY 249 - up 27 on yesterday & Up 103 on last week POP SCORE 130 (now 20,325)


TAMESIDE 248 - down 26 on yesterday & up 131 on last week POP SCORE 109 (now 20,066). Entered the 20 K club today.


ROCHDALE 234 - up 24 on yesterday & up 99 on last week POP SCORE 105 (now 20,646)


OLDHAM 223 - up 31 on yesterday & up 74 on last week POP SCORE 94 * (now 20,212) * Lowest Pop Score (and only one under 100) today.




Just 2 left in the 19K club and 8 in the 20K club today but that will likely be 7 tomorrow and the first of what will become a fast growing number entering the 21K club before 2022 ticks round.
 
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Hi @Healdplace - thanks for all your work and posts, it really is so much more useful and informative than the usual media noddy coverage.

I've had a google as I'd be interested to see the total patients in UK hospitals for all reasons (not just the covid+ ones). Do you post them here and if not does anyone know if they're published and updated daily like the covid dashboard?
 
Thank you - but sorry - not sure if they do for everything. Certainly not daily I would imagine. But someone will likely know.

These days stats on everything seems to be a thing.
 
GREATER MANCHESTER BOROUGHS

Weekly Case Totals

Manchester's score of almost 6000 is the first time ever any borough has got there in GM during the pandemic. And pretty much everywhere is at their highest numbers ever recorded for a week. Indeed ANY of these totals would have been top a few weeks ago!


Oldham 1515, Rochdale 1587, Tameside 1739, Bury 1954, Bolton 1955, Wigan 2233, Salford 2778, Trafford 2833, Stockport 2948, Manchester 5995
 
GREATER MANCHESTER POP SCORE TABLE





After today: CURRENT POP SCORE (Up or Down Past Week) / Pop Score as it was 4 Weeks Ago today


OLDHAM 637 UP 240 / 286

WIGAN 675 UP 268 / 391

BOLTON 678 UP 329 / 359

ROCHDALE 710 UP 247 / 437

TAMESIDE 765 UP 392 / 388

STOCKPORT 995 UP 462 / 359

BURY 1024 UP 464 / 394

SALFORD 1057 UP 535 / 421

MANCHESTER 1079 UP 592 / 317

TRAFFORD 1193 UP 484 / 406




Four boroughs over 1000 in Pop Scores for the first time in GM.

Stockport look certain to make it 5 tomorrow.

Some gigantic weekly rises too. The lowest - 240 - would have been gigantic in the old pre Omicron days!
 
WALES DATA



3 deaths - was 10 last week

4662 cases - was 2431 last week

18.5% positivity - was 12.6% last week (though media are citing 26.1% is the true positivity number today I should add.

IF SO THEN BOTH THE CASES (WHICH ARE A NEW HIGH EVER) AND THE POSITIVITY ARE ONE DAY RECORDS FOR WALES

329 patients - was 370 last week

30 ventilated - was 36 last week


THE GOOD NEWS IS HOSPITAL NUMBERS STILL FALLING BUT OMICRON SEEMS TO HAVE REACHED HERE BEHIND LONDON SO THAT WILL PROBABLY CHANGE IN THE COMING WEEK OR SO AS WE HAVE SEEN IN LONDON. REMAINS TO BE SEEN BY HOW MUCH
 
TODAY's ZOE APP GRAPH OF UK INFECTIONS. LOOK AT THE VERTICAL LINE ON THE RIGHT - ALREADY FAR ABOVE THE HIGHEST EVER TOTAL INFECTIONS ZOE HAS RECORDED IN THE JANUARY AND OCTOBER WAVES AND ON ZOE STREAKING UP VERY MUCH MORE STEEPLY THAN ON THE GOV UK WEBSITE.

SUGGESTS THE GOV UK DATA IS A CROCK TO BE HONEST OR IT WOULD SURELY MIRROR THIS GRAPH WHICH IS CLEARLY CLOSER TO WHAT THE GOVERNMENT ARE CLAIMING OMICRON IS DOING.


1640177031394.png
 
ZOE NUMBERS

IN 48 hours predicted cases have risen from 129,970 on Monday to 144,285 today.

Setting a new record every day now.



Total ongoing cases today are 1,477,757 UP in 24 hours by 59,600 FROM 1,418,157

Again obviously as the graph shows a new record acrss the pandemic every day here too.

This rise is increasing daily. It was about 55K yesterday.
 
ZOE REGIONS

Every single UK Region on Zoe is now in the dark red highest watch zone.
The numbers are remarkable too.

LONDON still top of the pile to NORTH EAST still lowest.

THE ONLY CHANGE IN POSITION IS NORTH WEST THAT FELL INTO FIFTH PLACE WITH ALL THREE EASTERN REGIONS ALSO NOW AHEAD OF IT (EAST, SOUTH EAST & EAST MIDLANDS).

THOUGH EVERYWHERE HAS GONE UP.



LONDON AS YOU CAN SEE REMAINS MILES AHEAD OF THE REST AND THE ONLY ONE WITH TOTALLY UNPREDECENTED HIGH NUMBERS ACROSS THE PANDEMIC THOUGH OTHERS ARE GETTING THERE FAST



REGION // TODAY // MONDAY



LONDON 4653 / 5139 FROM 4002/4662

SOUTH EAST 2093 / 2354 FROM 1919 / 2175

EAST 2017 / 2377 FROM 1876 / 2230

EAST MIDLANDS 1650 / 2114 FROM 1446 / 1890




NORTH WEST 1662 / 2070 FROM 1473 / 1868



NORTHERN IRELAND 1004 / 2361 FROM 950 / 2355

WALES 1355 / 1865 FROM 1212 / 1703

YORKSHIRE 1345 / 1768 FROM 1215 / 1624

WEST MIDLANDS 1283 / 1694 FROM 1196 / 1599

SOUTH WEST 1303 / 1602 FROM 1180 / 1468

SCOTLAND 1209 / 1612 FROM 1094 / 1483

NORTH EAST 960 / 1541 FROM 894 / 1468


VERY EASY TO SEE THE REGIONS WHERE OMICRON IS ACTIVELY TAKING OVER

NORTH EAST IS STILL DOING REMARKABLY WELL BY COMPARISON WITH NUMBERS NOT YET MUCH OVER NORMAL
 
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ZOE ON GREATER MANCHESTER

As the Gov UK numbers show again Greater Manchester DOES have the worst numbers in the North West.

Even the BBC News have now picked up on this but are using several day old Pop data so only think TRafford is just over 1000 when last night FOUR of the ten boroughs were and by tonight Stockport will probably make it five into 4 figures. Unprecedented.

In the past 48 hours nearly everywhere in GM has continued to rise though mostly not in huge jumps.

Manchester stays top and rising quite a bit. Rochdale has fallen the most.

Bolton is showing hints of going up a lot too.



Here is the list of the GM Zoe 10 boroughs in highest to lowest order V 48 hours ago:


Manchester 29,256 UP from 25,947

Salford 21,788 UP from 19,809

Oldham 19,793 UP from 16,892

Bolton 19,463 UP from 14,728

Rochdale 18,649 DOWN from 24,693

Stockport 18,636 UP from 17,425

Trafford 17,465 UP from 16,508

Wigan 15,520 DOWN from 15,631

Tameside 12,732 UP from 10,715

Bury 11,789 UP from 10,074



Much of the North West is running just below the bulk of the GM numbers:

Merseyside is still high though - Liverpool way up on 21,250 FROM 16,389, Wirral down a bit to 17,114 ~

Cheshire West up to 16,342 & Cheshire East to 12,206 & High Peak falls to 13.252

The highest NW numbers are still in Greater Manchester.
 
lancs blue said:
Wait until the effect of 3,000 visiting City fans is factored in. ;-)
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Actually last nights numbers if you look a couple of pages back were the worst in a while.

On 2322 - up 1000 on the previous week. THAT is a big number for the North East. One of the smaller of the regions.
 
SCOTLAND DATA

SCOTLAND REPORT THEY ARE INVESTIGATING DESPITE NO KNOWN DATA OR IT ISSUE AS THESE NUMBERS MAKE NO SENSE WITHOUT ONE. THE POSITIVITY RATE SHOULD MEAN FAR MORE CASES THAN REPORTED AND FALLING BY OVER HALF OF LAST WEEK MAKES NO SENSE AS EVERYWHERE ELSE IS UP TODAY. POSITIVITY SUGGESTS OVER 6000 CASES IS MORE LIKE IT.



11 deaths - was 22 last week

2434 cases - was 5155 last week - SEE ABOVE!

13.0% positivity - was 9.1% last week - this alone shows a big fall is hard to believe.

536 patients - was 515 yesterday & 544 last week

40 ventilated - was 37 yesterday & 38 last week


HOSPITAL NUMBERS ARE RISING AGAIN
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA


3 deaths - was 4 last week

3231 cases - was 2156 last week - a 50% increase here too. Omicron is now everywhere it seems

16,026 WEEKLY CASES - WAS 14,876 YESTERDAY & 12.166 LAST WEEK - HIGHEST WEEKLY CASES I RECALL

41 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - WAS 43 YESTERDAY & 32 LAST WEEK - STARTING TO RISE A BIT AGAIN

261 patients - was 268 yesterday & 315 last week

26 Ventilated - was 26 yesterday & 27 last week

HOSPITAL NUMBERS STILL GOING DOWN DESPITE HIGH CASES

- MOST LIKELY BECAUSE OF THE AGE SPLIT SHOWN IN THE POST BELOW
 
1640185622940.png

A big change - mostly as weekly numbers are well up to 16K

Despite that big jump today there has only been a small rise since yesterday relatively.

The under 20s FALL again from 4532 by 92,

The 20 - 39 age range again by far the biggest rise UP 1015 in 24 hours. And by far the largest now.

40 - 59 is also up by a much lower 168.

60 - 79 again up by 56 and 80 plus up just 3 on 89.

So the percentage of the over 60s testing positive has again fallen despite the numbers rising as they are by such small numbers.

Under 5% of the most vulnerable form these cases and are the ones with high levels of booster immunity.

So the fall in school age testing is only adding to the next younger age group and much less so to the three above that.
 
Healdplace said:
SCOTLAND DATA

SCOTLAND REPORT THEY ARE INVESTIGATING DESPITE NO KNOWN DATA OR IT ISSUE AS THESE NUMBERS MAKE NO SENSE WITHOUT ONE. THE POSITIVITY RATE SHOULD MEAN FAR MORE CASES THAN REPORTED AND FALLING BY OVER HALF OF LAST WEEK MAKES NO SENSE AS EVERYWHERE ELSE IS UP TODAY. POSITIVITY SUGGESTS OVER 6000 CASES IS MORE LIKE IT.



11 deaths - was 22 last week

2434 cases - was 5155 last week - SEE ABOVE!

13.0% positivity - was 9.1% last week - this alone shows a big fall is hard to believe.

536 patients - was 515 yesterday & 544 last week

40 ventilated - was 37 yesterday & 38 last week


HOSPITAL NUMBERS ARE RISING AGAIN
Click to expand...
I agree hospital numbers are rising from yesterday, but surely its best to look at trends over one or two weeks not days?
 
Healdplace said:
ZOE NUMBERS

IN 48 hours predicted cases have risen from 129,970 on Monday to 144,285 today.

Setting a new record every day now.



Total ongoing cases today are 1,477,757 UP in 24 hours by 59,600 FROM 1,418,157

Again obviously as the graph shows a new record acrss the pandemic every day here too.

This rise is increasing daily. It was about 55K yesterday.
Click to expand...
Mild symptoms so people not bothering getting tested? Has to be a good thing surely?
 
Churchlawtonblue said:
Mild symptoms so people not bothering getting tested? Has to be a good thing surely?
Click to expand...
I suspect that may be it. And people not wanting to self isolate over Christmas. Less so.

But it may well be because it is milder - yes. Though the fear has to be the mixing with older generations in the next week who may not necessarily have the same milder synptoms. We have to hope that they do.

It is that unknown which is what is being awaited as it has less data to test in South Africa as population there is considerably younger on average.
 
Churchlawtonblue said:
I agree hospital numbers are rising from yesterday, but surely its best to look at trends over one or two weeks not days?
Click to expand...
That is a key reason why they are waiting I suspect and everyone is asking why they are waiting when the numbers say this or that. Too early to tell is honest but not what people want to hear as Christmas is in the middle and the early call looks good so they just want to get on with it and assume it still will be by New Years Eve.

They may well be right. But might not. If it is still trending after we have basically not locked down in any real way in England then we will know for sure.
 
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