EU referendum

[Monkfish]

You missed my point there - the odds on 'out' are still long, despite the money piling on 'out'

 

[Ancient Citizen]

odds for 'out' to win are identical to those for Labour to win most seats at the next election so the bookies don't think its uncertain (and that's with 90% of the bets going on 'out')

Can't be arsed checking mate, but what are the current odds, is 'In' favourite by a good way?

 

[Monkfish]

around 3-1 on for in, you can get 12-5 on out (apologies to the gambling addicts)

 

[Ancient Citizen]

around 3-1 on for in, you can get 12-5 on out (apologies to the gambling addicts)

So odds on for remaining, by a fair stretch.
Gambling addicts, pile everything on an out vote ;-)

 

[grunge]

You missed my point there - the odds on 'out' are still long, despite the money piling on 'out'

Doh!.

 

[cibaman]

That is exactly what everyone said in Scotland, it seemed like everyone was voting out and that independence was the only way. Must admit when talking with family and friends back in the UK or people out here short term and voting the exact opposite is true it would be mainly in .

I went to Edinburgh for the festival, a couple of weeks before the vote. Everywhere you looked there were "Yes" flags, lots of people wearing Yes badges. You really would have expected at least 80% of them to vote Yes. Yet Edinburgh had the biggest No vote.

A 50 something mate of mine living in Scotland voted No "because of the pension". All his mates of the same age voted No "because of the pension". It wasn't something they were going to take to the streets shouting about though.

 

[Gelsons Dad]

well i'm not voting apparently. May have to take this to the European Courts!!

 

[EalingBlue2]

They will certainly believe themselves right, as do outers. Your second paragraph is also probably right, apart from the education bit, as it assumes older university educated people
are voting in; not the case everytime, although it's impossible to determine accurately. I'd agree about big business, certainly at senior management level, at worker level, again not so sure.
Small businesses are the biggest employers overall, so if they're predominantly outers, the outcome appears far from certain.

My comments are very general as clearly even in the areas mentioned it is only 70:30 or 60:40 there will clearly be old rural labourers voting in and young graduates in London voting outburst in and out becomes more likely By geography or demographics.

 

[EalingBlue2]

odds for 'out' to win are identical to those for Labour to win most seats at the next election so the bookies don't think its uncertain (and that's with 90% of the bets going on 'out')

That suggests all the big professional money is on in and all the punters are on out as where the odds sit suggests 75% of the £ is on in so if 90% of bets are out that suggests that on average an in bet is 30x an out bet on average

 

[crazyadi]

Hopefully the national vote will replicate the poll on here.
All the ones who are in love with the idea of unelected, undemocratic and facist european state can go live in one if its micro states if it means so much to them.