Been thinking about the likely outcome and my prediction is we will be found guilty of non cooperation - fine of about £10m. Then all the financial ones we will be found not guilty but they will word it in a way that allows the press and other fans to continue to presume we were actually guilty. Something like not quite enough evidence or didn't meet a threshold.
There is no chance in my opinion of an ‘off-ramp’ of a fine.
I’m 100% confident that for all of Khaldoon’s bravado publicly, in private if the Pl had offered a big fine in return for a final closure of the period to-date, City would’ve snapped their arm off for it.
Equally, the PL really don’t want to be in a position of going publicly for one of their members. It’s horrific PR for an organisation that only cares about its PR and profit maximisation.
The fact that they’ve pursued the strongest charges makes clear they believe they have a very strong hand. Equally I’ve no doubt City also believe they have a rock solid position, and now we have to wait the several years for this to take its course.
A defeat on the main charges fundamentally flaws the ‘loser’ below the water line. If the Pl lose, they’ve brought immeasurable damage to the league from a Pr perspective, and will have no chance to fight off independent regulation. If City lose, they’ll be deemed to have filed incorrect statements for a decade in the PL, and by default UEFA and the punishments won’t be a £1m fine and forced to play Scott Carson for a year.
As said previously, perhaps the likeliest scenario is that the Middle Eastern takeovers of United and Liverpool, which will inevitably lead to pathetically hypocritically opinion changes in their fans to ‘owner investment’ materially changes the landscape and sees the case quietly shelved when United fans and new owners realise they can’t sell Old Trafford naming rights to Qatar for £2bn and spend it all on Mbappe.