Let's start with the obvious. Liverpool can win the title. But it's nonsense to say they are favourites. Aside from the fact that we are 3 points ahead (assuming they beat Leeds), there are several other things:
1. Fixtures: they are somewhat similar with the important exception that they have to come to the Etihad. The media rhetoric since we drew with Southampton has been the assumption that they will waltz onto our turf and brush us aside. Ignoring the fact that they haven't won here for 6 years and have suffered at least two major spankings. Ignoring the fact that we dominated them at their hallowed sanctuary and would likely have won if Milner had been called for 2 of his at least 3 blatantly bookable offences.
2. History: yes they love to use that word, but the reality favours us. We have been there and done it 5 times over the past decade, three of which have been razor tight. They have never won a tight title race and bottled 2018/19 despite the ref'ing outrageously favouring them
3. The Run-in: in all our 3 tight title races, we have finished very very strongly. 6 on the bounce in 2012. 5 on the bounce in 2014. 14 on the bounce in 2019. And several tough crunch games in all of those runs.
4. Wake-up calls: in every title year, we have had some inexplicable setback in the Jan-Mar period. And it has been a galvanizing force. Who thought we would grab the title when we lost at Arsenal in 2012 or at Anfield in 2014 (another game we would have won with halfway non-corrupt officiating) or at Newcastle in 2019. We made some schoolboy errors yesterday - Rodri, Walker and Dias in particular, but Pep will go right back to the drawing board and my bet is we will see a much tighter defensive setup going forward. Maybe (hopefully?) featuring Stones.
5. Pressure/Quadruple: I think this has hurt us in past years. Well this time the shoe is on the other foot. If the scousers win the League Cup next week, watch the media wankfest launch into full swing. I am hoping Chelsea roll them over as I dont want them winning anything, but I actually think their lifting that trophy will paradoxically hurt their league chances.