COVID Data Thread

Healdplace said:
Thank you. Much appreciated,

England hospital patients are going up now a little. First time on a Monday up week to week in 3 or 4 weeks. A little more concerning is that the new Omicron variant seems to be impacting the over 60s more than the first one did (around 18% of cases V about half that earlier this winter). Might suggest the boosters are waning a bit. Deaths are starting to show a small rise in past few days but so far it is only small and numbers are falling week to week still,

Patients in England rose 421 today to 8923 V 8538 last Monday - biggest jump in a while. Though Mondays always see a lot of admissions. Thy have been back over 1000 every day for a week now. Every region is up today - London the most with NW up 74 to 1286 V 1219 last week.

Ventilators are still just down week to week 239 V 254 but are up 7 over the weekend. NW on 29 up V 20 last week.

Alll regions rising week to week in cases but a flatter rise than the December/January curve. South East added 20K cases over this past 3 day weekend , London 14K, East and South West both 13K. North West 9367 on the three days easily highest of the north & midlands regions. North East the only region barely rising at the moment uder 1000 a day over the 3 days.

In Greater Manchester Stockport still the worst by some margin (395 cases past 3 days). Rochdale the best (just 136 over the 3 days). But all the boroughs are up on last weekend by between 30 & 60% - Stockport up by over 80% week to week)

England added 95,324 casesover the 3 day weekend V 60,595 last weekend - so over 50% rise.

Scotland still doing much the same - added 24,488 case over the weekend V 16,349 last weekend So up 50% Patients rising here too on 1360 today V 1175 last week Ventilators pretty flat on just 18.

Northern Ireland doing the best of the four nations with cases 5769 over the 3 day weekend V 5168 last weekend - with patients down to 466 V 575 last week and ventilators just 2 V 6 last week

Wales less easy to call as a day or two behind in numbers but patients are slightly down 554 V 578 and ventilatirs just 8 V 11 last week.

UK patients are 11,303 V 10,836 last Monday - all of this in England & Scotland offset by falls in the other two nations.

The continuing low ventilator numbers in the UK is really the best news. Just 267 in the UK V 290 last week.
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I think that the numbers were bound to go up when all the restrictions were lifted. If the upward lift doesn't go up too much and doesn't affect the numbers in hospital too much then this will become all part of the process of "living with Covid"
I also suspect that new pharma interventions and second generation vaccines will assist that process.
 
Len Rum said:
Hi Healdy.
Worryingly it looks as though Covid's rocking and rolling again.
Hopefully it will recede with half term hols and warmer weather.
Are you still publishing weekly data?
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I have posted several updates in here since last Friday as it became more necessary.

Just look back over the past two or three pages.

There is little data now over the weekend but I will post a full report today and again on Monday

There are signs we are closing in on the peak but we are not at that yet. And given the lower testing rates might seem suspicious - but these have increased as cases have so the numbers falling are not directly linked to lower test numbers.

The big thing to take is that whilst deaths are up a bit - we had our first 100 death day in England hspitals reported today and that only after 3 days of data (22 Mar) these are not escalating fast as yet.

We had our first over 2000 admissions in England added yesterday too since mid January.

And whilst ventilator numbers are rising with patients these are still very low compared even to where we were in January let alone the last time we had a wave like this pre vaccines.

As I say lots of data in posts over the oast couple of pages and more to follow today.
 
Healdplace said:
I have posted several updates in here since last Friday as it became more necessary.

Just look back over the past two or three pages.

There is little data now over the weekend but I will post a full report today and again on Monday

There are signs we are closing in on the peak but we are not at that yet. And given the lower testing rates might seem suspicious - but these have increased as cases have so the numbers falling are not directly linked to lower test numbers.

The big thing to take is that whilst deaths are up a bit - we had our first 100 death day in England hspitals reported today and that only after 3 days of data (22 Mar) these are not escalating fast as yet.

We had our first over 2000 admissions in England added yesterday too since mid January.

And whilst ventilator numbers are rising with patients these are still very low compared even to where we were in January let alone the last time we had a wave like this pre vaccines.

As I say lots of data in posts over the oast couple of pages and more to follow today.
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Thanks for that update.
 
1648216099441.png
As you can see the Zoe data today is still climbing and at record levels across the pandemic.

Predicted new cases today are 343,527 - up 4690 on yesterday - the rises day to day before then were 6243 - 7640 & 8942 - the downward track being obvious.

ONgoing symptomatic cases are slowly edging down (these will lag daily cases by a few days obviously) - and are today on another record high of 3,860,690.

North West is slowing down and dropped a place today in the 12 UK regions to 6th

But Greater Manchester is almost entirely still going up, whilst Merseyside which has been the driver of NW cases for a week or two is falling,

In GM Stockport - which has been with Trafford driving cases in this second Omicron wave is still edging up but is now actually doing better than most and several boroughs are now ahead of it in Zoe numbers. Though as a big borough it will still have more cases.

Stockport turning around - given it was the first to take off in this wave - is a good sign that we are close to the peak as the other data above shows too.
 
England hopital deaths today 113 with 16 North West - was last week 98 with 16 North West


Wales cases 2128 V 1935 last week & 3 deaths V 8 last week

912 patients at latest count 15 on ventilators - last week 804 & 16 ventilated.


Scotland cases 10,100 V 18,124 last week & 41 deaths V 23 last week

2326 patients - new record high here but only up 4 on yesterday V 2050 last week - ventilators 28 today V 31 last week


Northern Ireland cases 1910 V 1718 last week & 5 deaths V 0 last week

528 patients (down 10 on yesterday) with 4 ventilated (same) - last week 564 patients with 0 ventilated.


The very low numbers on ventilators everywhere despite high case numbers and patients rising is the key to why this is not as bad as it might be based on raw case numbers.

The numbers in serious condition are way down on where they were with even lower case numbers in past waves. They are even still below the peak of the January 2022 wave.

They are - though - edging up in N Ireland after several days at zero. Because the care home outbreaks are starrtng to edge up again too - so as are the over 75 case numbers.

Similar thing in Scotland. But both are modest rises not notable ones.
 
Sorry I just noticed this is the data thread!

I had been posting into the other thread as it had restarted and thought it wise just to keep one going now we were posting much less often.

Let me know what you prefer.

But those other posts I referred to Len were in the main Covid thread - NOT this one.
 
77,509 cases in UK V 90 349 last Friday

England only 63,371 V 68,492 last Friday

First week to week fall in over a month.

Testing though IS down about 67K on recent days and 31K on last Friday.

Deaths 172 V 126 last Friday - biggest jump up in some time

England only 123 V 95 last Friday
 
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