COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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You cant tell about the scotland one yet because of the lag, you know this !

Glasgow and Lanarkshire have been banned from visiting other households for 6 weeks, cases are still rising in both areas. The lag would have came through a while before now. Of course, there is an argument to suggest that if it weren't for the household ban in place in these areas then the figures could even be much higher than they are now, I don't know.
 
Here is an update on the England hospital death numbers after five days for each date over the past four weeks

Wk // Total Cases // Daily Average // Totals with add ons since the five day cut off

14-20 Sep 102 (14.7) 112 (16)

21-27 Sep 170 (24.3) 182 (26)

28 - 4 Oct 254 (36.3) 278 (39.8)

5 -11 Oct 341 (48.8) 356 (50.9)


More than tripled over the three weeks since government was advised to have a circuit breaker.
 
The lockdown needs to happen
As with the Scottish data, the number of deaths in week 40 (ending 2 October was 11 444, which is 591 higher than 5 year average. 343 of them involved Covid, 258 did not. All a lockdown does is make the non-Covid number bigger and kicks the can down the road on the Covid.
As I said earlier, focussing public health on a single issue, isn’t really looking after public health.
 
As with the Scottish data, the number of deaths in week 40 (ending 2 October was 11 444, which is 591 higher than 5 year average. 343 of them involved Covid, 258 did not. All a lockdown does is make the non-Covid number bigger and kicks the can down the road on the Covid.
As I said earlier, focussing public health on a single issue, isn’t really looking after public health.
I am of the opinion that going into winter covid has to take priority , i am scared about how blaise people are being
 
Nope,many older people are very fit.
I sense your frustration mate, and we all have frustration with this in some way or another. However, here is the age distribution of the COVID-19 deaths in the US up until earlier this month. (I couldn't find the UK data to hand, so this will have to do).

1602856259698.png

So we lock up the 87 year olds. OK. What about those 75 and over? That would not have done anything to prevent the 44,000 deaths of people between 65 and 74. So we lock them up too. There's still another 40,000+ people under 45 who have died of this. That's 20% of the total. You'd probably have to include the 45 and overs if you wanted to make it "safe".

Where do you realistically draw the line?
 
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