COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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I did juggle with the figures trying to find a non complicated way of posting the two sets of data - the ones I post here as issued daily by HM Gov and the true numbers for that day which gets re-alloted to each date over the next five days to match the date on which the test occurred - but it was just too much data and confusing.

Everywhere, every day goes up and down by a bit.

I don't think it would illuminate anything to have two different data sets of similar but different numbers and the actual cases all get allocated somewhere in that five day period so it does not really impact on the ongoing trend or the overall running totals.

But what I can do is give you a table every day if you wish of the numbers from 7 days ago as they were THEN (snd posted on here) and as they are NOW after all reallocation has occurred.
 
ayrshire_blue said:
Yeah, I understand its not purely temperature related and more what 'poor' weather or extremely hot weather forces in terms of people's behavior. Could be right enough of course, I don't know exactly how wet or how windy it's been down there. Just seems a bit strange that they started this wave ahead of us, and are being hit every bit as hard. Climate thing makes sense up here in Scotland but I can only imagine somewhere like Marseille would have been having much better weather than us over past couple of months in terms of people being able to spend time outdoors.
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It could be that there was a particularly hot spell in Marseilles, then followed by wet weather, I don't honestly know, just giving potential reasons. The connection to the weather is quite complex, but our rise started about a week after our bank holiday when people traditionally meet as friends/family, and that was a poor weekend for much of the UK, often wet, windy, and cold for many, so those meet ups were probably indoors, and eat out to help out probably pushed more meet ups, away from the southeast where it remained just about bearable outdoors.
 
Summary of other events in the data today:

Manchester beat Liverpool today - just - with 342 cases to Liverpool's 340. First time in a while.

But Bradford beat both with 399 cases today.

And Birmingham at 440 was higher than all but as this is the biggest single area in the UK that is not terribly high and only upped its pop score by only 38 - less than all ten of the GM boroughs or any of them in the recent past. Indeed at 1660 Birmingham's Pop Score is below everywhere in GM and much of the North West.

Showing that just case numbers without taking into account the Population Score is misleading.

Knowsley had a better day too (perhaps tier 3 is working already) - it's cases recently have been 176, 175, 148, 161 and today just 107. Being so small Knowsley has the highest Pop Score in Britain and even those 107 cases pushed it up 71 - which is well under its recent over 100 a day rises Knowsley is now at a record high of 3555.

Liverpool at 3284 is also well ahead of Oldham - which at 3123 is GMs highest Pop Score.

Nottingham had 244 cases - third straight drop.

Blackburn after its recent big totals fell a little today but was stil very high at 151 which added 101 to its Pop Score and at 3319 only Knowsley is ahead if it. Though Liverpool could overtake soon.
 
I know we are split with how we deal with this, and many think our government is making a complete horlicks of it all, but a look around Europe doesn't offer much advice in doing a better job.

2 weeks ago Italy was around 2500 cases per day, over 16000 today.

Belgium more than 13000 today, as % of population that would be around 80000 cases here.

France not far from 42000 cases today.

Spain as % of population, would by around 30000 here.

Germany in 2 weeks have gone from around 2000 to 12500 today (new record). Unlike here Germany track "active cases" and that is now more than in March at nearly 80000, so that is those who are currently infected.

Poland a new record at over 12000 today.

Switzerland % would be around 40000 here.

Even Cyprus where it's considered to be very low, would have the equivalent of 12000, mutiplied up to our population number. (I've colleagues working there, and new staff going out have to quarantine for 2 weeks before they can go to work, and now we can't get staff back because people are not volunteering to go.)
 
Attendance at ED’s for week 42 (up to October 18th) is interesting.
ED attendances down by 2,500 in the week.
As we know, COVID-19-like attendance is increasing however,
  1. Respiratory is below baseline
  2. Acute Respiratory Infection is below baseline
  3. Bronchiolitis is below baseline
  4. Influenza-like Illness is below the baseline
  5. Pneumonia is below baseline
  6. Asthma is below the baseline
  7. Gastrointestinal
  8. Gastroenteritis is below the baseline
  9. Alcohol intoxication is below baseline
  10. Cardiac is above the baseline
  11. Myocardial Ischaemia is above baseline
https://assets.publishing.service.g...nt_data/file/928421/EDSSSBulletin2020wk42.pdf
 
Alberto Costa making an utter fool of himself on Newsnight! WTF. He’s either politically naive or plain thick.
 
The Northern Baptist said:
Wtf are we playing at?

www.walesonline.co.uk

Dying mum 'unable to choose' which child should visit due to pandemic

Survey finds families have felt "bereft of involvement" in saying goodbye to loved ones
www.walesonline.co.uk www.walesonline.co.uk
Click to expand...
Christ knows. We’re locking 100 year old people up, who just want to see their families, as they know they’re on their way out, so they can be ‘saved’.
Meanwhile, the Mental Health of Children and Young People in England, 2020 report found one-in-six children aged 5-16 years old, had a probable mental disorder in July 2020, compared to one-in-nine in 2017. Brilliant....
https://digital.nhs.uk/data-and-inf...young-people-in-england/2020-wave-1-follow-up
 
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