Russian invasion of Ukraine

Sorry been busy...

Stuff 02/08:

Day 892 Review:
 
From ‘The Analyst’ (Military & Strategic) X: MilStratOnX

RUSSIAN RED LINES

America and the NATO allies fretted over supplying defensive weapons to Ukraine in 2021/22.
Russia wouldn’t like it. They did and the Russians didn’t. But they didn’t do anything about it.
The argument over supplying tanks raged for so long, by the time they arrived the face of war had changed so dramatically that they no longer had the desired impact. Everyone worried over what the Russians might think, and the started suggesting the use of tactical nuclear weapons.
The tanks arrived and the TNW’s remained in their lockups.
Then there was arguments over giving Ukraine the means to defend its air space and the Russians threatened the destruction of every unit and that the whole scenario was yet another dangerous escalation. We sent the air defences and nothing happened.
Then we worried about supplying long range weapons like StormShadow and SCALP-EG. And we sent them. And nuclear weapons did not rain down on London or Paris, despite the bellicose threats.
And then we said we’d send aircraft - real fighters. And this too, said the Kremlin, was an insufferable escalation. But nothing happened.
Now they say they will shoot them all down. They can try and eventually they probably will. That’s war. Take a while to catch up with the numbers of Su-34’s Russia has lost though.
And the latest threats? If F-16 is based in Romania or Poland then Russia considers those airbases viable targets.
Okay then, so you’re going to risk injuring and killing NATO forces in a NATO country are you? I think not. Besides no Ukrainian F-16 will be carrying out combat missions from NATO territory because we are grown ups and we know that’s an act of war. But nothing is stopping them being serviced there, just as it hasn’t stopped the Mig-29 and Su-24’s being refurbished there either.
Every time we have allowed ourselves to think what Russia might do and it never has. And it never will.
So why are we still holding back from letting Ukraine use weapons on Russian territory? We aren’t the ones firing them. Ukraine is. Let’s not wait any longer. Surely we know by now what Russia’s response will be?
 

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