Hi Guys
First post so be gentle!!
The away draws in cups started on 9/1/16 so i've worked out the odds for our run since then...
I've looked at every round for the domestic cups and worked out the percentage chance of us drawing a premier league team or a top 5 championship team. That is the first percentage after each game. The second percentage is the chance of that draw also being away.
Norwich (FAC) 38% 19%
Villa (FAC) 39% 19.5%
Chelsea (FAC) 69% 34.5%
Swansea (LEC) 72% 36%
Rags (LEC) 75% 37.5%
West Ham (FAC) 38% 19%
Palace (FAC) 58% 29%
Huddersfield (FAC) 67% 33.3%
Boro (FAC) 71% (35.5%)
WBA (LEC) 71% (35.5%)
Multiplying all of those probabilities together produces odds of 250,614/1!!!!!!
However in both League Cup and FA Cup semi finals we were also drawn out as the away teams, so we can actually multiply the above number by 4
So the odds for our draws in the domestic cups since it was known that Pep was coming to us is just over ONE MILLION to ONE!!!
Nothing to see here though......
Meanwhile the BBC carry on about the big game for the Rags against the powerhouse that is Burton.
Hmmmm