The Balotelli transfer was pushed by Milan, who wanted rid of him, and it's not like there were too many clubs lining up for Balotelli, so Liverpool was as good an option as any.His most recent 'forced' transfer was Balotelli to Liverpool. If Pogba's will was central to what Raiola wanted to achieve this summer then the complexion of his transfer would be very very different and the clubs involved would be very very different.
Let me put it another. Do you think that Paul Pogba would prefer to play at Barcelona, at Madrid, at Manchester United, or at Manchester City? What order do you put those clubs in if you were guessing his preference? When you listen to Pogba's words (I want to be the best but i'm not there yet, win the ballon do'r, be like Iniesta, Messi, and Neymar all rolled into one. i can improve a lot.), do they reflect the attitudes of a footballer who thinks he's the best in the world, and therefore deserves a world record fee and wages equivalent to Messi and Ronaldo?
Raiola is playing a very dangerous game with the Pogba family IMO. He made a comment last week which most of the media didn't pick up on but which was very very telling. "The boy needs to choose a project, not a coach." Which 'coach' has Pogba chosen and which 'project' would Mino be pushing him towards? The answers I suspect are very revealing about what's going on.
To answer your question, I suspect that Pogba's preference would be for Barcelona, followed by Real Madrid and Man Utd/City more or less on a par trailing behind, but that's all conjecture because nobody here actually knows Pogba and what his primary motivations are. Pogba clearly doesn't think that he's the best player in the world (that much is clear from his comments, and he's far more humble and hard-working than many people give him credit for), but that's not really the issue here. I'm not sure Pogba really cares all that much about the transfer fee to be honest, but a world record transfer fee doesn't necessarily equate to being the best player in the world. Gareth Bale was never the best player in the world, for instance. Raiola, being a good agent, is just trying to increase his client's value and getting him as good a deal as possible, also knowing that Juve will be unwilling to sell unless they receive a lucrative offer.
As for Raiola's comments that you quoted, it's the same thing that he has been saying for years now. If Pogba goes anywhere it will be because he has been led to believe that there is a long-term project of which he is an integral part, and within a framework that will stand by him through thick and thin because they value his qualities. It's basically the same thing that Raiola said last year when criticising Real Madrid for the way they treat their players. If Pogba doesn't receive a suitable offer, he will stay at Juve, where he is already at the centre of an exciting project and where he is one of the team's leaders. I think you're inferring too much by trying to read a tug-of-war between Pogba and Raiola into the latter's comments.