COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[Deleted member 77198]

Apparantly analysis of Google search results by location can predict local Covid-19 outbreaks two weeks ahead of new case numbers going up.

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“How much are Covid fines for house parties” would be an easy one to spot where cases will start going up on a few weeks

 

[cleavers]

randomly selected apparently but you can decline

Yeah I understand that, but can you say no ?

 

[Bluesince1979]

If a load of people you know were planning to go out this weekend. More than 6 of them and all from different households. Completely disregarding the rules and skirting round the restrictions... would you report them?

Asking for a friend?

Can understand the temptation of your ‘friend’ but i dont think i would.

 

[kevin horlocks wand]

Yeah I understand that, but can you say no ?

that would be the “but you can decline “

 

[Healdplace]

The regional scoreboard is down everywhere as you might expect - though NW still pandemic central.

London - 1646 - huge drop from 2842.

Midlands 1694 - also good fall from 2427.

North East 1393 - another good fall from 1888

Yorkshire 2861 - biggest fall of the day from 4129

And North West falls too, but not by so much - 4531 - down from 5468. But that is the lowest in the past 4 days.

 

[cleavers]

that would be the “but you can decline “

As I don't know how I would be contacted I wouldn't know the "but you can decline" bit would I ? which is why I asked. I'm curious about the whole procedure, "randomly selected" by who, and how ?

 

[worsleyweb]

The regional scoreboard is down everywhere as you might expect - though NW still pandemic central.

London - 1646 - huge drop from 2842.

Midlands 1694 - also good fall from 2427.

North East 1393 - another good fall from 1888

Yorkshire 2861 - biggest fall of the day from 4129

And North West falls too, but not by so much - 4531 - down from 5468. But that is the lowest in the past 4 days.

couid the measures be working in the North west?

 

[FCBarca]

Incidentally, CDC has published an interesting study that will see them revise 'close contact' recommendations

Essentially a 20 year old correctional officer had an accumulated 'close contact' with 6 new inmates who were asymptomatic over an 8 hr shift totalling 17 minutes. The inmates were quarantined (Mostly masked in the close contacts) until the results of their tests and the officer was always masked (cloth microfiber mask - effectively what you see most people wearing currently), gowned & almost always gloved while never approaching closer than 6 ft. and never more than a minute of interaction at any time (22 interactions in total, totalling 17 minutes - verified by video surveillance). All 7 tested positive

Officer had not been out of the area or exposed to anyone positive for 2 weeks preceding exposure

What it means ultimately is that close contact will need to be redefined but also that these surgical masks are far from ideal

 

[Healdplace]

GM scoreboard is still over 2000 for the third successive day - but down to 2090 from 2442 yesterday.

Unfortunately that is the highest GM split of the NW total in several weeks at 46.1%

It was about 10% lower than that a week or so ago.

 

[FantasyIreland]

If people don't follow tier 3 guidance than what makes you think they will follow total lockdown guidance. Judging by the types I have seen not folliwing hands/face/space guidance they will ignore that too.

They probably won't now,hence why I said we came out of the first too soon......as the majority were behaving back then and would have adhered for a period beyond.

 

[kevin horlocks wand]

As I don't know how I would be contacted I wouldn't know the "but you can decline" bit would, which is why I asked. I'm curious about the whole procedure, "randomly selected" by who, and how ?

well I just got a letter from the ONS saying I had been randomly selected to take part in the wider ONS study of have prevalent in society Covid is . It says it’s entirely random .

I think these are the surveys they use to show the r rate and wider asymptotic cases .

You can say no but I don’t know why you would . You register online at the ons and a pack with a swab comes and a courier pick up time which you arrange .
You do your swab test before agreed pick up time
courier comes and collects
within 72 hours you get the result . I was negative .

 

[Healdplace]

GM highlights today (will post full data later).

Only 3 boroughs over 200 today. Wigan up again to another new record there and only 16 cases lower than Manchester!

Manchester is well down at 342 but I would never have believed that Wigan would catch it in a million years when we entered restrictions in late July. I still struggle to believe how disastrous the past 3 months have been for Wigan.

Bolton had a bad day and has slipped up to a higher level in the past weekend. Indeed Bolton and Wigan have more than anywhere driven the high numbers over the past 4 days. Between the two of them in those 4 days they have added 2215 of the 9000 or so cases added.

 

[cleavers]

well I just got a letter from the ONS saying I had been randomly selected to take part in the wider ONS study of have prevalent in society Covid is . It says it’s entirely random .

I think these are the surveys they use to show the r rate and wider asymptotic cases .

You can say no but I don’t know why you would . You register online at the ons and a pack with a swab comes and a courier pick up time which you arrange .
You do your swab test before agreed pick up time
courier comes and collects
within 72 hours you get the result . I was negative .

Thanks, that's all I wanted, an explanation of how they contact you and what it said, I assumed it would be phone, but a letter is better so long as it gets delivered.

I didn't say I'd say no, just asked if you could decide for yourself.

Do they say what happens if the test is positive, ie follow up etc ?

 

[kevin horlocks wand]

Thanks, that's all I wanted, an explanation of how they contact you and what it said, I assumed it would be phone, but a letter is better so long as it gets delivered.

I didn't say I'd say no, just asked if you could decide for yourself.

Do they say what happens if the test is positive, ie follow up etc ?

yep you just go into the track and trace and self isolation as you have it in the normal way

 

[cleavers]

yep you just go into the track and trace and self isolation as you have it in the normal way

Thanks.

 

[Churchlawtonblue]

couid the measures be working in the North west?

Fingers crossed, I think Healdplace confirmed that most of Manchester had falls yesterday aswel. We all need some good news.

 

[Churchlawtonblue]

The regional scoreboard is down everywhere as you might expect - though NW still pandemic central.

London - 1646 - huge drop from 2842.

Midlands 1694 - also good fall from 2427.

North East 1393 - another good fall from 1888

Yorkshire 2861 - biggest fall of the day from 4129

And North West falls too, but not by so much - 4531 - down from 5468. But that is the lowest in the past 4 days.

Hi Healdplace. Do you know if these falls are actual percentage falls in positive tests or just due to less testing? Thanks

 

[Manc in London]

that “Elephant Man” medical trial around 10 years ago sticks in the memory.

I remember that now. That would only make me more anxious.

 

[somapop]

I remember that now. That would only make me more anxious.

I do too but struggling to remember what is was for...

 

[Healdplace]

Hi Healdplace. Do you know if these falls are actual percentage falls in positive tests or just due to less testing? Thanks

282, 556 pillar 1 & 2 tests today for over 5000 fewer cases than yesterday when there were 258, 620 tests.