The Title Race - 2024/25

[KingGeorge]

Was thinking the same yesterday.

I don't think an English team will get near winning the CL this year.

The thought has crossed my mind as well. When Rodri went down I thought we are probably out of Champions league contention and I don’t see Liverpool or Arsenal winning it.

Upon further reflection I’m just not sure how to factor in the new Champions League format. The lack of two legs creates a scenario where maybe somebody has just enough to beat Madrid. Let’s say Inter flukes a 1-0 win over Madrid creating an opening for us. Maybe we get a lucky break and a door opens.

 

[wattle]

The thought has crossed my mind as well. When Rodri went down I thought we are probably out of Champions league contention and I don’t see Liverpool or Arsenal winning it.

Upon further reflection I’m just not sure how to factor in the new Champions League format. The lack of two legs creates a scenario where maybe somebody has just enough to beat Madrid. Let’s say Inter flukes a 1-0 win over Madrid creating an opening for us. Maybe we get a lucky break and a door opens.

Are you sure this is a thing. As far as I know the knockout stages are still two legs

 

[.db.]

Overall our play and form is not very good but imo its down to individual form of players. Foden nowhere near to the player he was last season. we are 8 rounds in which is 20% of the PL and he is yet to score while scored 19 last season.
letting JA go after decent G+A output from him without proper replacement is bit of a shocker especially given that other aint really chipping in much apart from Haaland.
Gundo also not firing, he missed quite few big chances in earlier games now even those chances dried up for him. we made ourselves much more reliant on Haaland but at the same time we can go 90 minutes without creating fuck all for him. and then some weak shots from wingers and Gundo, Bernardo is all we have.

Rodri missing means not just defensive issues which we are seeing as clean sheets are rare these days but also speed of our build up is a bit slower which helps opponent a lot to sit back and let us pass around with not much danger in our play. we end up with a long shot or a very nothing cross. we also dont win balls high up the pitch enough due to quite weak pressing. with Savio, Doku full of energy guys I want to see some better pressing. Haaland needs to put in the work too albeit I dont like how many minutes he is getting, if we had JA around I am sure he would be subbed a few times and all those extra minutes aint helping him over the season also after being used excessively for Norway too.

then we have Lewis, which is a really strange experiment, I dont think it is working right now. he is getting into very advanced position, not an inverted fullback who comes centrally to help build ups but easily goes up to the box into number 8 position where he waits for the ball rather than doing build up, but just nothing comes off for him. he is there, but few times making a run no one picks him out, certainly creates bit of gap at the back like at the goal conceded, gets a shot very rarely. and even others dont really take advantage of Rico keeping one defender's attention.

we surely have more points than how good we played but its very early still, we will struggle vs better teams tho as we really struggle defending counters Fulham, Inter showed it, and even Brentford, Wolves punished us.

serious form improvement needed as when we get to November it will be Bournemouth away, Sporting away, Brighton away, Spurs home, and then December is pretty long annd hard with Liverpool away, Palace away, derby home, Villa away, Juventus away plus the extra Christmas games...

We’d be a completely different outfit if we had a fit and firing Rodri, de Bruyne and Foden in midfield. Take the starting midfield out of any team at any level of football and it’ll impact them massively.

Hopefully two will be back doing it together by the end of this month.

Only thing is, there were previous years where Fernandinho, DSilva and de Bruyne were our main midfield three and even if they were out we’d have a 28 year old Gündoğan and 26 year old BSilva to step in.

Whereas now we have those same two players to step in but they are older and past their prime players who aren’t as sharp or fit as they were (same with Kovačić) and you can see it in the way we play. The middle of the pitch hasn’t been sharp enough this season which is why we haven’t played particularly well or been massively convincing winners of a game since Ipswich at home, by far the worst team we’ve played.

All I can say is thank fuck for Gvardiol and Stones… oh, and Ederson who has made huge saves at crucial times this season (another at 1-0 yesterday!)… and really looking forward to Foden and de Bruyne get back to full fitness and form. I’m sure the way we play will change with those two back.

 

[KingGeorge]

Are you sure this is a thing. As far as I know the knockout stages are still two legs

Yeah looks like you are right there are still two legs.

 

[.db.]

The thought has crossed my mind as well. When Rodri went down I thought we are probably out of Champions league contention and I don’t see Liverpool or Arsenal winning it.

Upon further reflection I’m just not sure how to factor in the new Champions League format. The lack of two legs creates a scenario where maybe somebody has just enough to beat Madrid. Let’s say Inter flukes a 1-0 win over Madrid creating an opening for us. Maybe we get a lucky break and a door opens.

The CL is a funny one. Over the years a number of teams have shown that you don’t have to be anywhere near the best team to win it or get to the final to give yourself a chance of winning it.

In 2021, Chelsea were not as good as any of Atlético, Madrid or City yet beat all three to win it yet finished a distant 4th in the PL. Spurs finished 5th in the PL but knocked City out and got to a final. Dortmund last season got to a final. Chelsea won it in 2012 with their worst side for a decade and Roberto Di Matteo as coach and finished 5th in the PL. Even Liverpool in 2005, they had some great players but an average overall squad and only finished 5th in the PL. Porto and Monaco final in 2004 when teams like Arsenal’s Invincibles and the Madrid’s Galacticos were around.

How many times have we been the best team in Europe and not even got tot the semis, never mind the final or win it?

[still two-leg KOs, by the way]

 

[Cobwebcat]

talking of luck, or jammy last minute winners etc as we used to call them, i've had a very interesting change in perspective over the last ten years about United's long history of last second winners. I'm not referring to 'Fergie Time' which did seem to be a nefarious thing, but more that better teams score more in injury time. We're really good at it these days.

Yes I agree. I think what happens is the opposition gets tired having had limited possession.

 

[.db.]

talking of luck, or jammy last minute winners etc as we used to call them, i've had a very interesting change in perspective over the last ten years about United's long history of last second winners. I'm not referring to 'Fergie Time' which did seem to be a nefarious thing, but more that better teams score more in injury time. We're really good at it these days.

Concentration affected by fatigue, sharpness and agility/strength in the legs affected by fatigue, players switch off, make mistakes, find themselves out of position after a game of having to be right on it against an attacking team having to defend and concentrate fully all game.

That’s why I’d always like to have an attack-minded coach first and foremost. Whoever ends up replacing Pep (hopefully in about 2028!), I’d like to always be attack first.

 

[.db.]

Apologies but I only got as far as your top line.

There is a thing called luck it describes an improbable event.

Football is a great example as it’s a low scoring game. A long time ago I went to City v Bolton at the Etihad. Never seen anything like it and perhaps others on here remember it. I don’t have the figures so I’m guessing but City had about 30 shots to Bolton’s 1. We hit the post 3 times and hit the bar twice. It was cleared of the line numerous times, once by one of our own players I think. In the last seconds Bolton were awarded a penalty, scored and won with their only shot. Typical City if ever there was a game!

Given everything that had happened, Bolton winning was extremely improbable.

Every footy club now has a data analytics department. One of the first things they do is look at performance v result. The difference between what should have happened (and therefore more likely to happen in the future) and the actual result is luck.

Some people understood this earlier than others and made a lot of money from predicting future results by stripping the luck, as much as they could, out of the result.

So far this season City have been more lucky than they have for a while. All this means is if we carry on with their current level of performance, we will start to drop more points than we have so far. Of course that might not happen as Pep could quite easily improve our performance levels.

But there is such a thing as luck.

I just don’t believe in it.

For me everything happens by the coincidence of circumstances coming together by chance. The ball is a sphere and, due to physics and anatomy, can bounce in many different ways on the adverse camber of the pitch, the bodies and limbs of players or the post/bar and players can choose or not choose to do certain things at certain times or make mistakes.

From minute one to ninety, anything can happen, but it’s just by chance rather than luck. Luck to me would be a stroke of fortune that happens where there can’t be an explanation. Which pretty much rules out everything in the laws of physics because pretty much everything (especially on a football pitch) can have an explanation for why it’s happened.

 

[citymad]

I just don’t believe in it.

For me everything happens by the coincidence of circumstances coming together by chance. The ball is a sphere and, due to physics and anatomy, can bounce in many different ways on the adverse camber of the pitch, the bodies and limbs of players or the post/bar and players can choose or not choose to do certain things at certain times or make mistakes.

From minute one to ninety, anything can happen, but it’s just by chance rather than luck. Luck to me would be a stroke of fortune that happens where there can’t be an explanation. Which pretty much rules out everything in the laws of physics because pretty much everything (especially on a football pitch) can have an explanation for why it’s happened.

I get the physics and all that but what would you call it if you found an unused winning lottery ticket on the ground in the middle of the high street?

 

[supercity88]

We're still trying to find the right balance. It happens every season. Lots of gung ho attacking leading to counter attacks that have us scrambling. The positive is, we're winning games despite this. Both Fulham and Brentford had excellent spells against us, at the Etihad too - which is very unusual. The balance is lacking without Rodri and Gundogan isn't helping things.

It's good that Ake is back and Foden should be in a position to start. De Bruyne shouldn't be far from a return either.

But those big games without Rodri will be tougher than ever this season. The dippers and tarquins have a tough run so hopefully we can start to pull away now and find the right blend of attack and defence. Doku and Savio give us lots of attacking threat but the end product hasn't been there and we're looking vulnerable on the counter. Having Bernardo and Grealish wide to retain the ball and be more patient but with De Bruyne and Foden providing a more creative edge and energy centrally should help.

It may be that in those tough games, away from home, we have to look to play a more defensive shape but unleash Doku/Savio/Haaland on the counter and pick teams off.

 

[BlueAnorak]

It may be that in those tough games, away from home, we have to look to play a more defensive shape but unleash Doku/Savio/Haaland on the counter and pick teams off

Totally agree.
Liverpool and Villa away for sure.

 

[mancboy]

these stupid international breaks have negated teams getting into any sort of rhythm when the last one is done then a different picture will emerge.

 

[mancboy]

We're still trying to find the right balance. It happens every season. Lots of gung ho attacking leading to counter attacks that have us scrambling. The positive is, we're winning games despite this. Both Fulham and Brentford had excellent spells against us, at the Etihad too - which is very unusual. The balance is lacking without Rodri and Gundogan isn't helping things.

It's good that Ake is back and Foden should be in a position to start. De Bruyne shouldn't be far from a return either.

But those big games without Rodri will be tougher than ever this season. The dippers and tarquins have a tough run so hopefully we can start to pull away now and find the right blend of attack and defence. Doku and Savio give us lots of attacking threat but the end product hasn't been there and we're looking vulnerable on the counter. Having Bernardo and Grealish wide to retain the ball and be more patient but with De Bruyne and Foden providing a more creative edge and energy centrally should help.

It may be that in those tough games, away from home, we have to look to play a more defensive shape but unleash Doku/Savio/Haaland on the counter and pick teams off.

I think the end product not being there may have something to do with haaland to some extent, plenty of balls are going into the box and he doesnt seem to be attacking them as well as he might.

 

[.db.]

I get the physics and all that but what would you call it if you found an unused winning lottery ticket on the ground in the middle of the high street?

A nice coincidence of me being there at the same time the ticket was unattended by chance.

And, no, I wouldn’t admit I’d found it and it wasn’t mine haha

 

[MadchesterCity]

Arsenal v liverpool next week.

Draw would be ideal but wouldn't be against a liverpool win to create a gap to arsenal

Draw is best result for City

 

[SebastianBlue]

Scoring last minute is luck mate, on another day VAR rob us of victory. We did nothing that deserved us the win. A keeper is paid to make saves. We got away with another one today.

We currently look absolutely nowhere near a team that's going to win the title. We've played Brentford, Fulham and fucking Wolves and scraped through all 3.

Early days and City are known to be slow starters and like I said Arsenal & Liverpool don't look good enough either. All to play for.

We also had to come back from behind or “barely scrape by” to beat QPR, Aston Villa, Brighton, and Inter to win the league, league, league, and champions league.

Are those games signs those teams were bad?

 

[SebastianBlue]

We’re unbeaten, second in the table, a point (and two goals) off the top, eight games in. We lost one of our most promising young talents right before the first match, one of the best players to ever grace the pitches of England hasn’t been available for our last four matches, including against Arsenal, we lost in my opinion the best player in the world for the rest of the season four games in, and the best player in the league last season hasn’t gotten back in to top form.

Given most were warning we are notoriously slow starters and were coming off the back of the Euros, so most of our players effectively got no meaningful break from football, you’d think most blues would have bitten your hand off if this position was offered before the season started.

But I guess anyone thinking that would be wrong?

 

[Gone for a Burton]

Concentration affected by fatigue, sharpness and agility/strength in the legs affected by fatigue, players switch off, make mistakes, find themselves out of position after a game of having to be right on it against an attacking team having to defend and concentrate fully all game.

That’s why I’d always like to have an attack-minded coach first and foremost. Whoever ends up replacing Pep (hopefully in about 2028!), I’d like to always be attack first.

City ran wolves to distraction yesterday.

5 players down with cramp, 3 substituted.

Heads spinning, vision blurred, breathless, concentration gone.

Doc and Sav ran them to a stand still, Jack & Phil dismantled them.

They conceded 6 corners in the last 10 minutes !!

 

[.db.]

City ran wolves to distraction yesterday.

5 players down with cramp, 3 substituted.

Heads spinning, vision blurred, breathless, concentration gone.

Doc and Sav ran them to a stand still, Jack & Phil dismantled them.

They conceded 6 corners in the last 10 minutes !!

I think we had four corners in a row in the final minute of stoppage time. We always fight til the end, like John Stones said, it’s a belief in us that we can always win.

 

[BLS]

We’re unbeaten, second in the table, a point (and two goals) off the top, eight games in. We lost one of our most promising young talents right before the first match, one of the best players to ever grace the pitches of England hasn’t been available for our last four matches, including against Arsenal, we lost in my opinion the best player in the world for the rest of the season four games in, and the best player in the league last season hasn’t gotten back in to top form.

Given most were warning we are notoriously slow starters and were coming off the back of the Euros, so most of our players effectively got no meaningful break from football, you’d think most blues would have bitten your hand off if this position was offered before the season started.

But I guess anyone thinking that would be wrong?

Bitten your hand off ? I would have bitten your fucking arm,leg,head and balls off for that position before league started....OK maybe not your Henry Halls :)