Arsenal game 17th June.

Discussion in 'Bluemoon forum' started by xgorton, 28 May 2020.

  1. SWP's back

    SWP's back

    Joined:
    29 Jun 2009
    Messages:
    75,390
    Location:
    by the pool
    I’m asking for all three and the source so I can look for myself.

    (no reason to dispute it per se as it backs up my argument)
     
  2. colinthewindowcleaner

    colinthewindowcleaner

    Joined:
    10 Sep 2013
    Messages:
    331
    Hehe, we will be able to say it back as they’ll all be empty..snigger
     
  3. Boris Becker’s Backhand

    Boris Becker’s Backhand

    Joined:
    3 Feb 2020
    Messages:
    971
    Team supported:
    City
    45% is a ballpark figure off the top of my head but I’m in that game and I’d be surprised were it more than a couple of points out either way
     

    ADVERTISEMENT

  4. Boris Becker’s Backhand

    Boris Becker’s Backhand

    Joined:
    3 Feb 2020
    Messages:
    971
    Team supported:
    City
    Frankly I’ve nout better to do right now so I’ll indulge you and find a site that aggregates the stats
     
  5. Fordyboy46

    Fordyboy46

    Joined:
    6 Feb 2019
    Messages:
    2,970
    Location:
    Chez vegas
    How up for these remaining games do you think our players will be?. Going to be interesting to see how it pans out.
     
  6. SWP's back

    SWP's back

    Joined:
    29 Jun 2009
    Messages:
    75,390
    Location:
    by the pool
    Found it myself:

    How many homes have won the Premier League?
    On average, Premier League teams consistently win around 46.2% of home games, while the draw occurs around 27.52% of the time and the away team are victorious in 26.32% of games.

    https://help.smarkets.com/hc/en-gb/...-consider-home-advantage-for-football-trading

    So given that every team plays every other team home and away, the above is a stark reminder that a home team has almost twice as much chance of winning a game than an away team, statistically.

    You really belive that has nothing to do with the fans and everything to do with familiar surroundings? The German league (5 home wins from 27 games) says not, albeit it's a small size. We will know much more once the results are in for Germany, England and Spain at the end of July.
     
  7. chesterbells

    chesterbells

    Joined:
    15 Apr 2010
    Messages:
    9,998
    Andy Dunn likes this.
     
  8. stevemacca

    stevemacca

    Joined:
    26 Oct 2018
    Messages:
    81
    Ask Vinny - he did a thesis on this very subject for his MBA, getting views from prominent players the world over
     
    SWP's back likes this.
  9. SWP's back

    SWP's back

    Joined:
    29 Jun 2009
    Messages:
    75,390
    Location:
    by the pool
    What were his findings out of interest?
     
  10. Boris Becker’s Backhand

    Boris Becker’s Backhand

    Joined:
    3 Feb 2020
    Messages:
    971
    Team supported:
    City
    Once again you aren’t looking deeply enough into it. Even if fans were the overwhelming reason for home advantage, which they aren’t, a headline figure of a 46% win ration is hardly overwhelming proof of the power of playing at home. But once you factor in my earlier point that when teams are relatively evenly matched the win ratio for home teams drops to 29% then the unimportance of fans in influencing the outcome becomes even more apparent.
     

Share This Page