Mancini (cont)

tolmie's hairdoo said:
moomba said:
tolmie's hairdoo said:
Had Wigan not been a serious threat during the period, Mancini would not have decided to scrap the formation after 13 minutes.

I think it was more that it wasn't resulting on us being any more effective going forward.

As I said I don't think we were any worse with a back three than any other part of the night.


Okay, that's your view- it's wrong - but we'll leave it there ;)

To take my issue with three at the back forward, why does Mancini continue to believe he has the personnel to deploy it effectively?

Outside of the FA Cup defeat to United last season, it has been shambolic.

I can see why Ajax were able to pick it apart during another crazy few minutes.

Mancini is a fool to continue with it, it's kamikaze. When we play an attacking mentality with a 4-2-3-1 we play best, the 'shackles off' term.

---------------------------Hart-----------------------------
Zaba------------Kompany----------Nasty--------------Clichy
-------------------Milner--------Barry-----------------------
-------------------------Yaya-------------------------------
----------Tevez---------------------------Silva-------------
---------------------------Aguero---------------------------


That's us at our best imo.
 
tolmie's hairdoo said:
moomba said:
tolmie's hairdoo said:
I see he went three at the back last night for all of 13 minutes.

During which time, Kompany went from thoroughbred to third-rate.

Did he? I wouldn't have thought so, was more worried by Garcia against Kone myself. But I can't remember them having any chances during that time.

To be honest we were rubbish all game last night, but certainly no worse (or better) for the short time we played with three at the back.


Three times Komps was dragged out to the right to challenge Maloney, three times he was left tackling fresh air.

Had Wigan not been a serious threat during the period, Mancini would not have decided to scrap the formation after 13 minutes.

Wigan were never more threatening than during this time and thankfully, Mancini could see it and rectified the mistake.
We were all over the place when we went three.

Micah was our outlet to take the play onto the wings as was Kolorov, unfortunately Micah was out on his feet after the first half and Kolorov was not really up to much.

Kompany was pulled to the byline on several occasions and looked uncomfortable.

Glad Mancini rectified it, it worked for him against Spurs but hope that is the last we see of it with the personnel we have.

We ground a result out last night and I thought Tevez was well worth his goal.

Oh and still on the fence with Mancini, understand both sides of the argument.
 
---------------------------Hart-----------------------------
Zaba------------Kompany----------Nasty--------------Clichy
-------------------Milner--------Barry-----------------------
-------------------------Yaya-------------------------------
----------Tevez---------------------------Silva-------------
---------------------------Aguero---------------------------

agreed........
 
NipHolmes said:
How do you work this out?

They are in a domestic up final the same as us, but they are semi finalists in the Champions League! Hardly marginal is it?

They have a better squad but lets not twist truths to suit here.

As for their league, imo it's filled with much more talent and teams actually play to win. Here the objective for many clubs is defend a point and try to pinch the other 2. Get to 40 points and seasons a success. Any cup runs are a bonus but league is first and foremost. In Spain it's different, you will see Sociedad and Betis for example completely take the game to Real or Barca, that's what football is meant to be played like.

People think our league is best because they are told it's best and are to ignorant to compare themselves. Bundesliga is equally as exciting and have two teams of better quality than us and United. Spain itself is a hotbed of talent, they have teams playing good football from bottom team to the top. The only problem is how the mobney is distributed, if the evened it up it'd make the league even better!

Athletico are over achieving for the squad strength but their best eleven is a match to anyones. Bilbao thrashed United, Athletico battered Chelsea in the Super Cup and they won the UEFA Cup. Both Spanish teams are in the semis of CL final. I think that justifies my high ranking of their league.

firstly, it wasn't a swipe at your post, I was playing with some statistical analysis this morning and did some on football because its more fun. Just thought it may be interesting.

So, I've only taken league positions into account, taking into account cup competitions will be hard to quantify, and well above my head.

However, I've worked it out through finding the "Z-Score" for both real, athletico, city and chelsea in their respective samples. The z-Score is found by subtracting the sample mean from the observation (for example, city have 68 points, the mean is 44.4 points) and dividing it by the standard deviation.

This gives you a figure which tells you how many standard deviations away from the mean your observation is.

Once you have this figure you can use a property table to find out what percentage of the any other possible observations fall below your found z-score.

I worked it out for both Chelsea and athletico, in athletico's league 92.5% fall below their score, and in ours, 86% fall below Chelsea's.

In the league, itself, Real are above 94.5% whereas we are above 94.1%

This method is good because it allows you to make comparisons between two independent samples.

note, i'm by no means an expert, but I had just finished playing around with it when I saw your post :-)
 
Caveman said:
tolmie's hairdoo said:
moomba said:
Did he? I wouldn't have thought so, was more worried by Garcia against Kone myself. But I can't remember them having any chances during that time.

To be honest we were rubbish all game last night, but certainly no worse (or better) for the short time we played with three at the back.


Three times Komps was dragged out to the right to challenge Maloney, three times he was left tackling fresh air.

Had Wigan not been a serious threat during the period, Mancini would not have decided to scrap the formation after 13 minutes.

Wigan were never more threatening than during this time and thankfully, Mancini could see it and rectified the mistake.
Something needed to change. He tried a few different things - not just reverting to 352 - and in the end we won and they didn't score.

That's similar to how I saw things last night. We weren't at the races at all with the formation we lined up with, he made changes, that in fairness didn't work so he made more and we sneaked a win which for a long time I didn't see coming.
That said I'm not a fan of us going 3-5-2, not because its a poor tactic in general more that we don't have the personnel to make it work as well as it should.
 
tolmie's hairdoo said:
Drawing: Bayern, Dortmund and Real Madrid in the Champs League = unlucky

Drawing: Watford, Stoke, Leeds, Barnsley and Wigan = not lucky
There's no such thing as luck.
 
tolmie's hairdoo said:
To take my issue with three at the back forward, why does Mancini continue to believe he has the personnel to deploy it effectively?

My biggest issue is the personnel. Micah is ideal for wing back, but was probably too early in his recorery to be really effective. Kolarov just not the right type of player. I think Clichy is, but as far as I know has never been played as a wingback for us.

As far as the back three any combination of Kompany, Lescott, Nastasic, Kolo should be adaptable enough to be able to play it well. Kolo and Lescott have played plenty of football at fullback, Kompany is good enough to play anywhere in the back 4. I'd be pretty confident in Nastasic as well. Usually there has been Clichy and/or Zaba as one of the back three though and I don't think they are best suited to that. VK, Garcia and Lescott wasn't a bad back three on paper but Garcia worried me as I've mentioned.

Probably our best set up with a back 3/5 is Micah or Zaba, Kolo VK Lescott or Nastasic, Clichy. I don't see how that couldn't be effective.
 

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