Russian invasion of Ukraine

From "The Analyst":

KHARKIV: RUSSIANS SURRENDER & DESERT IN LARGE NUMBERS

With supplies short and food and water a vastly reduced commodity even by Russian meagre standards, morale in the their lines, especially in the Liptsy sector of the front has been dire. This resulted in a a rapidly increasing number of surrendering units.
Ukraine had also been targeting the barrier troops and their headquarters so that these were so reduced, they were in no position to stop the Russians retreating without permission.
The first collapse came after the 7th Motor Rifle Brigade lost most of its forces and equipment being forced into meant grinder attacks against Ukrainian defences around Liptsy.
They lost so many troops that the Russians had to withdraw them to reconstitute the unit, but they failed to replaced them with anything, leaving the remaining units feeling abandoned and vulnerable.
Ukrainian counter attacks placed extreme pressure on the remaining units and they started to collapse.
Russians have been conditioned into not surrendering in most cases, having been fed a bucket load of lies about what will happen to them, including torture, especially genital mutilation, and eye removal, so they have often become too scared to try. Instead they go AWOL, abandoning their positions and fleeing, especially without barrier troops to stop them.
The Chechens were brought in to try and restore some discipline but instead seem to have ended up in the frontline fighting, not Ukrainian but Russian troops trying to retreat without permission.
The Ukrainians quickly isolated where the Chechens were deploying from and targeted that, reducing their numbers and abilities in devastating HIMARS strikes inside Russia.
Another thing that became clear over the past week is that pieces of units form all around the front have been stationed here. Platoon level numbers have been brought up from as far away as Kherson and pretty much everywhere along the front. Detached from their units and commanders the Russian system doesn’t really work well when it comes to communications and resupply and becomes an every man for himself environment behind the lines, while being an incoherent and unstable frontline, far from ideal to defend against determined Ukrainians.
This situation has resulted in Ukrainian gains and a reduction in Russian held territory. Ukraine has opted for the attrition strategy, wearing the Russians out of equipment and progressively weakening them forcing them to keep deploying new units - here where they can contain them rather have them exploit a frontline position elsewhere.
Eventually it’s hoped they will become so weakened that an offensive retake all of the captured areas will be possible.
Yet rumours persist the Russians still want to expand the frontlines here to create their so called buffer zone. If they can’t even maintain what they have without bringing in units from
around the entire front, how will they create enough of a force to widen the operation? Let alone stabilise their own front in Kharkiv.
This farce of an operation has been catastrophically bad for the Russians. They have locked themselves into it and don’t have the humility or common sense to see this is no longer a viable campaign. One of the key aspects of being a good military force commander is knowing when you are wrong and accepting it. That doesn’t happen in Russia without severe consequences. They are too afraid to admit failure.
Kharkiv continues to be the death zone for Russian units - in an area where the commanders are seemingly nervous of new ideas or any common sense, resorting to brutal tactics to control their own forces.

Slava Ukraini !
 


Delighted I just mentioned Azovstal factory on my tour of Ukraine and 50 of their defenders have been returned home from Russian captivity just hope all of the defenders get to go home soon, heroes all of them

Whilst it’s a good thing I find it bizarre in a state of war troops are handed over in exchanges whilst the war continues.
 
Whilst it’s a good thing I find it bizarre in a state of war troops are handed over in exchanges whilst the war continues.
It was the norm until the concept of total war came in. It was, for example, common in the American Civil War until the Confederates refused to exchange black prisoners, after which Lincoln stopped exchanges altogether.
 
From "The Analyst":

FRONTLINE OVERVIEW

In Kharkiv the Russians were pushed back in the northeast, and central areas of Vochansk as well as Staritsya to the west of the city, following a Ukrainian offensive to push back and take more ground.
Fighting is incredibly heavy but there’s no doubt the Russians are in the back foot here and are struggling to retain their hold.
In the eastern sector of the front at Hiybolke, the Ukrainians seem to have gained and retained more ground around that settlement.
The Avdivka sector continues to be a weak spot.
I’ve been trying to find out what the specific issues are here. Is it ammo? Is it lack of something that’s causing the Ukrainians to give ground? And the answer seems to be that ammunition is no longer the issue - if anything it’s raw manpower. They just don’t have enough men to sacrifice even one to hold a position. This has led to a progressive but slow fighting retreat as the Russians press with numbers of men - their only real ace advantage.
The same is happening at Tortetsk - the frontlines are inadequately manned and they just don’t have the numbers to stop so many Russians.
There have been artillery issues too, but almost everyone agrees the shell starvation scenarios are now mostly a thing of the past.
The first batches of newly mobilised recruits following the new laws, are barely at the end of their six week initial training and putting them straight in the front line was never intended - posting to units in their rear was the first part with introduction to the frontline planned with more experienced troops.
The Russians may not be able to mount some grand offensive at present but they do continually exploit weakness when they find it.
While Kharkiv is important, because the Russians cannot be allowed to obtain a permanent foothold, there is no question that it is sapping Ukrainian resources from other areas.
While the war is one of attrition, the majority of that attrition is taking place in Kharkiv right now. The price of that attrition for Ukraine, is that it must allow itself to accept losses elsewhere.
I keep hearing that ‘oh it’s just a few meters here or there’, but it’s a few meters they can’t easily take back and over time that becomes kilometers. Sooner or later you have to decide so far and no more.
There have been incidences on the map when I have seen clearly difficult Russian advances out on a limb that should have been cut off more or less instantly in rapid counter attacks to stop them - yet nothing happens. There aren’t enough mobile forces or men to make it happen. Ukraine to me, lacks the reserves or depth - or is unwilling to commit them until the last minute. That minute never seems to come so they just can’t be there.
This is a problem. Incremental Russian gains at high cost are draining the life out of them, but Ukraine hasn’t got the resources to stop them permanently either. Neither does it have indefinite space to retreat into. You have to draw a line somewhere and stop the Russians at all costs.
Kharkiv is that spot right now. But the price is a steady loss of key land in other areas. The fact is they too must be stopped. The question is with what and how?

Slava Ukraini !
 

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