Not sure if this deserves a new thread (mods - feel free to create one if you wish), but...
How long do we think it will be before Trump gets kicked out? Personally, I've come to the conclusion that his continuing for 4 years is impossible. I think his impeachment is inevitable, unless he is assassinated.
I've been reading up on what ground there needs to be for impeachment, and there's different interpretations, ranging from Gerald Ford's view that the House of Representatives can impeach the president on whatever grounds it likes, to another that Presidents cannot be impeached unless they have broken the law.
However, the American Constitution as drawn up by the founding fathers, states that a president may be removed for "Treason, Bribery, or other high Crimes and Misdemeanors". Interestingly the "other high Crimes and Misdemeanors" part comes from our laws here in England, where misdemeanors means any bad acts or serious misconduct. So the most reliable conclusion is that Trump can be impeached for any significant abuse of the authority of his office.
So the question is when, not if, I think. And I don't think that's got so much to do with Trump actually. I think it's more to do with how long people in the House of Representatives are prepared to put up with this dangerous lunatic. And whether (when) they think there's a good chance of the impeachment charge being upheld by the Senate.
I'm guessing he's not got long and I won't be at all surprised if this unravelling of his presidency starts within the next month or so.
He's inevitably going to break the law anyway - he probably has already - and if nothing else when his tax returns are leaked by the someone in the IRS passing them to the FBI, passing them to the media, then he's toast I expect.
I dont think he will be impeached until the GOP decide that he's lost sufficient support from the people who elected him. If they co-operate with the Democrats to kick him out too quickly they risk turning him into a martyr, and turning the Fox watching Trump supporters against the party. They aren't at that point yet. I would give him another 18 months, assuming he doesn't do something totally crazy, as opposed to only moderately crazy.