COVID Data Thread

England hospital numbers

Admissions (Wednesday) 1220 V 1451 last week & 1689 two weeks ago

North West 161 V 214 & 237 the weeks before

Others:-

London 163 V 218 V 226

Midlands 224 V 278 V 328

NE & Yorkshire 224 V 260 V 356



ALL OTHER DATA IS FOR TODAY



Patient numbers fall by 367 to 10,367 V 12,032 last Friday.

Every region falls today - most London by 80 to 2042 V 2321 last week

NW down by 43 to 1519 V 1810 last week


Midlands by 68 to 2033, Yorkshire by 58 to 1671, East by 40 to 993, South East by 36 to 1363 and South West by 42 to 746.

Ventilators fall too - by 12 to 372 V 425 last Friday.

NW is down by 5 to 54 V 48 last week

Others: - East down 4 on 36 V 46, London flat on 137 V 152, Midlands down 2 on 60 V 67, NE & Yorkshire up 2 on 46 V 48, South East up 1 on 31 V 37 AND South West down 4 on 8 V 15
 
1644765600864.png
Zoe App graph today clearly showing the second wave of ongoing cases is about to peak.

Daily predicted cases have been falling for a week now as in the Gov UK numbers But these are ongoing symptomatic cases which take another week to ten days to respond as new cases are new just once and ongoing cases are ongoing for 7 - 10 days.

Daily predicted cases today 192,327 - down 2974 on yeserday - the fall then was 2634

Ongoing cases 2,688,724 up from 2,678,812 by 9912 - the previous days rise was 15,569
 
52 deaths - was 75 last Sunday

England only 50 - was 61 last Sunday



41,270 cases - was 57,337 last Sunday

Lowest total since 30 November.

England only 32,316 - down from 37,791 yesterday & 49,533 last Sunday

Lowest England total since 28 November
 
England hospital numbers:

Admissions: (Friday)

996 - first sub 1000 total since 19 December

V 1186 last week & 1342 the week before

NW 139 V 174 V 170



Patients: (today as all the rest of the data)

10,049 - UP by 39 from 10,010 V 11,529 last week (which was down 75 on the day).

The rise all comes from the southern regions: East up 23 to 968 V 1092, London up 12 to 2015 V 2262, South East up 44 to 1374 V 1466 & South West up 19 to 727 V 827

The midlands and north are all down: Midlands down 34 to 1905 V 2243, NE & Yorkshire down 21 to 1576 V 1915

AND North West down 4 to 1484 V 1724


Ventilators:


348 - down 12 from 360 V 391 last week (which was down 18).

East up 2 to 37 V 41, London down 4 to 129 V 139, Midlands down 6 to 55 V 62, NE & Yorkshire Up 2 to 45 V 55, South East down 4 to 26 V 29, South West up 1 to 10 V 13

AND North West down 3 to 46 V 52
 
I accidentally deleted the post with all the details of the England hospital numbers here sadly.

Cannot restore it.

But quick review:

996 admissions Friday - First sub 1000 admissions since 19 Dec V 1186 last week

Patients up just 39 to 10,049 V 11,529 last Sunday

But all the rises are in the southern regions.Every north and midlands region fell. NW by 4 to 1484 V 1724 last week.

Ventilators down 12 to 348 - lowest since early July. V 391 last Sunday

North West down 3 to 46 V 52 last week
 
Other news today:-

Greater Manchester had its first sub 1000 cases day in about 4 months.

943 - down 175 from 1118 yesterday. V 2053 last Sunday

Six boroughs had less than 100 cases - even Stockport which has finally started to see its still highest in GM numbers start to fall well. Zoe has been predcting this for a few days.

It has the North West now as the lowest England region with only Wales in the UK lower.

The GM low scores were

Tamside 60, Oldham 61, Rochdale 62, Bolton 91 and Stockport 99.

Bury was lowest of all on just 46 - first sub 50 in months too.

The highest was Manchester on just 168 V over 2000 a day when Omicron first arrived in December.
 
Not going to do full numbers often now but here are the regions in order today: All well down. Very much like ordimary pre Omicron numbers were like.

But clear top as you can see is SE followed by the other southern regions :-



South East 7009 V 7683 Yesterday & 10,595 last week

London 4864 V 5775 yesterday & 6918 last week

South West 4219 V 4889 yesterday & 5969 last week

East 4160 V 4519 yesterday & 6239 last week



West Midlands 2753 V 3586 yesterday & 4743 last week

NORTH WEST 2657 V 3236 yesterday & 4364 last week

East Midlands 2573 V 3066 yesterday& 3849 last week

Yorkshire 2234 V 2766 yesterday & 4027 last week

North East 1364 V 1417 yesterday & 1793 last week
 
WALES DATA - TWO DAYS SAT & SUN AS USUAL ON MONDAYS

10 deaths - was 9 last week

2122 cases - was 3382 last week

12.8% positivity - was 16.2% last week

692 patients (Friday) - was 748 last week

16 ventilated (Friday) - was 13 last week
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS OVER THE WEEKEND

Further good falls in deaths AND note not one death all weekend under the age of 40.


SATURDAY:-

118 with 14 North West

Was 134 with 26 NW last week & 191 with 30 NW the week before


By Region:- East 6, London 14, Midlands 15, NE & Yorkshire 27, North West 14, South East 24. South West 18

Most by Trust:- 7 in Barts London

NW Trusts: - 3 each in Manchester & Nth Lancashire 2 in Boton AND 1 each in Chester, Mid Cheshire, Salford, Tameside, Warrington & Wigan

By Age:- 40 - 59 (11), 60 - 79 (42), 80 PLUS (65)



SUNDAY:-

17 with 1 North West

Was 24 with 10 NW last week & 29 with 10 NW the week before


By Region:- East 14, North West 1, South West 2

Most by Trust:- 5 in Bedfordshire

NW Trusts: - 1 in Liverpool

By Age:- 60 - 79 (6), 80 PLUS (11)


MONDAY:-

10 with 3 North West

Was 24 with 14 NW last week & 19 with 9 NW the week before


By Region:- East 6, North West 3, South West 1

Most by Trust:- 4 in East Suffolk

NW Trusts: - 3 in North Lancashire

By Age:- 60 - 79 (3), 80 PLUS (7)



TOTAL FOR THE WEEKEND 145 WITH 18 NORTH WEST

LAST WEEK 182 WITH 50 NORTH WEST & WEEK BEFORE 239 WITH 49 NORTH WEST



More good news is that there were big drops this weekend in numbers and the first 4 days of the new week of 5 day totals are all below the last two weeks and include the first two sub 100 totals at five days in 2022. Indeed just one off being three.

As follows:-

111 - 82 - 100 - 78 (this week)

V 113 - 139 - 119 - 117

V 130 - 147 - 123 - 119

V 154 - 160 - 145 - 120

In previous three weeks
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA

You will notice a rather notable rise in the numbers above age 80. More than doubled in past week or two. Whilst overall case numbers have more than halved.

This has to be connected to the still fairly hgh number of care home outbreals - though they have started to fall a little.

Now 2% of the total. It was well under 1% when Omicron arrived and only just over 1% when the care home rises began and has risen 50% in the past 2 weeks.

The 60 - 79 age range has risen too but % wise a little less. But now 8.8% and was just over 6% at the start of 2022 so not far short of 50% either.

But at 10.7% over 60 that is a signifcant jump from just 5 - 6% when Omicron first arrived.

However, it is still around half the % of cases that were in the over 60s last winter.

As the other numbers show te drop in school ages - no longer the largest group - indeed down now to 28.4% from 44% around Christmas - is the other notable change.

Deaths are still low V last year and hospital numbers not escalating because the vaccines arenot translating anything like as many of these over 60 cases into serious ones as was true then.

The tiny number on ventilatiors (lowest now today since midsummer 2021) says it all




1644849537444.png
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA

2 deaths - was 2 last week

2465 cases - was 3105 last week

WEEKLY CASES TOTAL 21,018 V 22,758 LAST FRIDAY & 25,884 LAST WEEK

171 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - WAS 175 FRIDAY & 182 LAST WEEK

437 patients - was 423 Friday & 479 last week

6 ventilated - was 8 Friday & 11 last week
 
SCOTLAND DATA

0 deaths - was 0 last week

5118 cases - was 5809 last week(though lower number recorded - but the week to week will equalise in few days asGov UK decided to just use the new Scotland number now even though they made it seem cases had almost doubled - Gov UK records 2535 for last week as still then V the older method)_

20.7% positivity - was 23.3% last week

884 patients - was 885 yesterday & 958 last week

18 ventilated icu - was 20 yesterday & 23 last week

SO THE VENTILATOR PATIENT NUMBERS FALLING HERE AS IN NORTHERN IRELAND & ENGLAND. WALES ARE RATHER SLOWER AT CHARTING THESE NUMBERS WE MAY LEARN MORE THIS EVENING
 
England hospital data

Mixed news today - Though Monday patient rises are not unusual



ADMISSIONS (SATURDAY - ALL OTHER NUMBERS ARE FROM TODAY AS USUAL)


989 V 1077 last week & 1325 two weeks ago

North West 123 V 152 last week & 166 week before

THIS IS THE SECOND SUB 1000 NUMBER OF ADMISSIONS ON THE RUN AFTER NONE SINCE OMICRON HAD JUST ARRIVED ON 19 DECEMBER


PATIENTS

UP by 224 to 10,273 V Last week UP 181 to 11,710

Every region rises (V last week)

East up 48 to 1016 V 1101

London up 56 to 2071 V 2310

Midlands up 48 to 1953 V 2231

NE & Yorkshire up 9 to 1585 V 1961

South East up 20 to 1394 V 1520

South West up 18 to 745 V 857

AND

North West up 25 to 1509 V 1730



VENTILATORS

Up 7 to 355 V Last Week up 4 to 395

V last week


East flat on 37 V 39

London up 3 to 132 V 143

Midlands up 3 to 58 V 64

NE & Yorkshire up 5 to 50 V 49

South East up 1 to 27 V 36

South West flat on 10 V 13



AND

North West DOWN 5 to 41 V 51

THIS IS THE LOWEST NUMBER ON VENTILATORS IN THE NORTH WEST SINCE 5 JUNE
 
Another good day in Greater Manchester though Stockport still doing the worst relatively.

Even the BBC local news has noticed this and pointed out Stockport has the largest Pop Score in the regon.

Not quite sure why Stockport has struggled the most with Omicron given it has the best vaccination numbers in GM and one of the best in the region. And up until recently the lowest Pop Score across the pandemic of the 10 boroughs. Though Bolton is now well clear again and Oldham is just a few days away from overtaking Stockport at current numbers and chasing Bolton in their stead.

Of course, even Stockport is well below where they were a week or two ago. Up 20 today on 119 - highest other than Manchester which is on 162. Meaning Stockport is still down 78 on last Monday.

Bury scored the lowest cases in GM since last Summer today on just 38. Best of the seven out of the ten boroughs who were under 100 cases today - Wigan on 101 - the only other not to do so.

GM total today is the lowest in at least 4 months on 866. Multiple boroughs in GM were scoring that or above on ther own each day when Omicron cases peaked a few weeks ago.
 
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WALES DATA

0 deaths - was 0 last week

923 cases - was 1107 last week - first sub 1000 cases here in this year.

17.3% positivity - was 19.4% last week

650 patients (Friday) - was 745 last week

15 ventilated (Friday) - was 15 last week
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS

Another good weekly fall in deaths on what is almost always the highest day of the week



223 with 25 North West

Was 258 with 28 NW last week & 294 with 43 NW the week before


By Region:- East 10, London 28, Midlands 61, NE & Yorkshire 37, North West 25, South East 47. South West 15

Most by Trust:- 10 in Birmimgham & 8 in Northumbria

NW Trusts: - 4 each in East Lancashire , Salford & Morecambe , 2 each in Manchester & Mid Cheshire AND 1 each in Bolton, Chester, East Cheshire, Pennine Acute, Southport, St Helens, Warrington, Wigan & Christies Manchester

By Age:- 20 - 39 (1), 40 - 59 (10), 60 - 79 (81), 80 PLUS (131)


All five days so far of the new week total deaths as at five days are below last week by a total so far of 157 - a huge fall on last week.
 
SCOTLAND DATA

16 deaths - was 14 last week

5805 cases - Gov UK records 2664 for last week as still then V the older method)_

21.4% positivity - was 19.3% last week

911 patients - was 884 yesterday & 950 last week

13 ventilated icu - was 13 yesterday & 18 last week

SO THE VENTILATOR PATIENT NUMBERS FALLING HERE AS IN NORTHERN IRELAND & ENGLAND.

BUT PATIENTS UP A LITTLE AS WAS ENGLAND YESTERDAY
 
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