SrilankanBlue said:
@ManCityMEN 5h
Chance conversion rate 2013-14: Dzeko (12%), Negredo (25%), Aguero (40%) #MCFC
Looks like we're in business then, since the worst of those numbers is the same as Suarez' chance conversion rate in the Prem last season (and only 1% lower than Bale's). Three strikers as good or better than Suarez, and two of them better than anyone who scored 10 or more goals in the Prem last season (Chicharito was top at 23%)! Wow! I don't suppose the fact we've only played 7 games so far affects the validity of those numbers. No, of course not.
And for those who don't know, chance conversion rate isn't about how many goals you score from goal scoring chances (as you might naively assume), it's simply goals divided by shots (not sure of the source of the numbers shown above, but that's how everyone seems to calculate it). So having a good chance, but not scoring because you chose not to take a shot, fell over, miscontrolled the ball, or lost it some other way, doesn't count as a missed conversion, but a speculative effort form 25 yards does.
Also, I don't remember seeing it on here last March, but the following quote comes from the stats site eplindex.com on March 7 (<a class="postlink" href="http://eplindex.com/27890/how-well-does-your-team-convert-chances-premier-league-stats-comparison.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">http://eplindex.com/27890/how-well-does ... rison.html</a>);
"Manchester United’s Robin van Persie has actually improved his chance conversion by 2% up to 23%. He seems to be the difference in winning the title this season although, in comparison, Edin Dzeko’s chance conversion is at 25% (i.e. better than van Persie’s). The problem is that Manchester City manager Roberto Mancini has only started Dzeko on 11 occasions this season which is surprising as this season they’ve required a lethal finisher."
I must have missed the clamour to make Edin the number one striker ahead of Aguero and Tevez at the end of last season based on those numbers...