Scottish independence

cibaman said:
Ancient Citizen said:
I'd like to know how the 'Yes' voters are so convinced they'll keep the pound, as far as I'm aware, there is an all party consensus that precludes that. Alistair Darling says they will? Not heard that, but even if he did, he's not the one now making the decision, and all I've heard from Salmond is obfuscation and bluster. So all you 'Yessers' please enlighten us.

Darling admitted that Scotland couldn't be prevented from using the pound, its a freely traded currency, any country could use it. Just as some countries use the US dollar.

But they would be using it without any control over it. No say on interest rates, no central bank acting as lender of last resort.

You could say that the Scots don't have much say on interest rates now. But they do have certain protections being part of the UK. They cant actually go bust unless the UK as a whole does. As an independent country with no control over interest rate policy that's a much bigger risk. As is the possibility of a recession that they cant get out of by lowering interest rates.

Darling seems to have overplayed his hand on the currency issue, with Scots now seeming to think that retaining the pound without a currency union would be a victory.
They also have the option of setting a parallel currency like the Irish punt which will give them most of the advantages but more control.
 
nimrod said:
tolmie said:
at the turn of the year didnt think it was going to happen, but I think it will be a YES now

Im all for it and will be voting yes, bit of democracy with who we actually vote for running the country, Wales will be next if we get a yes to i think!

then the paddy's and theyre pigs
We threw the Sassanach out nearly a century ago nim. The north won't be voting for independence any time soon either, the unionists would be afraid we'd annex them (although they have stronger links to the Scots than the English, might get them thinking).
 
ayrshire_blue said:
metalblue said:
ayrshire_blue said:
For about 2 years I was undecided but leaning towards no. This was until around a year ago - or maybe less - and at the current time I can't figure out why I would even be so fucking stupid to even contemplate voting no.

Better together campaign has been an absolute disaster from the beginning. Scaremongering after scaremongering.

We'll keep the pound (confirmed by Alistair Darling), our pensions will be secured, and we can afford it. This has all been covered in detail.

All with the added bonus that we will get to make decisions which suit our own bloody country rather than London and the South East.

No more Tories (unless of course, WE actually vote for them!!).

Since 1942 142 countries have voted for independence. Not one of them has ever wanted to give it up yet neither one of the 142 countries have been in such a position to vote for independence as Scotland are at the current time.

There's more to fear in the event of a no vote (Tories, Ukip, EU referendum etc etc) than anything in a yes vote.

"Of course Scotland could be a successfull independent nation" - Even David fucking Cameron admits it.

Vote yes!

I'd honestly love to know how

Scotland is roughly 8% of the country per population yet contributes 9% to the economy. In other words - subsidising the rUK. Of course, we have higher spending than the rUK but that v considered it's still less than we generate.

In an independent country the need (and want) for Scotland's most popular exports aren't going to suddenly decrease. Whisky, Oil, Tourism and other revenue streams will continue to be gained as they always have done.

Never to mention the huge savings on nuclear weapons/trident which would be put towards issues closer to home for example the likes of food banks which are growing in numbers month by month.

The savings on not invading every country in the world - whether worthwhile or not - can be put to use IN SCOTLAND.

The overriding factor in all my reasons for voting yes is having a say in our own future. Scotland's vote has never meant anything in a general election. Vote Labour - get the Tories. Vote SNP - Get a Tory/lib dem coalition. What's next? Vote SNP and get stuck with Cameron and Farage? Not for me thanks. And no, it's not about every individual getting the government they want but creating a far fairer and democratic society which can be represented by a government voted for by the population it serves.

Nobody's saying it won't be without risk. Nothing ventured, nothing gained. And the better together campaign have came up with absolutely NOTHING to suggest Scots could suffer in the result of a YES vote. Instead, they've made half hearted efforts at telling us why we're better giving Westminster our money and letting them make our decisions for us.

"The possibility of being better is better in itself than the fear of being worse".

The reality is that tax receipts equate to approximately £57bn and tax spend in Scotland currently sits at £65bn, and over half the scottish economy is dependent on the public sector. That is clearly unsustainable by any metric. The scottish welfare bill sits at £25bn, healthcare, education, police, fire, bin, cost of government etc will have to come out of the remaining £32bn if you are simply to stand still. My prediction is a yes vote will result in free university places going, free elderly care going and tax increases quiet quickly. The SNP seem ill prepared for a yes vote are being as disingenuous with the way it muddies the GDP v tax receipt waters as the No vote is on things like the currency issue.

There will certainly be some flight of business to England in the short term as well although being able to set corporation and income tax could prove beneficial in the long term. I would rather Scotland remains part of the UK with more control over its finances but the attraction of being sole masters of your destiny is hard to deny.
 
Cons
If they gain independence they will have to pay to use the NHS.
They will have to use the Euro.
Salmond seems a complete bellwhift.

Pros
Cameron's a knob.
 
Kun Aguero said:
Cons
If they gain independence they will have to pay to use the NHS.
They will have to use the Euro.
Salmond seems a complete bellwhift.

Pros
Cameron's a knob.

Lock the thread.

Kun is the man.
 
Salmond has wanted to use the euro all along. its unfortunate for him that the referendum coincided with the period when it is particularly unfashionable to speak favourably about the Euro. And, of course, he can no more guarantee that Scotland can use the euro than they can the pound.

But using the euro would be the best option for Scotland by a million miles.
 
cibaman said:
Salmond has wanted to use the euro all along. its unfortunate for him that the referendum coincided with the period when it is particularly unfashionable to speak favourably about the Euro. And, of course, he can no more guarantee that Scotland can use the euro than they can the pound.

But using the euro would be the best option for Scotland by a million miles.

Don't understand any of this mate. The country would use the pound, not the Euro.

On the subject that it wouldn't be accepted by England and Westminster I find that very difficult to believe. Of course they're not about to negotiate Scotland's interdependence from the UK so the only ammo they have available to them at the current time is to say that "they may not get to use the pound as this would have to be agreed".

Not agreeing it would damage England and rUK as much as Scotland. Giving the trade and business relations between the two countries, Westminster not allowing Scotland to use the pound would be cutting off their nose to spite their face.

I'm not a Salmond fan. I'm not an SNP fan. But I'm with him on the currency issue. It will be the pound, and there's no need for a plan B. A plan B will be ready in any case, but it won't be required. If it is, the rUK would be getting shafted along with Scotland.

In any case, sadly I find it almost a certainty to be a No vote. I'm not saying it's the case for everyone, as everyone has their own reasons which are as valid as mine or anyone else's, but we live in a nation of shithouses brainwashed into thinking we're not good enough, too small and too stupid, when it's not the case at all. It won't be easy, but having a say over our own future's will be worth it.

The way things are going, food banks all around us while the rich continue to get richer, it's not right. I can't bare the thought of having to tell my own grandchildren in years to come that I didn't vote yes to give them half a chance at life.

Vote yes, then vote out the snp (who will probably disbanden in the event of a yes vote anyway since the party's one common goal has been achieved).

I see the vote being close but in the end reflecting current polls. No will win by 53/54% - 46/47% imo. Bookmakers odds on No - 1/4 Yes - 3/1. Just my prediction.

Just a side issue but on the same topic, it pisses me off that for some the vote is coming down to what fucking football club in Glasgow an individual supports. By in large, a huge majority of Sevco fans are proving themselves to be the fuckwits that they are giving their 100% 'queen and country' commitment purely because it's in the football club they support's traditions and haven't been able to think for themselves how it will affect them and future generations.

On Saturday around 1,000 of their fans were under a huge "vote No" banner at Ibrox, call me skeptikal but given that polls are so close and opinions seem to differ from one person to the next up here I find it really really hard to believe that all 1,000 or so of these people just so happen to coincidently be thinking the same way and not just voting that way because their fellow zombies are.

Keep politics out of football altogether ffs, it shouldn't matter a jot which football club you support when it comes to an independence referendum. I'd have more respect for a Celtic fan - or anyone else for that matter - voting No for their own reasons than anyone just following a crowd.

This isn't the case for all sevco fans btw, not a dig at each and every one of them, but as a whole the clubs fans are using the club and it's traditions as reasons for a vote - which is shocking.
 
ayrshire_blue said:
cibaman said:
Salmond has wanted to use the euro all along. its unfortunate for him that the referendum coincided with the period when it is particularly unfashionable to speak favourably about the Euro. And, of course, he can no more guarantee that Scotland can use the euro than they can the pound.

But using the euro would be the best option for Scotland by a million miles.

Don't understand any of this mate. The country would use the pound, not the Euro.

On the subject that it wouldn't be accepted by England and Westminster I find that very difficult to believe. Of course they're not about to negotiate Scotland's interdependence from the UK so the only ammo they have available to them at the current time is to say that "they may not get to use the pound as this would have to be agreed".

Not agreeing it would damage England and rUK as much as Scotland. Giving the trade and business relations between the two countries, Westminster not allowing Scotland to use the pound would be cutting off their nose to spite their face.

I'm not a Salmond fan. I'm not an SNP fan. But I'm with him on the currency issue. It will be the pound, and there's no need for a plan B. A plan B will be ready in any case, but it won't be required. If it is, the rUK would be getting shafted along with Scotland.

In any case, sadly I find it almost a certainty to be a No vote. I'm not saying it's the case for everyone, as everyone has their own reasons which are as valid as mine or anyone else's, but we live in a nation of shithouses brainwashed into thinking we're not good enough, too small and too stupid, when it's not the case at all. It won't be easy, but having a say over our own future's will be worth it.

The way things are going, food banks all around us while the rich continue to get richer, it's not right. I can't bare the thought of having to tell my own grandchildren in years to come that I didn't vote yes to give them half a chance at life.

Vote yes, then vote out the snp (who will probably disbanden in the event of a yes vote anyway since the party's one common goal has been achieved).

I see the vote being close but in the end reflecting current polls. No will win by 53/54% - 46/47% imo. Bookmakers odds on No - 1/4 Yes - 3/1. Just my prediction.

Just a side issue but on the same topic, it pisses me off that for some the vote is coming down to what fucking football club in Glasgow an individual supports. By in large, a huge majority of Sevco fans are proving themselves to be the fuckwits that they are giving their 100% 'queen and country' commitment purely because it's in the football club they support's traditions and haven't been able to think for themselves how it will affect them and future generations.

On Saturday around 1,000 of their fans were under a huge "vote No" banner at Ibrox, call me skeptikal but given that polls are so close and opinions seem to differ from one person to the next up here I find it really really hard to believe that all 1,000 or so of these people just so happen to coincidently be thinking the same way and not just voting that way because their fellow zombies are.

Keep politics out of football altogether ffs, it shouldn't matter a jot which football club you support when it comes to an independence referendum. I'd have more respect for a Celtic fan - or anyone else for that matter - voting No for their own reasons than anyone just following a crowd.

This isn't the case for all sevco fans btw, not a dig at each and every one of them, but as a whole the clubs fans are using the club and it's traditions as reasons for a vote - which is shocking.
Sorry, but I think that many on the pro independence side have fallen for the bluster that Salmond has used regarding currency union, in that England would 'have' to agree to it. We would be mad to allow, what would be a completely foreign nation, to implement it's own strategies and spending programmes, in the sure and certain knowledge that they have the Bank of England and the rest of the British state to step in if things go awry. To use an oft quoted analogy from the 'No' camp, that would be like divorcing your partner and allowing them full and unfettered use of your credit card.
The trade between the two countries would of course continue, as it does between the UK, Europe and the rest of the world, this country would exchange whatever currency Scotland used for its equivalent value here, we would not be cutting any noses off, but Scotland certainly would, as Euro entry is also frought with negative issues regarding joining.
 
cibaman said:
Salmond has wanted to use the euro all along. its unfortunate for him that the referendum coincided with the period when it is particularly unfashionable to speak favourably about the Euro. And, of course, he can no more guarantee that Scotland can use the euro than they can the pound.

But using the euro would be the best option for Scotland by a million miles.
They can use the Euro if they want, there's absolutely nothing stopping them, just as there's nothing stopping them from using the pound, or the U.S. dollar. They'll just have no influence over the management and administration of the currency. A currency union and deciding to use an existing form of currency are 2 completely different things.
 
For EU membership they will need their own central bank and currency. They can't have this using the pound. The "Scottish pound" would also disappear as they can't print their own version of sterling.
I'm all in favour of an Independent Scotland. I think it would be great for rUK. Just a bit crap for the Scots once they realise they are not Norway.
 
Of course the Scots can continue to use the UK pound. Just as the UK (if it wanted) could use the US dollar or the Pakistani rupee. There are, however, downsides to using another nation's currency, which are obvious to anyone who is not economically illiterate.

I suspect we shall have the worst of all worlds, a narrow victory for 'no' which will leave the large pro-independence minority whinging until they get another referendum in 10 or 20 years time. This will create an unstable and unhappy country.

On balance a clean break is better for everyone. In a few years the Scots will discover that nationalism does not turn a country into paradise, but at least they won't be able to blame the English any more. Ideally it will be an opportunity for the rest of the UK to re-invent itself, and maybe become a modern state with a proper constitution and stuff like that. We can get rid of the nukes while we're at it, as without those Scottish lochs there will be no suitable base, and we can create jobs by building our naval ships in England rather than at Rosyth.
 
The whole of the UK should have been asked to vote on whether the Scots should be allowed to vote for independence before hand. All this expenditure on 5 million jocks is disproportionate. Population of London is well in excess of that and they make do with just a mayor !
 
The case for independence is simply flag waving nationalism dressed up as progressive politics. The problems that afflict the poverty stricken in Glasgow are more or less the same as those faced by people in Manchester, Liverpool, Leeds, Cardiff etc. The challenges facing fishing communities in the west of Scotland are remarkably similar to those for equivalent communities in Cornwall and Devon. The ultimate argument of the nationalists is that there should be no formal political, economic or social relationship (other than currency union for the convenience of the Scottish government) with any other part of this island. It makes no logical sense whatsoever.

If the Scots want redistribution of wealth then they should be fighting for wealth to be redistributed from the richest part of the Union (London and the South East) to the poorest parts which including Scotland but also northern England, the Welsh Valleys and much of Northern Ireland.

The economic case for independence is nonsensical. Basically the entire tax and spend policy depends on massively optimistic returns on oil without any loss to the economy as a result of British public sector disappearing. The financial services industry is crucial to the Scottish economy but mainly because it’s a cheap way of serving a massive customer base is in England. How many people in England with assets managed by Scottish firms will want a foreign jurisdiction to oversee control of their wealth? Not many I would guess which means a massive disinvestment from the Scottish economy. Similarly there’s no way the Scottish Government could cover the liabilities of Scottish banks unless all their English customers move elsewhere. Or unless all the Scottish banks move elsewhere.

Scotland is a country that historically was divided by religion but is now equally divided by nationalism. The SNP government had the choice of pushing for Devo-max, which the vast majority support and would have united Scotland, but instead chose this process. Whatever the outcome it is going to be close and it is becoming increasingly bitter on each side by the day.

The SNP are no better than UKIP it’s just Westminster is the straw man in the independence debate where as its ‘Brussels’ and the EU Commission for people who want out of the EU. It’s depressing that more people can’t see this for the shoddy power grab that it is.
 
I agree that Scotland would be better off as an independent country, but without being able to control their own currency, it's not really independence. The bank of England will still be controlling interest rates and when it comes to lending on an international scale, Scotland will not have the financial muscle as an independent country.

Also, during the debates I watched recently, Alex Salmond waxed lyrical about how they would support the NHS and make changes to social housing, and it made me think that had Scotland never been a part of the UK, they wouldn't have the NHS or social housing to name but a few.

Interesting times ahead, tho.
 
pace89 said:
The case for independence is simply flag waving nationalism dressed up as progressive politics. The problems that afflict the poverty stricken in Glasgow are more or less the same as those faced by people in Manchester, Liverpool, Leeds, Cardiff etc. The challenges facing fishing communities in the west of Scotland are remarkably similar to those for equivalent communities in Cornwall and Devon. The ultimate argument of the nationalists is that there should be no formal political, economic or social relationship (other than currency union for the convenience of the Scottish government) with any other part of this island. It makes no logical sense whatsoever.

If the Scots want redistribution of wealth then they should be fighting for wealth to be redistributed from the richest part of the Union (London and the South East) to the poorest parts which including Scotland but also northern England, the Welsh Valleys and much of Northern Ireland.

The economic case for independence is nonsensical. Basically the entire tax and spend policy depends on massively optimistic returns on oil without any loss to the economy as a result of British public sector disappearing. The financial services industry is crucial to the Scottish economy but mainly because it’s a cheap way of serving a massive customer base is in England. How many people in England with assets managed by Scottish firms will want a foreign jurisdiction to oversee control of their wealth? Not many I would guess which means a massive disinvestment from the Scottish economy. Similarly there’s no way the Scottish Government could cover the liabilities of Scottish banks unless all their English customers move elsewhere. Or unless all the Scottish banks move elsewhere.

Scotland is a country that historically was divided by religion but is now equally divided by nationalism. The SNP government had the choice of pushing for Devo-max, which the vast majority support and would have united Scotland, but instead chose this process. Whatever the outcome it is going to be close and it is becoming increasingly bitter on each side by the day.

The SNP are no better than UKIP it’s just Westminster is the straw man in the independence debate where as its ‘Brussels’ and the EU Commission for people who want out of the EU. It’s depressing that more people can’t see this for the shoddy power grab that it is.

You should send this in a wee letter to the BT campaign. Never read as much nonsensical patronising snide in all my life.
 
Just let em do it. If they pull it off good for them and we don't have them draining the NHS with their record levels of heart disease and alcoholism and other services as much and if it goes tits up we all get a laugh out of it.
 
Indeed interesting times. As much as I want them to remain in the UK, I kinda want them to leave and learn the hard way. When and if they split they will have to take their share of our massive national debt too that paid for their social, education and NHS services. Who owns the oil will be interesting and re entry to the EU will be entertaining if they don't meet the entry criteria. Their population is ageing quite fast so, who is going to pay into the pensions pot. I'd say to them forget the nationalist stance for a moment because the grass is not Scottish blossoming blue on the other side
 
ayrshire_blue said:
pace89 said:
The case for independence is simply flag waving nationalism dressed up as progressive politics. The problems that afflict the poverty stricken in Glasgow are more or less the same as those faced by people in Manchester, Liverpool, Leeds, Cardiff etc. The challenges facing fishing communities in the west of Scotland are remarkably similar to those for equivalent communities in Cornwall and Devon. The ultimate argument of the nationalists is that there should be no formal political, economic or social relationship (other than currency union for the convenience of the Scottish government) with any other part of this island. It makes no logical sense whatsoever.

If the Scots want redistribution of wealth then they should be fighting for wealth to be redistributed from the richest part of the Union (London and the South East) to the poorest parts which including Scotland but also northern England, the Welsh Valleys and much of Northern Ireland.

The economic case for independence is nonsensical. Basically the entire tax and spend policy depends on massively optimistic returns on oil without any loss to the economy as a result of British public sector disappearing. The financial services industry is crucial to the Scottish economy but mainly because it’s a cheap way of serving a massive customer base is in England. How many people in England with assets managed by Scottish firms will want a foreign jurisdiction to oversee control of their wealth? Not many I would guess which means a massive disinvestment from the Scottish economy. Similarly there’s no way the Scottish Government could cover the liabilities of Scottish banks unless all their English customers move elsewhere. Or unless all the Scottish banks move elsewhere.

Scotland is a country that historically was divided by religion but is now equally divided by nationalism. The SNP government had the choice of pushing for Devo-max, which the vast majority support and would have united Scotland, but instead chose this process. Whatever the outcome it is going to be close and it is becoming increasingly bitter on each side by the day.

The SNP are no better than UKIP it’s just Westminster is the straw man in the independence debate where as its ‘Brussels’ and the EU Commission for people who want out of the EU. It’s depressing that more people can’t see this for the shoddy power grab that it is.

You should send this in a wee letter to the BT campaign. Never read as much nonsensical patronising snide in all my life.
It is certainly a tad inflammatory, and contains not only some vague generalisations, and a few pre emptive assumptions, but, in the main I think it's roughly accurate. What the more strident Nationalists (not yourself) have found bemusing, is the support they get for their cause south of Hadrians Wall.
 
I came across (no, not that way you dirty feckers ;)) this wee piece earlier on today. Just puts a slightly alternative view point on things. What if there was no union already in place? Would you vote for the below?

Some bullet points from the campaign…

-Your main Parliament will move 600 miles away, and your MPs will be in a tiny minority & will therefore have limited ability to effect policy on your behalf

-Scotland will get a government it didn’t vote for.

-All of your oil and gas revenues will be handed over to the treasury in London.

-Even though not 1 inch of track will touch Scottish soil your taxpayers will contribute £4.2bn to the HS2 project.

-Your taxpayers will also subsidise the crossrail project to the tune of £4.2bn

-The biggest nuclear weapons facility in Western Europe will be built on the river Clyde, just 30 miles from your largest city.

-Even though you only have 8.2% of the UK’s population you will contribute 9.9% of the UK’s total tax take yet will only receive 9.3% of that tax take back to spend in Scotland (you will lose £4.4bn per year to the UK treasury)

-You will devolve all of the economic levers you have used to shape your economy directly to London and will now only have control of 7% of your economy

-Even though 79% of your MP's voted against it we will privitise your publicly owned mail service

-Even though 91% of your MPs voted against the bedroom tax in your parliament, we will impose it.

-Even though 82% of your MP's believed that a VAT increase would be detrimental to your economy, we will impose a VAT increase.

-You will join a country whose health and education services are rapidly being privatised.

-Now and again you’ll get dragged into an illegal foreign war.

-An austerity budget will be imposed from London cutting jobs and threatening vital public services even though 81% of your MP's voted against the cuts.

-The financial regulation system will be so weak and so lax that your whole economy will be brought to the brink of collapse.

-The most weak and vulnerable in society, instead of getting the protection and support they deserve will be interrogated and humiliated in an effort to get them off the meagre levels of support to which they are entitled.

Who in Scotland would vote for such a package?

Who would vote for that union?
 

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