yeah, we talked about that at length and using completely non-scientific methods agreed that, all things considered, there was a fair likelihood, as is often the case in nature, that things tend to balance themselves out in the long run when the numbers are in the billions.Only 2 possible outcomes as you say but the chances each outcome happening will be significantly different. It will also surely depend on where in the world you are born as newborn mortality rates will vary across the world.
we weren't talking about dead babies,I’m not the one talking about dead babies over a glass of wine with my mates.
how so?It will depend on the time of day you are born as well, obviously.
A common but pedantic mistake when it comes to odds, with no outside influences it’s actually 364/1 or a one in a 365 chance However, when we factor in leap years it changes as there’s a further 1 day per every 4th year when you can’t die on your birthday.I'd have assumed 365 to 1 in a normal calendar year. But I believe it's higher than that for various reasons such as people may over celebrate with beer/drugs and die from that directly or indirectly in an accident, fight, etc.
Its 50/50, though.A common but pedantic mistake when it comes to odds, with no outside influences it’s actually 364/1 or a one in a 365 chance However, when we factor in leap years it changes as there’s a further 1 day per every 4th year when you can’t die on your birthday.
Also, a misconception is leap years are every 4 years, if the year is divisible by 100 years it’s not a leap year unless it’s divisible by 400 years. So 2000 was a leap year but 2100, 2200 and 2300 won’t be leap years, hope that’s fucked a good nights sleep up.
i'm guessing again, but i think the chances are that someone soon is going to call you well weird.Also, a misconception is leap years are every 4 years, if the year is divisible by 100 years it’s not a leap year unless it’s divisible by 400 years, as a century number, IE, no 525, 550 or 575. So 2000 was a leap year but 2100, 2200 and 2300 won’t be leap years, hope that’s fucked a good nights sleep up.
Its 50/50. You're either weird or you're not.i'm guessing again, but i think the chances are that someone soon is going to call you well weird.
this thread may well be an exception to the rule.Its 50/50. You're either weird or you're not.
A common but pedantic mistake when it comes to odds, with no outside influences it’s actually 364/1 or a one in a 365 chance However, when we factor in leap years it changes as there’s a further 1 day per every 4th year when you can’t die on your birthday.
Also, a misconception is leap years are every 4 years, if the year is divisible by 100 years it’s not a leap year unless it’s divisible by 400 years, as a century number, IE, no 525, 550 or 575. So 2000 was a leap year but 2100, 2200 and 2300 won’t be leap years, hope that’s fucked a good nights sleep up.
I would imagine newborn mortality is significantly less than 1 in 1000 in the Western world. Perhaps a bit higher in developing countries. Anyway I would hazard a guess that the chances of dying on your birthday is well under .01%.yeah, we talked about that at length and using completely non-scientific methods agreed that, all things considered, there was a fair likelihood, as is often the case in nature, that things tend to balance themselves out in the long run when the numbers are in the billions.