As Harold Macmillan famously said..."events, my dear boy, events".
And we're going to have lots of events over the next two years.
Imagine if there were riots, huge can't pay, won't pay protests, continuous strikes one overlapping another, NHS collapse, unemployment rising, appalling cold weather deaths, drastic increase in poverty driven theft, increasing reliance on food banks, even more rampant inflation, a housing price crash.
And these are just off the top of my head.
The political pressure to call an election would be overwhelming.
This government is tired and divided, at least a third of Tory MPs despise Sunak and his "soft" socialism, they don't consider him or his government Conservative at all, which means Sunak is at their mercy, u-turning on a daily basis to keep them onside, but it's an impossible task and effectively neutralises anything he wants to do. The right wing Reform UK is nibbling at Tory support, 9% in the opinion polls now. Every other day it seems another Tory MP declines to stand again. There are so many scenarios where a crunch moment might occur, that it's not difficult to imagine one or a combination actually happening.