Coronavirus (2021) thread

[Healdplace]

Wales data:

0 deaths - was 0 last week

54 cases - was 97 last week (this is v last week from the two days this was).

It was 35 last Wednesday but that was only for the previous 24 hours. Which the above is not.

 

[Pedestrian]

Maybe some of the negative stories relating to certain vaccines has had an impact on folks opinion.

 

[Healdplace]

BBC North West has finally discovered Bolton cases are second highest in UK. Hyndburn being higher.

They are using 6 day old data of course. And Hyndburn was just a short localised outbreak already way down. Why I never mentioned it.

Bolton IS the worst not second worst and has been for a few days.

But that will be next week's news on the BBC.

They have though reported only 24 hours later than this column all the NW hospital problems and numbers over the past few days that was in last nights hospital data in here catching up from over the Bank Holiday weekend when none was reported.

If you are reading this BBC North West...keep reading. And using anything you spot here. I used to work for you so wherever you are sourcing the data. :)

Of course, I am joking and expect it probably is not being sourced in here - so well done - much better than the BBC national news often days behind on the hospital data.

 

[artfuldodger]

In the 12 weeks between doses, about 140000 deaths will have occurred with over half of them in the over 70’s and 45000 in the over 80’s, so why he expects a 100% for second doses is anyones guess..

Exactly. My mother died between jabs. She’s probably down as not attending.

 

[Healdplace]

England hospital deaths as I warned yesterday IS up.

Because it was depressed yesterday by the long Bank Holiday.

But not a disaster.

25 with 1 from the NW. That 1 was in Stockport.

However, 3 are from last year and 6 not within the past month

Last week was 20 with 4 NW, Wk before 25 with 4 NW, Wk before 26 with 5 NW and Wk before 42 with 8 NW.

This looks like a serious plateau but bear 2 things in mind.

The Bank Holiday and Easter are both in those first 4 numbers during which meant lack of Monday registering led to a higher than usual catch up on Wednesday.

So no need to panic just yet. Though - as I noted - in the hospital report last night there are some small signs of an increase in the region over the Bank Holiday in patient data but it is wise to see how this settles over the next few days before assuming it is meaningful.

The NW was up week to week in patient numbers as I pointed out (and so did the BBC NW news just now making me wonder if they had really looked that comparison up directly) - but in truth it was by ONE patient. So not yet a real problem. If it goes down today not up, of course. We will see later.

 

[splinter]

Indian and South African variants in Bolton so says the muen..

 

[artfuldodger]

Indian and South African variants in Bolton so says the muen..

Their MP also commented that people were initially a 'bit reluctant' to take up the offer of a vaccine in Bolton.

How reluctant?

 

[Healdplace]

Indian and South African variants in Bolton so says the muen..

That was what I was worried about and concerned as I have noted that it seems to have taken a week for the Bolton spike to be noticed outside of in here.

A week is a long time in Covid cases.

Hopefully the falls in Zoe App in Chorley then Bolton come true and in this wasted week looking at 6 day old data before it happened this has not now been allowed to spread all over GM.

As I said yesterday this is what happened last July and August and Bolton again started off what became months of lockdown in Greater Manchester.

We are in a different place to then but even so the lack of awareness of what was happening in Bolton as it had yet to show on the official 6 day data was bothering me.

As I have said before it is why I never use it in here even though it is a bit more accurate on day to allocation.

 

[Healdplace]

Scotland by the way have flagged up a possible testing issue across the UK today that may be depressing case numbers everywhere.

They say there have been 'data flow issues' from UK Gov testing sites since this time yesterday. And these might have been a factor in the low case numbers being reported across the UK today.

Or may not as they do not seem remarkably low based on recent numbers.

But seems as if some of that data may have gone walkabout.

 

[roubaixtuesday]

How reluctant?

There's a wealth of vaccination data breakdown to the nth degree here

Statistics » Vaccinations: COVID-19

COVID-19 vaccinations This section contains information on the total number of COVID-19 vaccinations provided by the NHS in England in the seasonal campaigns. This data is sourced from the Data Processing Service (DPS), and is classified as management information. Data Autumn/Winter 2024/25...

www.england.nhs.uk

The current overall UK adult vaccination percentage (1st doses) is reported as ~66%

Looking at the three Bolton constituencies they report from that link

	Pop 16+	Vaccinated	% vaccinated
Bolton North East	86,481​	46,844​	54%​
Bolton South East	92,666​	45,777​	49%​
Bolton West	85,081​	51,828​	61%​

The data is a week old, but it looks like Bolton as a whole is a fair way behind the UK, and Bolton SE lagging the most. I don't know Bolton at all but I'm guessing Bolton West is the posh bit!