The Title Race - 2021/22

[jimharri]

Yeah. What are the dippers, 9 points + game in hand, probably 6 points. with 14 games to go that's a hell of a lot of games left, this is nowhere near over, not even close. Can still go either way this our next 3 or 4 games won't be that easy

Pretty please, predict Liverpool to overtake us.

;-)

 

[Withnail]

We are in the pole position, just need to focus on ourselves and keep winning. One game at a time as Pep I am sure is telling the players

 

[Tangled up in blue.]

Pretty please, predict Liverpool to overtake us.

;-)

View attachment 36518

No more predictions jim, I fucked up last time, but 14 games is a lot of games jim

 

[Saddleworth2]

Interesting when looking at remaining fixtures, I think we have the marginally kinder ones when you consider the potential for dropped points.

we have:
Spuds at home
United at home
Liverpool at home
Wolves away
West Ham away

other than that we have:
Everton away
CP away
Brighton at home
Burnley away
Watford at home
Leeds away
Newcastle at home
AV at home

Liverpool have:
Arsenal away (to be rescheduled)
West Ham at home
Man Utd at home
City away
Spuds at home
Southampton away
Wolves Home

Norwich, Leeds, Watford, Everton All at home
Brighton, Villa and Newcastle away

I will be looking for Arsenal, Southampton and Wolves to do us a favour, particularly if it goes down to the wire (Saints and Wolves are their last two games).

 

[Brightwell Bros.]

It's all a bit Michael Owen in its banality, this statement, but I think both teams will drop points but the important part will be which team does it first.

It really is worth repeating that Liverpool have absolutely no room to maneuver on this. We can lose twice and still have the title in our own hands by beating Liverpool at home who have a pretty poor record at our place.

It is also worth repeating that the sort of run that City have made a habit of - 10+ game winning streaks - are really, really rare and Liverpool are the only team who have got close to that form in the past decade, and even then not for 2 years now.

 

[jimharri]

No more predictions jim, I fucked up last time, but 14 games is a lot of games jim

Have a little faith "Tan". Remember the 18/19 season? A 14 game winning run (with just 4 goals conceded) at the business end of the season to pip the cultists.

 

[Cobwebcat]

Before Liverpool beat Leicester the percentage chance of City and Liverpool winning the league was 83% vs 16% with every other team in total providing the remains 1%. The predicted gap was 8 points.

After the game its now 83% vs 17% and 0% (rounding) and still 8 points.

Nothing significant changed as Liverpool were expected to beat Leicester at home.

Arsenal beating Wolves away was more of an upset increasing the expected gap between Arsenal and United from 3 points to 5 In the battle for 4th.

Currently on 538

CITY 85%
Liverpool 15%

percentage went up for us slightly as we are performing better than Liverpool even though we both won

 

[Gaz (FMwkdsoul)]

Not much difference in the team left in the run in,

 

[Brightwell Bros.]

Currently on 538

CITY 85%
Liverpool 15%

percentage went up for us slightly as we are performing better than Liverpool even though we both won

Probably less to do with performance and more to do with how stats are calculated given one fewer game is one fewer opportunity for city to drop points?

 

[Cobwebcat]

Probably less to do with performance and more to do with how stats are calculated given one fewer game is one fewer opportunity for city to drop points?

Both definitely..our SPI rating went up slightly after our last game while theirs remained static.