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New daily COVID infections fall by half
June 15, 2020
New COVID cases continue to fall across the UK, with cases dropping by almost half in a week
According to the latest
COVID Symptom Study app figures based on positive swab tests there are now just below 5,000 daily new cases of COVID across the UK (excluding care homes) [*], this number has fallen by almost a half (47%) from the 9,400 figure last week, suggesting the current COVID trend in the UK is much more positive than currently thought. The figures were based on 12,872 swab tests from 24 May to 6 June 2020 and extrapolated to the wider population.
In England, the number of daily new cases fell in all the regions, including 49% in the North West (820 from 1608), a drop of 46% in the South East (365 from 674) and a drop of 43% in the South West (162 from 284). The North East and Yorkshire is still the area of the country with the highest incidence rates, but the number fell from 1,965 to 1,275 a reduction of 35%, suggesting that the situation is improving.
The numbers of new cases estimated daily in England (4,523) is similar to that estimated last week (5,570) from
the latest ONS household survey that also uses swab testing.
In London, whilst the number of cases is still lower than in the north of England, they fell by 27% this week. Examining the data over the last month suggests that the drop in cases has been slower than other regions.
These results are based on a sub-group of 1,015,546 people using the COVID Symptom Study app, of whom 12,872
carried out swab tests after an invitation from
ZOE when they began to feel unwell and 108 tested positive. These figures give an up to date view of COVID infection rates, unlike deaths which lag by about 3 weeks.