US Politics Thread

So, just thinking about tomorrow night and after, and who to watch/listen/follow the election with?
Any network recommendations or suggestions?
 
Kicking off Election Day Eve festivities…

Reply to this post with your prediction of the final Harris and Trump vote (rounded) shares in the battleground states.

My prediction:

State - Harris % - Trump %
Arizona - 49 - 50 (Trump)
Georgia - 50 - 49 (Harris)
Michigan - 50 - 49 (Harris)
Nevada - 49 - 50 (Trump takes the EC votes)
North Carolina - 48 - 50 (Trump)
Pennsylvania - 50 - 48 (Harris)
Wisconsin - 50 - 48 (Harris)

Electoral College Outcome:
Democrats - 286
MAGA - 252

Kamala Harris wins the election.

I almost don’t want to tempt fate but I’ve been reading too much polling data to not at least try and guess…

State - Harris % - Trump %
Arizona - 49 - 50 (Trump +1)
Georgia - 51 - 48 (Harris +3)
Michigan - 53 - 47 (Harris +6)
Nevada - 51 - 49 (Harris +2)
North Carolina - 46 - 52 (Trump + 6)
Pennsylvania - 54 - 46 (Harris +8)
Wisconsin - 52 - 48 (Harris +4)

Electoral College Outcome:
Democrats - 292
MAGA - 246

I basically think the rust belt is going to end up not being as close as people think - particularly PA. And North Carolina always surprises me with how red it is. My lowest confidence is in Georgia, really can’t tell for the life of me what’s going on there.
 
I almost don’t want to tempt fate but I’ve been reading too much polling data to not at least try and guess…

State - Harris % - Trump %
Arizona - 49 - 50 (Trump +1)
Georgia - 51 - 48 (Harris +3)
Michigan - 53 - 47 (Harris +6)
Nevada - 51 - 49 (Harris +2)
North Carolina - 46 - 52 (Trump + 6)
Pennsylvania - 54 - 46 (Harris +8)
Wisconsin - 52 - 48 (Harris +4)

Electoral College Outcome:
Democrats - 292
MAGA - 246

I basically think the rust belt is going to end up not being as close as people think - particularly PA. And North Carolina always surprises me with how red it is. My lowest confidence is in Georgia, really can’t tell for the life of me what’s going on there.

Even more optimistic than me, I like it!
 
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If US democracy comes down to a popularity contest between Taylor Swift and Elon Musk then that is not great, even if it gets the result you want.
Yeah, but it doesn't come down to that, does it?

It's an inane straw man, unless you have some data that says the majority of those voting for Harris or Trump say "it's because Taylor/Elon told me to."

But, sure, another reed to beat stupid Americans with, why not?
 
Yeah, but it doesn't come down to that, does it?

It's an inane straw man, unless you have some data that says the majority of those voting for Harris or Trump say "it's because Taylor/Elon told me to."

But, sure, another reed to beat stupid Americans with, why not?
It wasn't my idea that Taylor swift would be the democrats secret weapon, ask the poster that posted it.
 
Better than it being down to people like the bloke on the news tonight who absolutely detests Trump but will vote for him anyway because Socialism.
Yes, in the short term it's fine, but I worry that we are diluting the significance of voting for governments to the same trivial level as a TV phone in vote like (fucking) strictly or something of that ilk.
 

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