Shaelumstash
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 30 Apr 2009
- Messages
- 8,254
Because of the results they show up ?
Exactly.
@OB1 answer me as honestly as you can, do you think it's accurate to score DeBruyne 9.37 out of 10 for his performance on Sunday? Close to the perfect game? Close to the best game ever played by a footballer in the history of the sport? Personally I think 9.37 out of 10 might be stretching it, just a tad.
The algorithm could be created by a think tank of Ferguson, Guardiola, Lippi and Sacchi, but it still wouldn't make it an accurate way of judging a player. Statistics can not tell you whether a player made the intelligent pass. Whether they made the intelligent run. Whether they read the play and closed down the space in the right way.
Statistics in Amercian sports are extremely useful. Those sports are based on "plays" - 5 seconds of action that are usually dictated exactly by the coach's instructions. Football is completely different, it's a fluid game with comparatively fewer stoppages. It relies a lot more on player's intelligence and intuition than it does following out a manager's instruction second to second.
Rebounds, assists, yards gained, RBI's, base hits etc are an essential tool for judging a player. The stat we have in football that is of equivalent relevance is goals. The average amount of goals a footballer scores is usually a pretty accurate stat to evaluate whether they are likely to score more goals in the future.
Other stats are relevant in certain circumstances, assists, clean sheets, yards covered etc, but they only tell you a very small part of the story. It's harder to get assists if Cameron Jerome is your centre forward. It's harder to keep a clean sheet if Roberto Martinez is your manager. It's harder to cover yards if your manager has told you to sit in front of the back 4 and not move.
There is no "right way" to play football. There is no "perfect player". The cliche that it is a game of opinions is absolutely true. Sam Alladyce may look at Robert Huth and say he's a brilliant, physical, no nonsense defender. Pep Guardiola may look at him and say he's clumsy and makes bad decisions with the ball. The stats couldn't tell them that though. There will never be a stat for football intelligence, and that's the most important aspect of a footballer's make up to many manager's.
Even if the brain's trust above got together to try to create an "intelligence stat" it would be impossible. Sacchi might say the intelligent ball for Huth to play is a square ball to the right back, keep possession. Ferguson might say the intelligent ball is in to the channel for the winger to run on to. Guardiola might say it's in to the centre midfielder's feet. There will never be a consensus about what the correct decision is in every circumstance, so it's impossible to put a statistic on it.
I'll finish by quoting Ade Cooper - the chief scout of Sunderland. Bearing in mind Sam Alladyce is the manager in the league who places the most relevance on statistics:
"This will change the way we look at games,’ he said. ‘Everything we’ve been told is important - passing statistics, possession statistics, squad rotation, they’re proving it all wrong."
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/ar...r-champion-Claudio-Ranieri.html#ixzz48LclG2dU
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