Didsbury Dave
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 1 Feb 2007
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Re: Etihad Campus, Stadium Development and Collar Site (cont
Yep. I agree with this. Lots of lee crofts can make one SWP. This will certainly happen, especially if they are very well coached as is surely the intention. There was a time 10-15 years ago when anyone who came through the united academy seemed to raise a million or two, and city will be expecting that too.
FanchesterCity said:city91 said:Didsbury Dave said:You appear to be be only one getting it here, although I have no idea about the figures. Obviously there may be some intangible benefits, like persuading players to come who might not otherwise, especially young ones. But otherwise it's a massive spend. I'm not accusing the club of going into it blindly: of course they won't be. But it's an extremely bold investment which requires an enormous return to make it worthwhile; short, medium and long term.
This is not about whether it's a desirable thing to do this. Of course it is, and of course it will improve the club. But this thing has ultimately been done to pay for itself and then turn a profit, like all Abu Dhabi investments. Otherwise it's a waste of money.
I understand that city's profile mirrors Abu Dhabi, and that (probably combined with an element of it being a vanity/fun project) is why they accept the business running at an irrecuperable cumulative loss. But the club is clearly gunning like mad to at least get close to or into the black.
This has to be a risky way to try to achieve that. The good news, I suppose, is that if/when there are teething troubles (just like with the building of the football club) the well won't run dry. Because Sale Sharks or Stockport County aren't going to be buying this off us.
It's going to be intriguing to see how this works in reality.
Feel free to correct me if I have misunderstood.
But for example, say if the club has an annual £50 million put away for transfers each season and we only spend £20 million in the windows due to having a few youth players being promoted from our academy. Will the savings from the transfer window count as a return on investment?
A saving is still a return on investment. However, I think it's massively unrealistic to expect 20 million quid of talent to come through to the first team year on year. It just won't happen.
What is LIKELY to happen is that there will be lots of 'good' players leaving the academy which we will sell. For all intents and purposes, call it a player factory. If we have 20 players in the academy and we sell each for 500K, that's 10 million a year.
IF (big if) we spot a real talent, then great, we'll keep him and potentially guide him into the first team, where, even if he fails, we then might expect to be getting 1m for him instead of 500K (just an example).
And of course, we HOPE that having such great facilities will increase our odds of finding these young gems, but that's the icing on the cake (in my opinion). City surely must be relying on the bread and butter of an academy which is a player factory.
That's not to say City won't hope to be able to create a Barca type team where a core of young lads DO make it to the first team, I think that's our goal... I'm just saying that we must have a realistic view too that the academy will have to yield a good number of 'sellable' players at the same time.
I consider it a bit like a Chip manufacturer.... we'll keep or sell the high grade stuff for a premium, but we we have a process that ensures a minimum quality, and THAT yield is where we will focus most of our work. It's folly to expect another Barca or Fergie's kids. All we can do is lay a foundation where that COULD happen if we get lucky.
Yep. I agree with this. Lots of lee crofts can make one SWP. This will certainly happen, especially if they are very well coached as is surely the intention. There was a time 10-15 years ago when anyone who came through the united academy seemed to raise a million or two, and city will be expecting that too.